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CSC Financial Co (601066) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · CN · Market cap 211B CNY

CF CSC Financial Co 601066 · SHG
Price¥25.95
Fair Value¥11.40
Upside-56.1%
Quality53/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 43.5% net margin
generates free cash flow
1.16% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/12)
Wide moat 68/100
Evidence: High Range ¥8.55 – ¥14.25 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price −7.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 56% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥14.25). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥36.40 ¥18.00 Fair Value ¥11.40 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥18.00 – ¥36.40 · fair‑value band ¥8.55 – ¥14.25 · the ¥25.95 price screens above the ¥11.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

CSC Financial Co (601066) currently trades at ¥25.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.40, implying the stock looks roughly 56.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, CSC Financial Co generated revenue of 25.9B CNY at a net margin of 43.5%. Revenue grew 61.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.7%. Net debt stands at 321B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥8.55 (bear case) to ¥14.25 (bull case); at ¥25.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -56%, 601066 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥8.87 ¥10.51 ¥22.68 76
Growth DCF ¥31.95 ¥57.18 ¥110.35 72
Gordon GGM ¥2.84 ¥6.21 ¥10.44 70
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥33.60 ¥51.13 ¥108.47 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥18.12 ¥25.46 ¥40.40 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥29.80 ¥49.34 ¥87.22 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥24.91 ¥46.85 ¥76.14 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥22.26 ¥36.96 ¥45.58 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥31.26 ¥62.24 ¥118.86 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥27.63 ¥51.65 ¥92.39 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥7.41 ¥51.69 ¥72.54 54
Lynch FV ¥18.53 ¥26.47 ¥34.40 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥18.53 ¥26.47 ¥34.40 46
EPV ¥24.24 ¥27.65 ¥30.67 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.84 ¥6.21 ¥10.44 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.84 ¥5.08 ¥6.47 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥16.35 ¥21.80 ¥27.25 63
P/S Multiple ¥7.46 ¥9.95 ¥12.44 58
P/B Multiple ¥13.90 ¥18.53 ¥23.16 55
EV/EBIT ¥34.55 ¥44.41 ¥54.27 53
EV/EBITDA ¥27.71 ¥35.29 ¥42.88 54
EV/Revenue ¥11.93 ¥14.92 ¥17.90 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.79 ¥6.42 ¥9.58 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥31.95 ¥57.18 ¥110.35 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥18.12 ¥28.45 ¥46.41 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.87 ¥10.51 ¥22.68 76
ROIC Compounder ¥28.83 ¥39.25 ¥53.66 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥23.52 ¥33.60 ¥43.68 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥49.34) versus Dividend Discount (¥5.08). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 25.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +61.4%
Net margin 43.5%
Return on equity 9.7%
Free cash flow 13.9B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 20.5
More key figures
Operating margin 59.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.33
Dividend yield 1.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +120%
Net debt 321B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 21
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 22
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CSC Financial Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides investment banking services in Mainland China and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Investment Banking, Wealth Management, Trading and Institutional Client Services, and Asset Management.

Full company description

CSC Financial Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides investment banking services in Mainland China and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Investment Banking, Wealth Management, Trading and Institutional Client Services, and Asset Management. The company offers securities brokerage, securities investment consultancy, financial advisory services, securities underwriting and sponsoring, trading and investment of securities, securities asset management, agency sale of securities investment funds, margin financing and securities lending services, agency sale of financial products, and market-making of stock options. It also provides custodian services for securities investment funds, market-making trading business of listed securities, sale of precious metal products, commodity futures brokerage, financial futures brokerage and asset management, equity investment and corporate management services, investment management, raising and management of investment funds, investment management of equity investment, investment consulting, and project consulting services. In addition, it offers equity and debt financing; brokerage agency services for corporate and personal clients in the trading of equity stocks, funds, bonds, and futures; specialized research and advisory services; and private placement offerings and related services. The company was formerly known as China Securities Finance Co., Ltd. CSC Financial Co., Ltd. was founded in 2005 and is based in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CSC Financial Co reported revenue of ¥34.5B in FY2025 versus ¥37.1B in FY2021, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥9.4B in FY2025, compounding −2.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
34.5B CNY
Latest YoY
+66.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.8%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+40.4%
Revenue −1.8%/yr
FY21 ¥37.1B
FY22 ¥34.7B
FY23 ¥23.1B
FY24 ¥20.8B
FY25 ¥34.5B
Net income −2.0%/yr
FY21 ¥10.2B
FY22 ¥7.5B
FY23 ¥7.0B
FY24 ¥7.2B
FY25 ¥9.4B

601066 screens 56% overvalued. Compare with Huatai Securities Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CSC Financial Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601066

Peer Group

Capital Markets · 424 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Above median
Fair Value upside −56% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 44% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 60% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 61% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Capital Markets median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.55× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 8.16× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 11
FUTURE 100 · sector 91
PAST 39 · sector 31
HEALTH 0 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 23 · sector 37

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Huatai Securities Co HTSC $0.2700 $0.0400 -85%
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800 38,750 KRW 31,645 KRW -18%
Meritz Financial Group 138040 117,000 KRW 87,706 KRW -25%
Korea Investment Holdings 071050 239,000 KRW 318,825 KRW +33%
NH Investment & Securities Co 005940 31,000 KRW 37,133 KRW +20%
Samsung Securities Co 016360 107,700 KRW 126,487 KRW +17%
Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited MOTILALOFS ₹967.00 ₹299.65 -69%
Kiwoom Securities Co 039490 322,000 KRW 358,091 KRW +11%
SSI Securities Corporation SSI 24,250 VND 28,021 VND +16%
Bolsas y Mercados Argentinos S.A BYMA 313.75 ARS 120.22 ARS -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CSC Financial Co (601066) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.40 versus a price of ¥25.95, about −56% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 601066?
Our model-based fair value for CSC Financial Co is ¥11.40 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥25.95.
What is the quality score of 601066?
CSC Financial Co has a Quality Score of 53/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CSC Financial Co (601066)?
CSC Financial Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 25.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601066?
The net profit margin of CSC Financial Co is about 43.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 43.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does CSC Financial Co pay a dividend?
CSC Financial Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.36% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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