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Société Générale Société anonyme (SGE) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · DE · Market cap €54.4B · ISIN FR0000130809

What is Société Générale Société anonyme really worth?

SG Société Générale Société anonyme SGE · XETRA
Price€74.19
Fair Value€97.02
Upside+30.8%
Quality45/100

Below-average quality, trading 24% below our fair value of €97.02.

As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Société Générale Société anonyme is €97.02 per share against a price of €74.19, so the fair value sits 31% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 23.6% net margin

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +23.4 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Moderate moat 64/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·2.17% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range €72.76 – €121.27

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from €94.06 to €97.02 (+3.1%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price −11.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€84.23 €15.90 Fair Value €97.02 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €15.90 – €84.23 · fair‑value band €72.76 – €121.27 · the €74.19 price screens below the €97.02 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Société Générale Société anonyme (SGE) currently trades at €74.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €97.02, implying the stock looks roughly 23.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €94.06 per share, and 3 of the 6 models we run sit above the €74.19 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €14.96, and 3 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Société Générale Société anonyme generated revenue of €25.8B at a net margin of 23.6%. Revenue grew 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.9%. Net debt stands at €162B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €72.76 (bear case) to €121.27 (bull case); at €74.19, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 31%, SGE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €3.70 per share, which is 3.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence €70.08 €76.18 €101.44 76
Gordon GGM €9.04 €18.80 €29.83 66
DDM Multi-Stage €9.04 €14.96 €19.73 66
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €9.04 €18.80 €29.83 66
DDM Multi-Stage €9.04 €14.96 €19.73 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple €70.54 €94.06 €117.57 63
P/B Multiple €86.85 €115.80 €144.74 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €41.36 €55.42 €82.71 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence €70.08 €76.18 €101.44 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (€94.06) versus Dividend Discount (€14.96). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 10.5
P/S ratio 0.73 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) €7.04 price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.5
Dividend yield 2.2% payout 22.9%
Net margin 7.0% FY2025
Return on equity 8.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 0.5% avg 5y
Operating margin 37.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) €25.8B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.2% 3y avg +12.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +14.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −€29.0B FY2025
Net debt €162B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 69
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 83
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Société Générale Société anonyme provides banking and financial services to individuals, corporates, and institutional clients in Europe and internationally. It operates through French Retail, Private Banking and Insurance; International Retail, Mobility and Leasing Services; and Global Banking and Investor Solutions.

Full company description

Société Générale Société anonyme provides banking and financial services to individuals, corporates, and institutional clients in Europe and internationally. It operates through French Retail, Private Banking and Insurance; International Retail, Mobility and Leasing Services; and Global Banking and Investor Solutions. The company offers retail banking services, such as consumer credit, vehicle leasing and fleet management, online banking, wealth management, and equipment and vendor finance services; and insurance products, including home, vehicle, family, health, and mortgage insurance. It also provides corporate and investment banking, securities, clearing services, execution, prime brokerage, and custody services; and consumer finance, advisory and financing, and asset management and private banking services. Société Générale Société anonyme was incorporated in 1864 and is headquartered in Paris, France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Société Générale Société anonyme reported revenue of €75.9B in FY2025 versus €46.1B in FY2021, a compound +13.2%/yr. Reported net income was €5.3B in FY2025, compounding −1.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€75.9B
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+28.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
≈ +18.0% (approximate, leans on 2025) · in EUR
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+15.8%
Dividend yield2.2%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 5.2% vs 10Y 3.4%, steady
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2.3% (2020) → 11.6% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop121% (2020) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in EUR
⚠ Final year 2025 sits 214% above its own trend (e.g. a one-off disposal gain), so this rate uses the operating basis instead of reported profit
Revenue +13.2%/yr
FY21 €46.1B
FY22 €54.0B
FY23 €87.1B
FY24 €97.6B
FY25 €75.9B
Net income −1.6%/yr
FY21 €5.6B
FY22 €1.2B
FY23 €1.7B
FY24 €4.2B
FY25 €5.3B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +0.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.4 %

of which total revenue +3.4 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin −14.3 %
Tax rate +0.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +13.3 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Société Générale Société anonyme Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SGE.XETRA

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1070 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside +52% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 24% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 37% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.41× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.05× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.45× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.07× · Pricier than median

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DBS Group D05 75.65 SGD 40.48 SGD −46%
China Merchants Bank Co 3968 HK$47.96 HK$76.51 +60%
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.78 €5.66 −17%
HDFC Bank Limited HDB $23.18 $24.12 +4%
BNP Paribas SA BNP €104.54 €144.64 +38%
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €84.71 €77.62 −8%
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $10.74 $9.69 −10%
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,423 ₹835.21 −41%
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 31.07 SGD 19.80 SGD −36%
CaixaBank, S.A CABK €13.52 €8.85 −35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Société Générale Société anonyme (SGE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €97.02 versus a price of €74.19, about +31% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SGE?
Our model-based fair value for Société Générale Société anonyme is €97.02 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €74.19.
What is the quality score of SGE?
Société Générale Société anonyme has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Société Générale Société anonyme (SGE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €97.02 (as of Aug 13, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario €72.76, optimistic scenario €121.27. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Société Générale Société anonyme stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €97.02, about +31% upside versus a price of €74.19 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €72.76, optimistic scenario €121.27. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Société Générale Société anonyme (SGE)?
Société Générale Société anonyme reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €25.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SGE?
The net profit margin of Société Générale Société anonyme is about 23.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Société Générale Société anonyme pay a dividend?
Société Générale Société anonyme currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.17% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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