Axelum Resources Corp (AXLM) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Axelum Resources Corp PHP 2.00, price PHP 2.80, upside -28.6%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.63 PHP – 3.42 PHP · fair‑value band 1.23 PHP – 3.00 PHP · the 2.80 PHP price screens above the 2.00 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Axelum Resources Corp (AXLM) currently trades at 2.80 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.00 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 40.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 3.45 PHP per share, and 9 of the 24 models we run sit above the 2.80 PHP price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 1.10 PHP, and 15 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 1.23 PHP (bear) to 3.00 PHP (bull), the price of 2.80 PHP sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Non-Cyclicals sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Axelum Resources Corp reported revenue of 7.3B PHP in FY2024 versus 5.2B PHP in FY2020, a compound +9.2%/yr. Reported net income was 688M PHP in FY2024, compounding +6.9%/yr from FY2020.
Key figures
Market cap 10.6B PHP (≈ $169M) · P/E ratio 21.9 · P/S ratio 2.05 · EPS (TTM) 0.1639 PHP · Net margin 9.4% · Return on equity 733% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Non-Cyclicals peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −29%, AXLM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1.23 PHPFair Value 2.00 PHPBull 3.00 PHP
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1639 PHP per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.56/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+29.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.7%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in PHP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in PHP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+6.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 10%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Food & Tobacco · 24 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/7 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−29% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Food & Tobacco median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)21.9× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 56
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 63
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Axelum Resources Corp (AXLM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.00 PHP versus a price of 2.80 PHP, about −29% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AXLM?
Our model-based fair value for Axelum Resources Corp is 2.00 PHP (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.80 PHP.
What is the quality score of AXLM?
Axelum Resources Corp has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Axelum Resources Corp (AXLM)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.00 PHP (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.23 PHP, optimistic scenario 3.00 PHP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Axelum Resources Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.00 PHP, about −29% upside versus a price of 2.80 PHP (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.23 PHP, optimistic scenario 3.00 PHP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Axelum Resources Corp (AXLM)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Axelum Resources Corp it is 2.00 PHP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 2.80 PHP. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Axelum Resources Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, AXLM trades above its calculated fair value: price 2.80 PHP, fair value 2.00 PHP, a gap of about −29% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AXLM?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.80 PHP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.00 PHP). For Axelum Resources Corp the two are 0.8000 PHP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Axelum Resources Corp worth?
The market values Axelum Resources Corp at about 10.6B PHP (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 2.80 PHP; our models calculate a fair value of 2.00 PHP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AXLM?
Our models span a range for Axelum Resources Corp: cautious scenario 1.23 PHP, base 2.00 PHP, optimistic 3.00 PHP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 2.80 PHP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AXLM?
Axelum Resources Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 2.00 PHP is built from several models across several years.
How far is AXLM from its 52-week high?
Axelum Resources Corp trades at 2.80 PHP, about 9% below its 52-week high of 3.08 PHP and 71% above the low of 1.63 PHP (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.00 PHP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Axelum Resources Corp?
From the same area (Consumer Non-Cyclicals) we also value FB, URC, MONDE, CNPF, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Axelum Resources Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 2.80 PHP, calculated fair value 2.00 PHP (−29%), Quality Score 70/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AXLM calculated?
We run Axelum Resources Corp through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.00 PHP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Axelum Resources Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Axelum Resources Corp (AXLM)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 2.80 PHP. Our model-based fair value is 2.00 PHP, about −29% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Axelum Resources Corp right now?
A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. A fairly wide model range (1.23 PHP to 3.00 PHP) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Axelum Resources Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Axelum Resources Corp (AXLM)?
The market capitalisation of Axelum Resources Corp is 10.6B PHP (≈ $169M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Axelum Resources Corp (AXLM)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Axelum Resources Corp is 2.05 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Axelum Resources Corp (AXLM)?
Earnings per share at Axelum Resources Corp are 0.1639 PHP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Axelum Resources Corp (AXLM)?
The net margin of Axelum Resources Corp is 9.4% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Axelum Resources Corp (AXLM)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Axelum Resources Corp is 733% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Axelum Resources Corp (AXLM)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Axelum Resources Corp is 5.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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