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Sea Forest Limited (SEA) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Sea Forest Limited A$0.50, price A$1.54, upside -67.4%, quality 40 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · AU · ISIN AU0000430126

SF Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Sea Forest Limited

SEA · AU

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value A$0.5000 · Strongly overvalued (−67%)
!Quality 40/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue YoY +19.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -158.5% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/9)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$3.26 A$1.53 Fair Value A$0.5000 Nov 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

10‑month range A$1.53 – A$3.26 · fair‑value band A$0.3300 – A$0.6200 · the A$1.54 price screens above the A$0.5000 fair value. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Sea Forest Limited manufactures and sells nature-identical bioactives through a synthetic process. The company offers SeaFeed, an amplify product that uses both active components derived from Asparagopsis seaweed and manmade bioactives. Sea Forest Limited was formerly known as Sea Forest Pty Ltd.

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Sea Forest Limited manufactures and sells nature-identical bioactives through a synthetic process. The company offers SeaFeed, an amplify product that uses both active components derived from Asparagopsis seaweed and manmade bioactives. Sea Forest Limited was formerly known as Sea Forest Pty Ltd. The company was founded in 2018 and is based in Triabunna, Australia.

Stock analysis

Sea Forest Limited (SEA) currently trades at A$1.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.5000, implying the stock looks roughly 207.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 87/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.3300 (bear) to A$0.6200 (bull), the price of A$1.54 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Sea Forest Limited reported revenue of A$851K in FY2025 versus A$1.2M in FY2023, a compound −16.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$9.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$107M (≈ $74.9M) · P/S ratio 16.9 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.1900 · Net margin −158% · Return on assets (EBIT) −18.3% · Operating margin −126% · Revenue growth (YoY) −8.9% · Free cash flow −A$7.8M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −67%, SEA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.3300 Fair Value A$0.5000 Bull A$0.6200
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.3900 A$0.5300 A$0.7800 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.3900 A$0.5300 A$0.7800 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 4

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 2
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

SEA screens 207% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 667 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −67% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −158% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −126% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −9% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.70× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 11.82× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 77.09 CHF 59.49 −23%
Danone S.A BN €60.14 €50.81 −16%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $23.79 $29.20 +23%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥34.29 ¥37.72 +10%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,387 ₹724.74 −48%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥26.77 ¥41.84 +56%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.12 ¥9.98 −60%
General Mills, Inc GIS $35.82 $34.66 −3%
Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 74.50 TWD 68.72 TWD −8%
McCormick & Company MKC $49.09 $51.01 +4%

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Sea Forest Limited · Fair Value
A$0.5000 −207%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sea Forest Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SEA

Frequently asked questions

Is Sea Forest Limited (SEA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.5000 versus a price of A$1.54, about −67% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SEA?
Our model-based fair value for Sea Forest Limited is A$0.5000 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$1.54.
What is the quality score of SEA?
Sea Forest Limited has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sea Forest Limited (SEA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.5000 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.3300, optimistic scenario A$0.6200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sea Forest Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.5000, about −67% upside versus a price of A$1.54 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.3300, optimistic scenario A$0.6200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Sea Forest Limited (SEA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sea Forest Limited it is A$0.5000 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$1.54. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sea Forest Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SEA trades above its calculated fair value: price A$1.54, fair value A$0.5000, a gap of about −67% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SEA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$1.54); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.5000). For Sea Forest Limited the two are A$1.04 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sea Forest Limited worth?
The market values Sea Forest Limited at about A$107M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$1.54; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.5000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SEA?
Our models span a range for Sea Forest Limited: cautious scenario A$0.3300, base A$0.5000, optimistic A$0.6200 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$1.54). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
Which stocks are comparable to Sea Forest Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sea Forest Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$1.54, calculated fair value A$0.5000 (−67%), Quality Score 40/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SEA calculated?
We run Sea Forest Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.5000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Sea Forest Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sea Forest Limited (SEA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$1.54. Our model-based fair value is A$0.5000, about −67% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sea Forest Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.6200). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.3300 to A$0.6200) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Sea Forest Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Sea Forest Limited (SEA)?
The market capitalisation of Sea Forest Limited is A$107M (≈ $74.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sea Forest Limited (SEA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sea Forest Limited is 16.9 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sea Forest Limited (SEA)?
Earnings per share at Sea Forest Limited are A$−0.1900. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sea Forest Limited (SEA)?
The net margin of Sea Forest Limited is −158% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sea Forest Limited (SEA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sea Forest Limited is −18.3% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sea Forest Limited (SEA)?
The operating margin of Sea Forest Limited is −126% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sea Forest Limited (SEA)?
Revenue at Sea Forest Limited is growing −8.9% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Sea Forest Limited (SEA) generate?
The free cash flow of Sea Forest Limited is −A$7.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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