SIGA Technologies, Inc (SIGA) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $315M
SIGA Technologies, Inc
SIGA · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $7.15 to $6.89 (−3.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −13.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 126% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($5.36). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $3.05 – $18.03 · fair‑value band $5.36 – $8.07 · the $3.05 price screens below the $6.89 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
SIGA Technologies, Inc (SIGA) currently trades at $3.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.89, implying the stock looks roughly 125.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, SIGA Technologies, Inc generated revenue of $93.8M at a net margin of 21.6%. Revenue declined 11.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $154M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5.36 (bear case) to $8.07 (bull case); at $3.05, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 64% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at 126%, SIGA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($15.09) versus Asset-Based ($1.86). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when SIGA reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
SIGA Technologies, Inc., a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company, focuses on the health security market in the United States. The company's lead product is TPOXX, an antiviral drug for the treatment of human smallpox disease caused by variola virus. SIGA Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
SIGA Technologies, Inc reported revenue of $94.6M in FY2025 versus $134M in FY2021, a compound −8.3%/yr. Reported net income was $23.3M in FY2025, compounding −23.9%/yr from FY2021.
Watch SIGA: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 623 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 | ¥53.19 | ¥25.94 | -51% |
| Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA | ₹1,933 | ₹989.50 | -49% |
| Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB | ₹7,316 | ₹1,943 | -73% |
| Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM | ₹4,763 | ₹1,329 | -72% |
| PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 | 1,285 TWD | 221.01 TWD | -83% |
| Cipla Limited CIPLA | ₹1,439 | ₹1,001 | -30% |
| Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE | ₹1,151 | ₹703.32 | -39% |
| Lupin Limited LUPIN | ₹2,443 | ₹2,477 | +1% |
| Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND | ₹2,484 | ₹983.11 | -60% |
| Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY | ₹1,211 | ₹874.79 | -28% |
Compare SIGA Technologies, Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Healthcare stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is SIGA Technologies, Inc (SIGA) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of SIGA?
What is the quality score of SIGA?
What is the revenue of SIGA Technologies, Inc (SIGA)?
What is the net profit margin of SIGA?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track SIGA Technologies, Inc and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.