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Sacyr, S.A (SCYR) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · ES · Market cap €3.8B

SS Sacyr, S.A SCYR · MC
Price€4.58
Fair Value€2.25
Upside-50.8%
Quality37/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 2.1% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
1.96% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: Medium Range €1.69 – €2.82 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from €2.29 to €2.25 (−1.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 51% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€2.82). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€4.92 €1.62 Fair Value €2.25 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.62 – €4.92 · fair‑value band €1.69 – €2.82 · the €4.58 price screens above the €2.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Sacyr, S.A (SCYR) currently trades at €4.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.25, implying the stock looks roughly 50.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sacyr, S.A generated revenue of €4.7B at a net margin of 2.1%. Revenue grew 5.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.3%. Net debt stands at €6.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €1.69 (bear case) to €2.82 (bull case); at €4.58, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -51%, SCYR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €6.71 €11.64 €17.99 80
Residual Income €1.08 €1.16 €1.29 76
Rev-Margin DCF €2.05 €5.86 €9.93 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €6.31 €11.56 €18.59 38
5Y Revenue Exit €2.05 €5.62 €9.88 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €6.17 €12.84 €20.14 41
5Y P/E Exit €0.7800 38
10Y Revenue Exit €3.40 €6.81 €10.75 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €6.10 €11.53 €17.95 37
10Y P/E Exit €1.58 €2.99 €4.37 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €0.7300 €1.54 €1.95 54
PEG = 1.0 €0.2300 €0.3300 €0.4300 46
EPV €2.96 €4.60 €6.01 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.4800 €0.7100 €0.9500 70
DDM Multi-Stage €0.4800 €0.6700 €0.8900 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €1.69 €2.25 €2.82 63
P/S Multiple €1.37 €1.82 €2.28 58
P/B Multiple €1.37 €1.82 €2.28 55
EV/EBIT €9.94 €15.72 €21.51 53
EV/EBITDA €8.10 €13.28 €18.45 54
EV/Revenue €3.07 €6.22 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.6500 €0.8700 €1.30 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €6.71 €11.64 €17.99 80
Rev-Margin DCF €2.05 €5.86 €9.93 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €1.08 €1.16 €1.29 76
ROIC Compounder €3.13 €5.28 €7.58 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €1.24 €1.77 €2.31 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€6.81) versus Dividend Discount (€0.6700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €4.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.4%
Net margin 2.1%
Return on equity 11.3%
Free cash flow €1.1B FY2025
P/E ratio 39.5
More key figures
Operating margin 20.8%
EPS (TTM) €0.1200
Dividend yield 2.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -36.3%
Net debt €6.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 93
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 10
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 13
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sacyr, S.A. engages in the construction and infrastructure concession services businesses worldwide. It offers acquisition and construction of urban properties; provision of architectural, engineering, and urban planning services; provision and marketing of communications, information technology and energy distribution networks, as well as collaboration in …

Full company description

Sacyr, S.A. engages in the construction and infrastructure concession services businesses worldwide. It offers acquisition and construction of urban properties; provision of architectural, engineering, and urban planning services; provision and marketing of communications, information technology and energy distribution networks, as well as collaboration in the marketing and mediation of insurance, and security and transport services; and management and administration of commercial spaces, senior citizen residences and centers, hotels and tourist residences, and student residences. The company also engages in contracting, management and execution of all types of works and constructions in both public and private, such as roads, hydraulic works, railways, maritime works, construction, and environmental works; real estate; and engineering and architectural projects, as well as supervision and advice in the execution of works, and constructions. In addition, it offers public water supply, sewage and purification services; exploitation of mines, and quarries; prefabricated products; provision of assistance or support services; and raw materials of both vegetable, and mineral. The company was formerly known as Sacyr Vallehermoso S.A. and changed its name to Sacyr, S.A. in August 2013. Sacyr, S.A. is headquartered in Madrid, Spain.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sacyr, S.A reported revenue of €4.7B in FY2025 versus €4.7B in FY2021, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was €85.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€4.7B
Latest YoY
+1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+0.5%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
−10.7%
Revenue −0.1%/yr
FY21 €4.7B
FY22 €5.0B
FY23 €4.6B
FY24 €4.6B
FY25 €4.7B
Net income
FY21 −€189M
FY22 €111M
FY23 €153M
FY24 €113M
FY25 €85.8M

SCYR screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sacyr, S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SCYR

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −51% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 7.66× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 39.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 4.21× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.93× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 4.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.4× · Cheaper than median
PEG 177.83× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 27 · sector 18
PAST 45 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 39 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sacyr, S.A (SCYR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.25 versus a price of €4.58, about −51% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SCYR?
Our model-based fair value for Sacyr, S.A is €2.25 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €4.58.
What is the quality score of SCYR?
Sacyr, S.A has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sacyr, S.A (SCYR)?
Sacyr, S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €4.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SCYR?
The net profit margin of Sacyr, S.A is about 2.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sacyr, S.A pay a dividend?
Sacyr, S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.04% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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