Sena J Property PCL (SENX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Sena J Property PCL THB 0.55, price THB 0.22, upside +150.0%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.1859 THB – 1.19 THB · fair‑value band 0.4490 THB – 0.6420 THB · the 0.2200 THB price screens below the 0.5500 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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SEN X Public Company Limited engages in the property development business in Thailand.
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SEN X Public Company Limited engages in the property development business in Thailand. The company provides property and common area management services, such as condominium juristic persons, housing estates, commercial buildings, warehouses, and shopping centers, as well as projects related to hotel and residential business; domestic and international project sales agent business; buying and selling of land and real estate services; residential service and digital platform business; real estate investment and business matching services; and real estate rental management service business. It also operates retail and residential service business under the Smartify Home and SEN PROP application brand; provides real estate brokerage and agency services; and decoration and amenity sourcing services. The company was formerly known as SENA J Property Public Company Limited and changed its name to SEN X Public Company Limited in May 2023. SEN X Public Company Limited was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.
Stock analysis
Sena J Property PCL (SENX) currently trades at 0.2200 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.5500 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 0.7200 THB per share, and 11 of the 16 models we run sit above the 0.2200 THB price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 0.1800 THB, and 5 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.4490 THB (bear) to 0.6420 THB (bull), the price of 0.2200 THB sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Sena J Property PCL reported revenue of 995M THB in FY2025 versus 1.2B THB in FY2021, a compound −3.7%/yr. Reported net income was 66.2M THB in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 921M THB (≈ $27.6M) · P/E ratio 11.0 · P/S ratio 0.73 · EPS (TTM) 0.0200 THB · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 6.6% · Return on equity 2.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 54% fair-value upside, at 150%, SENX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.4490 THBFair Value 0.5500 THBBull 0.6420 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0110 THB per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+37.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in THB ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in THB: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+8.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−64% → 7%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−10.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −11.8% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 578 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+150% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)14% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−23% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.21× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
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Is Sena J Property PCL (SENX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.5500 THB versus a price of 0.2200 THB, about +150% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SENX?
Our model-based fair value for Sena J Property PCL is 0.5500 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.2200 THB.
What is the quality score of SENX?
Sena J Property PCL has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sena J Property PCL (SENX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.5500 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.4490 THB, optimistic scenario 0.6420 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sena J Property PCL stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.5500 THB, about +150% upside versus a price of 0.2200 THB (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.4490 THB, optimistic scenario 0.6420 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sena J Property PCL (SENX)?
Sena J Property PCL reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 934M THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Sena J Property PCL pay a dividend?
Sena J Property PCL currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.27% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sena J Property PCL (SENX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sena J Property PCL would have to grow free cash flow by -10.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SENX use?
Our models discount Sena J Property PCL at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.13, country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sena J Property PCL that is -10.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sena J Property PCL (SENX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sena J Property PCL grew -3.6 % a year. The price currently implies -10.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sena J Property PCL (SENX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sena J Property PCL (-10.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sena J Property PCL (SENX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 41.29 %: that much free cash flow Sena J Property PCL produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sena J Property PCL (SENX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sena J Property PCL it is 0.5500 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.2200 THB. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sena J Property PCL stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SENX trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.2200 THB, fair value 0.5500 THB, a gap of about +150% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SENX?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.2200 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.5500 THB). For Sena J Property PCL the two are 0.3300 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sena J Property PCL worth?
The market values Sena J Property PCL at about 921M THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.2200 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 0.5500 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SENX?
Our models span a range for Sena J Property PCL: cautious scenario 0.4490 THB, base 0.5500 THB, optimistic 0.6420 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.2200 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SENX?
Sena J Property PCL trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.5500 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 15.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sena J Property PCL (SENX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sena J Property PCL (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.0%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SENX from its 52-week high?
Sena J Property PCL trades at 0.2200 THB, about 25% below its 52-week high of 0.2936 THB and 10% above the low of 0.2000 THB (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.5500 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sena J Property PCL?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sena J Property PCL stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.2200 THB, calculated fair value 0.5500 THB (+150%), Quality Score 67/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SENX calculated?
We run Sena J Property PCL through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.5500 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Sena J Property PCL currently trades 150 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sena J Property PCL (SENX)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 0.2200 THB. Our model-based fair value is 0.5500 THB, about +150% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sena J Property PCL right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.4490 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Sena J Property PCL
How large is the market capitalisation of Sena J Property PCL (SENX)?
The market capitalisation of Sena J Property PCL is 921M THB (≈ $27.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sena J Property PCL (SENX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sena J Property PCL is 0.73 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sena J Property PCL (SENX)?
Earnings per share at Sena J Property PCL are 0.0200 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sena J Property PCL (SENX)?
The dividend yield of Sena J Property PCL is 2.3% (payout 25.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sena J Property PCL (SENX)?
The net margin of Sena J Property PCL is 6.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sena J Property PCL (SENX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sena J Property PCL is 2.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sena J Property PCL (SENX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sena J Property PCL is −1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sena J Property PCL (SENX)?
The operating margin of Sena J Property PCL is 13.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sena J Property PCL (SENX)?
Revenue at Sena J Property PCL is growing −23.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sena J Property PCL (SENX)?
Earnings per share at Sena J Property PCL are growing +197% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sena J Property PCL (SENX) carry?
The net debt of Sena J Property PCL is 1.5B THB (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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