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Strathcona Resources Ltd (SCR) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · CA · Market cap C$8.3B

SR Strathcona Resources Ltd SCR · TO
PriceC$39.50
Fair ValueC$44.64
Upside+13.0%
Quality54/100
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Evidence: High Range C$31.98 – C$110.58

Fair value as of: Jul 11, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 11, 2026, revised from C$66.59 to C$44.64 (−33.0%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −4.6% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

C$51.01 C$23.26 Fair Value C$44.64 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range C$23.26 – C$51.01 · fair‑value band C$31.98 – C$110.58 · the C$39.50 price screens below the C$44.64 fair value. As of Jul 11, 2026.

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Analysis

Strathcona Resources Ltd (SCR) currently trades at C$39.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$44.64, implying the stock looks roughly 13.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Strathcona Resources Ltd generated revenue of C$3.7B at a net margin of 20.2%. Revenue declined 7.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.9%. Net debt stands at C$1.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 11, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$31.98 (bear case) to C$110.58 (bull case); at C$39.50, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 13%, SCR screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) C$3.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.5%
Net margin 20.2%
Return on equity 4.9%
Free cash flow C$228M FY2025
P/E ratio 32.8
More key figures
Operating margin 15.7%
EPS (TTM) C$1.18
Dividend yield 3.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -81.1%
Net debt C$1.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Strathcona Resources Ltd. acquires, explores, develops, and produces petroleum and natural gas reserves in Canada. It operates through three segments: Cold Lake, Lloydminster Thermal and Lloydminster Conventional segments. The Cold Lake Thermal segment includes three producing assets in the Cold Lake region of Alberta; Lindbergh, Orion, and Tucker. The Lloydminster Thermal segment comprises thermal oil assets in the Lloydminster region, consisting of multiple SAGD projects in southwestern Saskatchewan. The Lloydminster Conventional segment comprises conventional oil operations, primarily located in southwestern Saskatchewan and extending into adjacent areas of southeast Alberta. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Strathcona Resources Ltd reported revenue of C$4.3B in FY2025 versus C$377M in FY2021, a compound +83.4%/yr. Reported net income was C$1.1B in FY2025, compounding +100.5%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +83.4%/yr
FY21 C$377M
FY22 C$3.7B
FY23 C$4.2B
FY24 C$4.7B
FY25 C$4.3B
Net income +100.5%/yr
FY21 C$67.9M
FY22 C$1.4B
FY23 C$587M
FY24 C$604M
FY25 C$1.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Strathcona Resources Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SCR.TO

Recent news

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Frequently asked questions

Is Strathcona Resources Ltd (SCR) undervalued?
As of Jul 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$44.64 versus a price of C$39.50, about +13% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of SCR?
Our model-based fair value for Strathcona Resources Ltd is C$44.64 (as of Jul 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is C$39.50.
What is the quality score of SCR?
Strathcona Resources Ltd has a Quality Score of 54/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Strathcona Resources Ltd (SCR)?
Strathcona Resources Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$3.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 11, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SCR?
The net profit margin of Strathcona Resources Ltd is about 20.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Strathcona Resources Ltd pay a dividend?
Strathcona Resources Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.48% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 11, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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