Diamondback Energy, Inc. (F1AN34) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Diamondback Energy, Inc. BRL 33.20, price BRL 60.84, upside -45.4%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Diamondback Energy, Inc. for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range R$18.27 – R$68.23 · fair‑value band R$33.20 – R$36.31 · the R$60.84 price screens above the R$33.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 29, 2026.
Follow Diamondback Energy in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Diamondback Energy is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Diamondback Energy, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, acquires, develops, explores, and exploits unconventional, onshore oil and natural gas reserves in the Permian Basin in West Texas, the United States.
Show more
Diamondback Energy, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, acquires, develops, explores, and exploits unconventional, onshore oil and natural gas reserves in the Permian Basin in West Texas, the United States. The company primarily focuses on the development of the Spraberry and Wolfcamp formations of the Midland Basin; and the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring formations of the Delaware Basin, both of which are part of the Permian Basin in West Texas and New Mexico. Diamondback Energy, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Midland, Texas.
Stock analysis
Diamondback Energy, Inc. (F1AN34) currently trades at R$60.84, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$33.20, 45.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of R$63.03 per share, and 2 of the 13 models we run sit above the R$60.84 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at R$23.36, and 11 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: R$33.20 (bear) to R$36.31 (bull), the price of R$60.84 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Diamondback Energy, Inc. reported revenue of $15.0B in FY2025 versus $9.6B in FY2022, a compound +15.9%/yr. Reported net income was $1.7B in FY2025, compounding −27.6%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap R$290B (≈ $55.6B) · P/E ratio 188.5 · P/S ratio 20.9 · EPS (TTM) R$2.54 · Dividend yield 0.9% · Net margin 11.1% · Return on equity 0.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −45%, F1AN34 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear R$33.20Fair Value R$33.20Bull R$36.31
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+35.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.9%
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−33.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−34.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.9%
Profit margin 2022 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.67% → 9%
Compare Diamondback Energy, Inc. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas E&P · 284 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score38 · Below median
Fair Value upside+31.4% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.5% · Below median
Return on assets−0.1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)2.0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)5.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.37× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Diamondback Energy, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/F1AN34
Frequently asked questions
Is Diamondback Energy, Inc. (F1AN34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$33.20 versus a price of R$60.84, about −45% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of F1AN34?
Our model-based fair value for Diamondback Energy, Inc. is R$33.20 (as of Sep 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$60.84.
What is the quality score of F1AN34?
Diamondback Energy, Inc. has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Diamondback Energy, Inc. (F1AN34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$33.20 (as of Sep 29, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$33.20, optimistic scenario R$36.31. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Diamondback Energy, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$33.20, about −45% upside versus a price of R$60.84 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$33.20, optimistic scenario R$36.31. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Diamondback Energy, Inc. (F1AN34)?
Diamondback Energy, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about R$14.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 29, 2026).
Does Diamondback Energy, Inc. pay a dividend?
Diamondback Energy, Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.87% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Diamondback Energy, Inc. (F1AN34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Diamondback Energy, Inc. it is R$33.20 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026), against a price of R$60.84. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Diamondback Energy, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 29, 2026, F1AN34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$60.84, fair value R$33.20, a gap of about −45% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of F1AN34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$60.84); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$33.20). For Diamondback Energy, Inc. the two are R$27.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Diamondback Energy, Inc. worth?
The market values Diamondback Energy, Inc. at about R$290B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 29, 2026). Per share that is R$60.84; our models calculate a fair value of R$33.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about F1AN34?
Our models span a range for Diamondback Energy, Inc.: cautious scenario R$33.20, base R$33.20, optimistic R$36.31 per share (as of Sep 29, 2026, price R$60.84). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of F1AN34?
Diamondback Energy, Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 188.5 (as of Sep 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$33.20 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 58.4.
What is the PEG ratio of F1AN34?
The PEG ratio of Diamondback Energy, Inc. is 58.43 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 29, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Diamondback Energy, Inc. (F1AN34)?
Balance-sheet figures for Diamondback Energy, Inc. (as of Sep 29, 2026): return on equity 0.5%, debt of 0.37 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is F1AN34 from its 52-week high?
Diamondback Energy, Inc. trades at R$60.84, about 10% below its 52-week high of R$67.48 and 41% above the low of R$43.11 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$33.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Diamondback Energy, Inc.?
From the same area (Energy) we also value ConocoPhillips explores for,, CNOOC Limited, Canadian Natural Resources Limited, EOG Resources, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Diamondback Energy, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 29, 2026: price R$60.84, calculated fair value R$33.20 (−45%), Quality Score 38/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of F1AN34 calculated?
We run Diamondback Energy, Inc. through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$33.20, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Diamondback Energy, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Diamondback Energy, Inc. (F1AN34)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was R$60.84. Our model-based fair value is R$33.20, about −45% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Diamondback Energy, Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$36.31). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The models converge in a tight band (R$33.20 to R$36.31), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Key figures of Diamondback Energy, Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of Diamondback Energy, Inc. (F1AN34)?
The market capitalisation of Diamondback Energy, Inc. is R$290B (≈ $55.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Diamondback Energy, Inc. (F1AN34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Diamondback Energy, Inc. is 20.9 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Diamondback Energy, Inc. (F1AN34)?
Earnings per share at Diamondback Energy, Inc. are R$2.54 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 188.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Diamondback Energy, Inc. (F1AN34)?
The dividend yield of Diamondback Energy, Inc. is 0.9% (payout 20.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Diamondback Energy, Inc. (F1AN34)?
The net margin of Diamondback Energy, Inc. is 11.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Diamondback Energy, Inc. (F1AN34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Diamondback Energy, Inc. is 0.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Diamondback Energy, Inc. (F1AN34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Diamondback Energy, Inc. is 12.1% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Diamondback Energy, Inc. (F1AN34)?
The operating margin of Diamondback Energy, Inc. is 5.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Diamondback Energy, Inc. (F1AN34)?
Revenue at Diamondback Energy, Inc. is growing +4.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Diamondback Energy, Inc. (F1AN34)?
Earnings per share at Diamondback Energy, Inc. are growing −98.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Diamondback Energy, Inc. (F1AN34) generate?
The free cash flow of Diamondback Energy, Inc. is −R$703M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Diamondback Energy, Inc. (F1AN34) carry?
The net debt of Diamondback Energy, Inc. is R$14.4B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Diamondback Energy, Inc. in the live analysis
One click puts Diamondback Energy, Inc. on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
