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Sotera Health Company (SHC) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $5.3B

SH Sotera Health Company logo Sotera Health Company SHC · US
Price$18.86
Fair Value$4.69
Upside-75.1%
Quality50/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 9.9% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Wide moat 71/100
Evidence: High Range $2.61 – $7.23 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from $4.66 to $4.69 (+0.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +8.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 75% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($7.23). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($2.61 to $7.23). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$27.28 $5.95 Fair Value $4.69 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.95 – $27.28 · fair‑value band $2.61 – $7.23 · the $18.86 price screens above the $4.69 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Sotera Health Company (SHC) currently trades at $18.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.69, implying the stock looks roughly 75.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sotera Health Company generated revenue of $1.2B at a net margin of 9.9%. Revenue grew 10.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.7%. Net debt stands at $1.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.61 (bear case) to $7.23 (bull case); at $18.86, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 75% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -75%, SHC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1.88 $5.23 80
Residual Income $1.98 $2.38 $4.87 76
Rev-Margin DCF $0.9500 $5.53 $10.69 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2.09 $6.09 38
Owner Earnings $0.0900 31
5Y Revenue Exit $0.9500 $5.55 $11.42 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $6.75 $16.27 $27.37 41
5Y P/E Exit $0.7000 $3.14 38
10Y Revenue Exit $0.0300 $4.01 $9.31 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.87 $11.24 $21.08 37
10Y P/E Exit $0.7400 $3.20 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.86 $5.46 $7.22 54
Lynch FV $1.14 $1.63 $2.12 50
PEG = 1.0 $1.14 $1.63 $2.12 46
EPV $4.06 $5.69 $7.09 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $4.51 $6.01 $7.52 63
P/S Multiple $3.49 $4.65 $5.81 58
P/B Multiple $3.49 $4.65 $5.81 55
EV/EBIT $11.32 $17.17 $23.03 53
EV/EBITDA $13.25 $19.75 $26.25 54
EV/Revenue $2.33 $6.00 $9.67 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.06 $1.42 $2.13 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.88 $5.23 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.9500 $5.53 $10.69 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.98 $2.38 $4.87 76
ROIC Compounder $4.45 $7.07 $10.19 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $3.64 $5.20 $6.76 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($6.00) versus Asset-Based ($1.42). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.0%
Net margin 9.9%
Return on equity 22.7%
Free cash flow $149M FY2025
P/E ratio 38.0
More key figures
Operating margin 31.3%
EPS (TTM) $0.4100
EPS growth (YoY) +175%
Net debt $1.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 21
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 46
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 27
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 74
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sotera Health Company provides sterilization solutions, lab testing, and advisory services for the healthcare industry in the United States, Canada, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Sterigenics, Nordion, and Nelson Labs.

Full company description

Sotera Health Company provides sterilization solutions, lab testing, and advisory services for the healthcare industry in the United States, Canada, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Sterigenics, Nordion, and Nelson Labs. The Sterigenics segment offers outsourced terminal sterilization and irradiation services using gamma irradiation, ethylene oxide processing, and electron beam irradiation technologies for medical devices, pharmaceutical, and food safety and advanced applications markets. The Nordion segment provides Cobalt-60 used in the sterilization and irradiation processes for the medical device, pharmaceutical, food safety, and high-performance materials industries, as well as in the treatment of cancer. It also offers gamma irradiation systems. The Nelson Labs segment provides outsourced microbiological and analytical chemistry testing and advisory services for the medical device and pharmaceutical industries. The company was formerly known as Sotera Health Topco, Inc. and changed its name to Sotera Health Company in October 2020. Sotera Health Company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Broadview Heights, Ohio.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sotera Health Company reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2025 versus $931M in FY2021, a compound +5.7%/yr. Reported net income was $77.9M in FY2025, compounding −9.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.2B
Latest YoY
+5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y)
+6.6%
Revenue +5.7%/yr
FY21 $931M
FY22 $1.0B
FY23 $1.0B
FY24 $1.1B
FY25 $1.2B
Net income −9.6%/yr
FY21 $117M
FY22 −$234M
FY23 $51.4M
FY24 $44.4M
FY25 $77.9M

SHC screens 75% overvalued. Compare with Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sotera Health Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SHC

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Diagnostics & Research · 136 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −75% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 31% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Debt / equity 3.51× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Diagnostics & Research median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 44.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 8.67× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.42× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 35.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.68× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 50 · sector 27
PAST 91 · sector 10
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 21

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Diagnostics & Research stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc TMO $543.19 $308.19 -43%
Danaher Corporation DHR $199.66 $103.88 -48%
WuXi AppTec Co 2359 HK$160.70 HK$125.20 -22%
Lonza Group LONN CHF 567.80 CHF 259.80 -54%
IDEXX Laboratories, Inc IDXX $567.44 $255.77 -55%
Agilent Technologies, Inc A $131.46 $62.70 -52%
Waters Corporation WAT $368.98 $121.96 -67%
IQVIA Holdings IQV $207.85 $134.18 -35%
Integrated Diagnostics Holdings IDHC $0.0050 $0.0053 +5%
Illumina, Inc ILMN $186.65 $95.51 -49%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sotera Health Company (SHC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.69 versus a price of $18.86, about −75% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SHC?
Our model-based fair value for Sotera Health Company is $4.69 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $18.86.
What is the quality score of SHC?
Sotera Health Company has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sotera Health Company (SHC)?
Sotera Health Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SHC?
The net profit margin of Sotera Health Company is about 9.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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