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Sezzle Inc. (SEZL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Sezzle Inc. $85.32, price $107, upside -20.2%, quality 74 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Financial Services · US · ISIN US78435P1057

SI Sezzle Inc. logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

Sezzle Inc.

SEZL · US

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value $85.32 · Overvalued (−20%)
✓Quality 74/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +50.3 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 30.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
✓Wide moat 93/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $43.20 to $165.46
!Weak on valuation: 6 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$1,000,000 $1.36 Fair Value $85.32 Aug 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

37‑month range $1.36 – $1,000,000 · fair‑value band $43.20 – $165.46 · the $106.89 price screens above the $85.32 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Sezzle Inc. operates as a technology-enabled payments company in the United States and Canada.

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Sezzle Inc. operates as a technology-enabled payments company in the United States and Canada. The company offers Sezzle Platform that provides a payments solution for consumers that extends credit at the point-of-sale allowing consumers to purchase and receive the ordered merchandise at the time of sale while paying in installments over time; Pay-in-Four, which allows consumers to pay a fourth of the purchase price up front and then another fourth of the purchase price every two weeks thereafter over a total of six weeks; Pay-in-Full that allows consumers to pay for the full value of their order up-front through the Sezzle Platform without the extension of credit; Pay-in-five which allows eligible consumers to pay a fifth of the purchase price up front, and then another four installments every two weeks; Pay-in-Two, which allow consumer to pay half of the value of their order up-front and the second half in two weeks; and other alternative installment options. It also provides Sezzle Virtual Card that allows consumers to access the Sezzle Platform in the form of merchants in-store and online with merchants that are not directly integrated with Sezzle; Sezzle Anywhere, a paid subscription service that allows consumers to use their Sezzle Virtual Card at any merchant online or in-store; Sezzle On-Demand, a service that allows consumers who are not subscribed to Sezzle Anywhere to use the Sezzle Platform at any merchant online or in-store; Sezzle Premium, a paid subscription service that allows its consumers to access large, non-integrated premium merchants; Sezzle Balance, a stored-value product that allows consumers to maintain funds in Sezzle account for use toward eligible purchases or make payments on the Sezzle Platform; and Sezzle Up, an opt-in feature of the Sezzle Platform. In addition, the company offers Long-Term Lending through collaboration with third-party lenders. Sezzle Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

Stock analysis

Sezzle Inc. (SEZL) currently trades at $106.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $85.32, implying the stock looks roughly 25.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of $138.57 per share, and 6 of the 11 models we run sit above the $106.89 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $52.21, and 5 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $43.20 (bear) to $165.46 (bull), the price of $106.89 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Sezzle Inc. reported revenue of $450M in FY2025 versus $115M in FY2021, a compound +40.7%/yr. Reported net income was $133M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $5.9B · P/E ratio 25.5 · P/S ratio 7.52 · EPS (TTM) $4.20 · Net margin 29.6% · Return on equity 92.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.0% · Operating margin 61.0%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 54 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 110% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −20%, SEZL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $43.20 Fair Value $85.32 Bull $165.46
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($3.07 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $95.47 $183.76 $326.01 73
Owner Earnings $61.59 $139.25 $296.28 68
Rev-Margin DCF $46.22 $72.30 $127.07 68
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $61.59 $139.25 $296.28 68
5Y P/E Exit $55.99 $111.59 $184.57 66
10Y P/E Exit $70.69 $135.26 $234.99 59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $26.92 $187.75 $263.47 61
Lynch FV $97.00 $138.57 $180.14 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $38.60 $51.47 $64.33 63
P/B Multiple $5.30 $7.07 $8.84 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.52 $3.38 $5.05 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $95.47 $183.76 $326.01 73
Rev-Margin DCF $46.22 $72.30 $127.07 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income $29.99 $52.21 $1,366 56

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 97
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 99
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 93
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 46
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 26
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+66.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+53.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+50.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+233.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−46.8% (2020) → 39.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: rate outside our plausibility band
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+23.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.9% a year for the price and +20.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+32.6%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+25.3%
Projected 2028 (sales)+22.4%
Projected 2029 (sales)+19.5%
Projected 2030 (sales)+16.6%

SEZL screens 25% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Credit Services · 330 stocks

Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −20% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 92% · Top 25%
Return on assets 48% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 31% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 61% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 29% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.82× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B 34.59× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 12.21× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF 28.2× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 20.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.13× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)6 · sector 48
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 39
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 32
HEALTH (low debt)59 · sector 59
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 66

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $362.04 $227.35 −37%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $555.89 $356.78 −36%
American Express Company AXP $305.07 $206.40 −32%
Capital One Financial Corporation COF $200.55 $125.36 −37%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,043 ₹1,101 +6%
PayPal Holdings PYPL $52.89 $99.46 +88%
Affirm Holdings AFRM $71.77 $16.24 −77%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,011 ₹1,374 +36%
Synchrony Financial, SYF $72.67 $137.28 +89%
SoFi Technologies, Inc SOFI $17.16 $5.57 −68%

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Sezzle Inc. · Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sezzle Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SEZL

Frequently asked questions

Is Sezzle Inc. (SEZL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $85.32 versus a price of $106.89, about −20% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SEZL?
Our model-based fair value for Sezzle Inc. is $85.32 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $106.89.
What is the quality score of SEZL?
Sezzle Inc. has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sezzle Inc. (SEZL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $85.32 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario $43.20, optimistic scenario $165.46. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sezzle Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $85.32, about −20% upside versus a price of $106.89 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $43.20, optimistic scenario $165.46. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sezzle Inc. (SEZL)?
Sezzle Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $481M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sezzle Inc. (SEZL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sezzle Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +14.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +50.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SEZL use?
Our models discount Sezzle Inc. at 12.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 6.72, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sezzle Inc. that is +14.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sezzle Inc. (SEZL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sezzle Inc. grew +50.3 % a year. The price currently implies +14.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sezzle Inc. (SEZL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sezzle Inc. (+14.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sezzle Inc. (SEZL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.45 %: that much free cash flow Sezzle Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sezzle Inc. (SEZL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sezzle Inc. it is $85.32 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $106.89. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sezzle Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SEZL trades above its calculated fair value: price $106.89, fair value $85.32, a gap of about −20% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SEZL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($106.89); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($85.32). For Sezzle Inc. the two are $21.58 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sezzle Inc. worth?
The market values Sezzle Inc. at about $5.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $106.89; our models calculate a fair value of $85.32 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SEZL?
Our models span a range for Sezzle Inc.: cautious scenario $43.20, base $85.32, optimistic $165.46 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $106.89). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SEZL?
Sezzle Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $85.32 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.1, P/B 34.6, P/S 12.2, EV/EBITDA 20.8.
What is the PEG ratio of SEZL?
The PEG ratio of Sezzle Inc. is 0.13 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sezzle Inc. (SEZL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sezzle Inc. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 92.0%, debt of 0.82 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 74/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SEZL from its 52-week high?
Sezzle Inc. trades at $106.89, about 43% below its 52-week high of $188.55 and 110% above the low of $50.97 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $85.32 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sezzle Inc.?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Visa Inc, Mastercard Incorporated, American Express Company, Capital One Financial Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sezzle Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $106.89, calculated fair value $85.32 (−20%), Quality Score 74/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SEZL calculated?
We run Sezzle Inc. through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $85.32, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Sezzle Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sezzle Inc. (SEZL)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $106.89. Our model-based fair value is $85.32, about −20% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sezzle Inc. right now?
A high-quality business (quality 74/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety. The model range is unusually wide ($43.20 to $165.46). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Sezzle Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Sezzle Inc. (SEZL)?
The market capitalisation of Sezzle Inc. is $5.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sezzle Inc. (SEZL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sezzle Inc. is 7.52 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sezzle Inc. (SEZL)?
Earnings per share at Sezzle Inc. are $4.20 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sezzle Inc. (SEZL)?
The net margin of Sezzle Inc. is 29.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sezzle Inc. (SEZL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sezzle Inc. is 92.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sezzle Inc. (SEZL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sezzle Inc. is 7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sezzle Inc. (SEZL)?
The operating margin of Sezzle Inc. is 61.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sezzle Inc. (SEZL)?
Revenue at Sezzle Inc. is growing +29.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +53.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sezzle Inc. (SEZL)?
Earnings per share at Sezzle Inc. are growing +47.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sezzle Inc. (SEZL) carry?
The net debt of Sezzle Inc. is $76.6M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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