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Seri Industrial S.p.A (SERI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Seri Industrial S.p.A €4.48, price €2.34, upside +91.9%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Utilities · IT · ISIN IT0005283640

SI Some data Sep 23, 2026

Seri Industrial S.p.A

SERI · MI

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value €4.48 · Strongly undervalued (+92%)
!Quality 29/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +17.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.7% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
!Narrow moat 41/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€10.68 €1.53 Fair Value €4.48 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.53 – €10.68 · fair‑value band €3.36 – €5.60 · the €2.34 price screens below the €4.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 3 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Seri Industrial S.p.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in the production and recycling of plastic materials for battery, automotive, hydro-thermo-sanitary, civil, and shipbuilding markets. The company produces special compounds; moulds battery boxes and lids; and offers extrusion and moulding services for pipes, fittings, and special parts.

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Seri Industrial S.p.A., through its subsidiaries, engages in the production and recycling of plastic materials for battery, automotive, hydro-thermo-sanitary, civil, and shipbuilding markets. The company produces special compounds; moulds battery boxes and lids; and offers extrusion and moulding services for pipes, fittings, and special parts. It is also involved in the production of lithium battery cells, modules, and battery systems for ESS, industrial, and special applications; production of lead-acid batteries for traction, starter, and stationary applications; and recycling of end-of-life batteries under the FAAM brand. The company was formerly known as K.R.Energy S.p.A. Seri Industrial S.p.A. was founded in 1999 and is based in San Potito Sannitico, Italy. Seri Industrial S.p.A. operates as a subsidiary of S.E.R.I. S.p.A.

Stock analysis

Seri Industrial S.p.A (SERI) currently trades at €2.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €4.48, implying the stock looks roughly 47.9% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €11.52 per share, and 9 of the 10 models we run sit above the €2.34 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €2.09, and 1 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €3.36 (bear) to €5.60 (bull), the price of €2.34 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Seri Industrial S.p.A reported revenue of €279M in FY2025 versus €158M in FY2021, a compound +15.3%/yr. Reported net income was €14.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €165M · P/E ratio 8.6 · P/S ratio 0.44 · EPS (TTM) €0.2700 · Net margin 5.1% · Return on equity 9.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.3% · Operating margin 16.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 92%, SERI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €3.36 Fair Value €4.48 Bull €5.60
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.1982 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income €2.37 €2.45 €2.49 68
EV/EBITDA €4.57 €5.93 €7.29 67
Growth-Adj P/E €8.06 €11.52 €14.98 65
All 10 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €1.79 €12.49 €17.53 61
Lynch FV €6.45 €9.22 €11.98 59
PEG = 1.0 €6.45 €9.22 €11.98 55
Multiples
P/E Multiple €3.56 €4.74 €5.93 63
P/S Multiple €3.36 €4.48 €5.60 58
P/B Multiple €3.36 €4.48 €5.60 55
EV/EBITDA €4.57 €5.93 €7.29 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.56 €2.09 €3.13 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income €2.37 €2.45 €2.49 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €8.06 €11.52 €14.98 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 15
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 24
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 20
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 63
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+38.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +46.8% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+53.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+53.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−7% → −4%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 208 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +92% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 24% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.12× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.6× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.12× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.63× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 4.1× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 15
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)39 · sector 14
HEALTH (low debt)94 · sector 68
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 47

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥28.08 ¥30.89 +10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 142.20 kr 31.40 −78%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.62 ¥4.45 −54%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,301 ₹169.61 −87%
VERBUND AG VER €62.10 €56.60 −9%
BEP BEP $29.78 $70.40 +136%
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €23.56 €14.06 −40%
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥14.30 ¥17.08 +19%
China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co 600905 ¥3.64 ¥2.40 −34%
EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR €13.22 €3.67 −72%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Seri Industrial S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SERI

Frequently asked questions

Is Seri Industrial S.p.A (SERI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €4.48 versus a price of €2.34, about +92% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SERI?
Our model-based fair value for Seri Industrial S.p.A is €4.48 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €2.34.
What is the quality score of SERI?
Seri Industrial S.p.A has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Seri Industrial S.p.A (SERI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €4.48 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario €3.36, optimistic scenario €5.60. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Seri Industrial S.p.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €4.48, about +92% upside versus a price of €2.34 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €3.36, optimistic scenario €5.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Seri Industrial S.p.A (SERI)?
Seri Industrial S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €300M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Seri Industrial S.p.A (SERI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Seri Industrial S.p.A it is €4.48 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €2.34. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Seri Industrial S.p.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SERI trades below its calculated fair value: price €2.34, fair value €4.48, a gap of about +92% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SERI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€2.34); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€4.48). For Seri Industrial S.p.A the two are €2.15 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Seri Industrial S.p.A worth?
The market values Seri Industrial S.p.A at about €165M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €2.34; our models calculate a fair value of €4.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SERI?
Our models span a range for Seri Industrial S.p.A: cautious scenario €3.36, base €4.48, optimistic €5.60 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €2.34). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SERI?
Seri Industrial S.p.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.6 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €4.48 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 4.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Seri Industrial S.p.A (SERI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Seri Industrial S.p.A (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 9.8%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SERI from its 52-week high?
Seri Industrial S.p.A trades at €2.34, about 39% below its 52-week high of €3.84 and 28% above the low of €1.83 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €4.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Seri Industrial S.p.A?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Adani Green Energy Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Seri Industrial S.p.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €2.34, calculated fair value €4.48 (+92%), Quality Score 29/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SERI calculated?
We run Seri Industrial S.p.A through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €4.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Seri Industrial S.p.A currently trades 92 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Seri Industrial S.p.A (SERI)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €2.34. Our model-based fair value is €4.48, about +92% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Seri Industrial S.p.A right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (29/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (€3.36). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.

Key figures of Seri Industrial S.p.A

How large is the market capitalisation of Seri Industrial S.p.A (SERI)?
The market capitalisation of Seri Industrial S.p.A is €165M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Seri Industrial S.p.A (SERI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Seri Industrial S.p.A is 0.44 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Seri Industrial S.p.A (SERI)?
Earnings per share at Seri Industrial S.p.A are €0.2700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Seri Industrial S.p.A (SERI)?
The net margin of Seri Industrial S.p.A is 5.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Seri Industrial S.p.A (SERI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Seri Industrial S.p.A is 9.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Seri Industrial S.p.A (SERI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Seri Industrial S.p.A is −1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Seri Industrial S.p.A (SERI)?
The operating margin of Seri Industrial S.p.A is 16.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Seri Industrial S.p.A (SERI)?
Revenue at Seri Industrial S.p.A is growing +24.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Seri Industrial S.p.A (SERI)?
Earnings per share at Seri Industrial S.p.A are growing −16.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Seri Industrial S.p.A (SERI) generate?
The free cash flow of Seri Industrial S.p.A is −€125M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Seri Industrial S.p.A (SERI) carry?
The net debt of Seri Industrial S.p.A is €189M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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