Sea Forest Limited (SEA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · AU · Market cap A$119M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from A$2.35 to A$0.5000 (−78.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 77% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.6200). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (A$0.3300 to A$0.6200) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (8 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
8‑month range A$2.06 – A$3.26 · fair‑value band A$0.3300 – A$0.6200 · the A$2.13 price screens above the A$0.5000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Sea Forest Limited (SEA) currently trades at A$2.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.5000, implying the stock looks roughly 76.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$6.3M. Revenue declined 8.9% year over year. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.3300 (bear case) to A$0.6200 (bull case); at A$2.13, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -77%, SEA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sea Forest Limited manufactures and sells nature-identical bioactives through a synthetic process. The company offers SeaFeed, an amplify product that uses both active components derived from Asparagopsis seaweed and manmade bioactives. Sea Forest Limited was formerly known as Sea Forest Pty Ltd.
Full company description
Sea Forest Limited manufactures and sells nature-identical bioactives through a synthetic process. The company offers SeaFeed, an amplify product that uses both active components derived from Asparagopsis seaweed and manmade bioactives. Sea Forest Limited was formerly known as Sea Forest Pty Ltd. The company was founded in 2018 and is based in Triabunna, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sea Forest Limited reported revenue of A$851K in FY2025 versus A$1.2M in FY2023, a compound −16.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$9.1M in FY2025.
SEA screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 649 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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