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The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $176B

TC The Charles Schwab Corporation logo The Charles Schwab Corporation SCHW · US
Price$107.66
Fair Value$39.79
Upside-63.0%
Quality69/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 38.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.10% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Wide moat 78/100
Evidence: High Range $29.84 – $49.73 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +5.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 63% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($49.73). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$108.02 $45.17 Fair Value $39.79 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $45.17 – $108.02 · fair‑value band $29.84 – $49.73 · the $107.66 price screens above the $39.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW) currently trades at $107.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $39.79, implying the stock looks roughly 63.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, The Charles Schwab Corporation generated revenue of $24.8B at a net margin of 38.0%. Revenue grew 15.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $15.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $29.84 (bear case) to $49.73 (bull case); at $107.66, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -63%, SCHW screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $30.11 $47.74 $77.11 80
Residual Income $13.11 $17.43 $62.96 76
Rev-Margin DCF $20.65 $29.50 $40.76 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $30.17 $49.06 $81.16 38
Owner Earnings $32.73 $53.56 $88.96 31
5Y Revenue Exit $20.65 $29.45 $40.90 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $30.80 $50.03 $73.80 41
5Y P/E Exit $31.88 $52.21 $75.12 38
10Y Revenue Exit $23.32 $32.66 $46.01 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $30.37 $47.59 $73.09 37
10Y P/E Exit $31.09 $49.17 $74.17 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $13.53 $58.98 $80.68 54
Lynch FV $15.19 $21.70 $28.22 50
PEG = 1.0 $15.19 $21.70 $28.22 46
EPV $24.32 $27.47 $30.23 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $4.81 $9.99 $15.85 70
DDM Multi-Stage $4.81 $8.43 $10.49 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $29.84 $39.79 $49.74 63
P/S Multiple $11.66 $15.55 $19.44 58
P/B Multiple $24.99 $33.33 $41.65 55
EV/EBIT $40.13 $51.72 $63.31 53
EV/EBITDA $33.46 $42.83 $52.19 54
EV/Revenue $16.25 $20.92 $25.58 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.55 $7.44 $11.11 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $30.11 $47.74 $77.11 80
Rev-Margin DCF $20.65 $29.50 $40.76 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $13.11 $17.43 $62.96 76
ROIC Compounder $26.35 $32.50 $39.87 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $24.51 $35.02 $45.52 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($49.06) versus Asset-Based ($7.44). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $24.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.8%
Net margin 38.0%
Return on equity 19.1%
Free cash flow $8.8B FY2025
P/E ratio 20.1
More key figures
Operating margin 49.4%
EPS (TTM) $5.03
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +38.6%
Net cash $15.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 84
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

The Charles Schwab Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a savings and loan holding company that provides wealth management, securities brokerage, banking, asset management, custody, and financial advisory services in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Investor Services and Advisor Services.

Full company description

The Charles Schwab Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a savings and loan holding company that provides wealth management, securities brokerage, banking, asset management, custody, and financial advisory services in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Investor Services and Advisor Services. It offers brokerage accounts with equity and fixed income trading, margin lending, options trading, futures and forex trading, and cash management capabilities, including money market funds, and certificates of deposit; third-party mutual funds through the Mutual Fund Marketplace and Mutual Fund OneSource service, as well as mutual fund trading and clearing services to broker-dealers; exchange-traded funds; advisory solutions for managed portfolios, separately managed accounts, customized personal advice for tailored portfolios, specialized planning, and full-time portfolio management; banking products comprising checking and savings accounts, first lien residential real estate mortgage loans, home equity lines of credit, and pledged asset lines; and trust custody services, personal trust reporting services, and administrative trustee services. It provides digital and software based trading platforms; research tools, and multichannel support, real-time market data, options trading; equity compensation plan sponsors full-service recordkeeping for stock plans, stock options, restricted stock, performance shares, and stock appreciation rights; retirement plan services; mutual fund clearing services; and advisor services, including interactive tools and educational content. The Company operates through branch offices. The Charles Schwab Corporation was founded in 1971 and is headquartered in Westlake, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

The Charles Schwab Corporation reported revenue of $27.7B in FY2025 versus $19.0B in FY2021, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was $8.9B in FY2025, compounding +10.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 92/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$27.7B
Latest YoY
+6.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+18.0%
Avg. growth/yr (41Y)
+14.4%
Revenue +9.9%/yr
FY21 $19.0B
FY22 $22.3B
FY23 $25.5B
FY24 $26.0B
FY25 $27.7B
Net income +10.9%/yr
FY21 $5.9B
FY22 $7.2B
FY23 $5.1B
FY24 $5.9B
FY25 $8.9B

SCHW screens 63% overvalued. Compare with Huatai Securities Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Charles Schwab Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SCHW

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 424 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −63% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 49% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 16% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.45× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.56× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 7.09× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 20.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.9× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.22× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 11
FUTURE 79 · sector 91
PAST 76 · sector 31
HEALTH 78 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 22 · sector 37

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Huatai Securities Co HTSC $0.2700 $0.0400 -85%
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 38,750 KRW 31,645 KRW -18%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 117,000 KRW 87,706 KRW -25%
Korea Investment Holdings 071050 239,000 KRW 318,825 KRW +33%
NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 31,000 KRW 37,133 KRW +20%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 107,700 KRW 126,487 KRW +17%
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS ₹967.00 ₹299.65 -69%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 322,000 KRW 358,091 KRW +11%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 24,250 VND 28,021 VND +16%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 120.22 ARS -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $39.79 versus a price of $107.66, about −63% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SCHW?
Our model-based fair value for The Charles Schwab Corporation is $39.79 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $107.66.
What is the quality score of SCHW?
The Charles Schwab Corporation has a Quality Score of 69/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW)?
The Charles Schwab Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $24.8B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SCHW?
The net profit margin of The Charles Schwab Corporation is about 38.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 38.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does The Charles Schwab Corporation pay a dividend?
The Charles Schwab Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.31% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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