Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Seneca Foods Corp A $306, price $179, upside +70.8%, quality 72 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $32.68 – $207.30 · fair‑value band $212.43 – $401.79 · the $179.15 price screens below the $305.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Seneca Foods Corporation provides packaged fruits and vegetables in the United States and internationally.
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Seneca Foods Corporation provides packaged fruits and vegetables in the United States and internationally. The company offers canned, frozen, and jarred fruits and vegetables; and packaged snack chips and other food products under the private label, as well as under various national and regional brands that the company owns or licenses, including Aunt Nellie's, CherryMan, Green Giant, Green Valley, Libby's, READ, and Seneca. In addition, it packs canned and frozen vegetables. Further, the company engages in the sale of cans, ends, and seeds, as well as aircraft operations. It provides its products to grocery outlets, including supermarkets, mass merchandisers, limited assortment stores, club stores, and dollar stores; specialty retailers; and food service distributors, restaurant chains, industrial markets, other food packagers, and export customers in approximately 55 countries, as well as federal, state, and local governments for school and other feeding programs. Seneca Foods Corporation was incorporated in 1949 and is headquartered in Fairport, New York.
Stock analysis
Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA) currently trades at $179.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $305.99, implying the stock looks roughly 41.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $309.59 per share, and 18 of the 25 models we run sit above the $179.15 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $73.39, and 7 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $212.43 (bear) to $401.79 (bull), the price of $179.15 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Seneca Foods Corp A reported revenue of $1.7B in FY2026 versus $1.4B in FY2022, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was $115M in FY2026, compounding +25.5%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $1.2B · P/E ratio 11.3 · P/S ratio 0.78 · EPS (TTM) $17.00 · Net margin 6.9% · Return on equity 16.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.0% · Operating margin 7.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at 71%, SENEA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $212.43Fair Value $305.99Bull $401.79
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then ($8.24 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.68/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.7% a year
Revenue growth 43 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
+22.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+22.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.24% vs 29%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −6.2% a year for the price.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (82 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 667 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+71% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)17% · Top 25%
Return on assets8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth36% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.32× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Seneca Foods Corp A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SENEA
Frequently asked questions
Is Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $305.99 versus a price of $179.15, about +71% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SENEA?
Our model-based fair value for Seneca Foods Corp A is $305.99 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $179.15.
What is the quality score of SENEA?
Seneca Foods Corp A has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $305.99 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $212.43, optimistic scenario $401.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Seneca Foods Corp A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $305.99, about +71% upside versus a price of $179.15 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $212.43, optimistic scenario $401.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA)?
Seneca Foods Corp A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Seneca Foods Corp A would have to grow free cash flow by -3.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.5 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SENEA use?
Our models discount Seneca Foods Corp A at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Seneca Foods Corp A that is -3.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Seneca Foods Corp A grew +2.5 % a year. The price currently implies -3.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Seneca Foods Corp A (-3.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 14.57 %: that much free cash flow Seneca Foods Corp A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Seneca Foods Corp A it is $305.99 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $179.15. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Seneca Foods Corp A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SENEA trades below its calculated fair value: price $179.15, fair value $305.99, a gap of about +71% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SENEA?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($179.15); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($305.99). For Seneca Foods Corp A the two are $126.84 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Seneca Foods Corp A worth?
The market values Seneca Foods Corp A at about $1.2B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $179.15; our models calculate a fair value of $305.99 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SENEA?
Our models span a range for Seneca Foods Corp A: cautious scenario $212.43, base $305.99, optimistic $401.79 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $179.15). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SENEA?
Seneca Foods Corp A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $305.99 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.8, P/B 1.6, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 7.0.
What is the PEG ratio of SENEA?
The PEG ratio of Seneca Foods Corp A is 0.83 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Seneca Foods Corp A (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 16.8%, debt of 0.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 72/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SENEA from its 52-week high?
Seneca Foods Corp A trades at $179.15, about 14% below its 52-week high of $207.30 and 77% above the low of $101.18 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $305.99 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Seneca Foods Corp A?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Seneca Foods Corp A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $179.15, calculated fair value $305.99 (+71%), Quality Score 72/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SENEA calculated?
We run Seneca Foods Corp A through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $305.99, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Seneca Foods Corp A currently trades 71 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $179.15. Our model-based fair value is $305.99, about +71% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Seneca Foods Corp A right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (72/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($212.43). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range ($212.43 to $401.79) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA) come from?
Earnings per share at Seneca Foods Corp A grew +17.0 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.6 %, EBIT margin +7.8 %, tax rate +1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Seneca Foods Corp A
How large is the market capitalisation of Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA)?
The market capitalisation of Seneca Foods Corp A is $1.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Seneca Foods Corp A is 0.78 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA)?
Earnings per share at Seneca Foods Corp A are $17.00 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA)?
The net margin of Seneca Foods Corp A is 6.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Seneca Foods Corp A is 16.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Seneca Foods Corp A is 7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA)?
The operating margin of Seneca Foods Corp A is 7.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA)?
Revenue at Seneca Foods Corp A is growing +36.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA)?
Earnings per share at Seneca Foods Corp A are growing +33.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Seneca Foods Corp A (SENEA) carry?
The net debt of Seneca Foods Corp A is $232M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 1.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026