Ho Chi Minh City Development Joint Stock Commercial Bank (HDB) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · VN · Market cap 135T VND
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 19 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price −4.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 74% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (34,744 VND). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 7,128 VND – 29,700 VND · fair‑value band 34,744 VND – 57,906 VND · the 26,550 VND price screens below the 46,325 VND fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Ho Chi Minh City Development Joint Stock Commercial Bank (HDB) currently trades at 26,550 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 46,325 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 74.5% undervalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Ho Chi Minh City Development Joint Stock Commercial Bank generated revenue of 33.8T VND at a net margin of 50.5%. Revenue grew 10.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.4%. Net debt stands at 35.7T VND. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 34,744 VND (bear case) to 57,906 VND (bull case); at 26,550 VND, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 74%, HDB screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 19 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (532,401 VND) versus Dividend Discount (10,010 VND). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ho Chi Minh City Development Joint Stock Commercial Bank provides various banking products and services to individuals and corporates in Vietnam and internationally.
Full company description
Ho Chi Minh City Development Joint Stock Commercial Bank provides various banking products and services to individuals and corporates in Vietnam and internationally. The company offers current account, savings, demand, online saving, and regular term deposits; health, hospital allowance, death and disability, accident, critical illness, home, civil liability for car, borrower, assets risks, fire and special risks, and protection and investment insurances; business, agriculture, car, consumer, and real estate loans; overdraft, paper discount, and intermediary payment services; foreign exchange and international transfers; debit, prepaid, and credit cards; remittance services; and collection and payment services, hold, nostro accounts, money deposits, and other services. It also provides working capital financing, medium and long-term loans, and guarantees; supply chain financing, import and export financing and services, and cross-border payments; and derivatives services. In addition, the company offers cash management, such as deposit and online deposit, collection services, cash payment services, authorized payment services, payroll/commission payment services, collection and disbursement services, digital cash services, bill payments, tax payments, and counter and electronic tax payments. Further, it provides online banking services, such as internet banking, SMS banking, and mobile banking, as well as ATM services. Ho Chi Minh City Development Joint Stock Commercial Bank was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ho Chi Minh City Development Joint Stock Commercial Bank reported revenue of 42.7T VND in FY2025 versus 16.4T VND in FY2021, a compound +27.0%/yr. Reported net income was 16.5T VND in FY2025, compounding +28.5%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1082 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,175 IDR | 6,087 IDR | -1% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 184,400 KRW | 213,797 KRW | +16% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 2,970 IDR | 4,891 IDR | +65% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,310 IDR | 7,841 IDR | +82% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 10,240 ARS | +100% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 107,900 KRW | 137,259 KRW | +27% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 136,800 KRW | 193,969 KRW | +42% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Banco de Chile, CHILE | 193.10 CLP | 152.55 CLP | -21% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,400 VND | 84,201 VND | +42% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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