Sinch AB (SINCH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Sinch AB stock SEK 13.43, price SEK 43.30, that is 69.0% below the price, quality 61 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 14.07 – kr 201.70 · fair‑value band kr 9.40 – kr 19.64 · the kr 43.30 price screens above the kr 13.43 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Sinch AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, provides cloud communication services and digital customer engagement channels to the enterprise sector.
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The company offers email, messaging, verification, voice, numbers, and other APIs, as well as chatbot builder, contact center, and other applications; and channels and core systems.
It also provides solutions for marketing campaigns, customer updates and services, identity and verifications, operations, and security and risk.
The company serves various industries, including financial services, healthcare, media and entertainment, retail, telecommunications, and travel and transport.
It operates in Sweden, the Netherlands, France, the United Kingdom, Germany, Brazil, India, Australia, Singapore, the United States, and internationally. Sinch AB (publ) was formerly known as CLX Communications AB (publ) and changed its name to Sinch AB (publ) in July 2019.
The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Sinch AB (SINCH) currently trades at kr 43.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 13.43, 69% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of kr 64.72 per share, and 8 of the 22 models we run sit above the kr 43.30 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at kr 9.96, and 14 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: kr 9.40 (bear) to kr 19.64 (bull), the price of kr 43.30 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Sinch AB reported revenue of 27.1B SEK in FY2025 versus 16.2B SEK in FY2021, a compound +13.7%/yr. Reported net income was 217M SEK in FY2025, compounding −30.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 30.8B SEK (≈ $3.1B) Mid · P/E ratio 49.2 · P/S ratio 1.11 · EPS (TTM) kr 0.8800 · Net margin 2.4% · Return on equity 2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin 4.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 31 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 115% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 51% fair-value upside, at −69%, SINCH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bearkr 9.40Fair Value kr 13.43Bullkr 19.64
Price kr 43.30 · Downside -69.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 0.7546 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +37.9% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−18.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−18.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−18.8% vs 5.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 4%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+19.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +17.2% a year for the price and +3.2% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (95 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
AI conclusion: Expanded North American RCS reach across major carriers strengthens the position in intelligent customer communications, yet persistently low margins and competitive pressure remain the core weakness.
Main risk: Satellite providers acquiring spectrum for direct-to-device services could bypass carrier networks and reduce demand for Sinch's RCS messaging on traditional mobile infrastructure.
Sinch has now extended direct RCS business messaging to all major Canadian carriers, rounding out its North American reach. This strengthens its position in intelligent customer communications, yet analysts flag risks to the medium-term gross profit growth target outside the US. Will the completed North American footprint deliver enough momentum to balance softer conditions in Europe and Asia?
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 234 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Above median
Fair Value upside−69.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)2.7% · Below median
Return on assets0.5% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)2.4% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)4.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)9.5% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.22× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)49.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.36× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sinch AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SINCH
Frequently asked questions
Is Sinch AB (SINCH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 13.43 versus a price of kr 43.30, about 69% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SINCH?
Our model-based fair value for Sinch AB is kr 13.43 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 43.30.
What is the quality score of SINCH?
Sinch AB has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sinch AB (SINCH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 13.43 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 9.40, optimistic scenario kr 19.64. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sinch AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 13.43, about 69% lower versus a price of kr 43.30 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 9.40, optimistic scenario kr 19.64. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sinch AB (SINCH)?
Sinch AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 27.8B SEK (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sinch AB (SINCH)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sinch AB would have to grow free cash flow by +19.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +27.5 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SINCH use?
Our models discount Sinch AB at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 2.41, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sinch AB that is +19.6 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sinch AB (SINCH) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sinch AB grew +27.5 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +19.6 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sinch AB (SINCH) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sinch AB (+19.6 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sinch AB (SINCH)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.70 %: that much free cash flow Sinch AB produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sinch AB (SINCH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sinch AB it is kr 13.43 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of kr 43.30. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models in 6 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Sinch AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, SINCH trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 43.30, fair value kr 13.43, a gap of about −69% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SINCH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 43.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 13.43). For Sinch AB the two are kr 29.87 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sinch AB worth?
The market values Sinch AB at about 30.8B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is kr 43.30; our models calculate a fair value of kr 13.43 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SINCH?
Our models span a range for Sinch AB: cautious scenario kr 9.40, base kr 13.43, optimistic kr 19.64 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price kr 43.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SINCH?
Sinch AB trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 49.2 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 13.43 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 11.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sinch AB (SINCH)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sinch AB (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 2.7%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SINCH from its 52-week high?
Sinch AB trades at kr 43.30, about 16% below its 52-week high of kr 51.60 and 115% above the low of kr 20.14 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 13.43 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sinch AB?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, Verizon Communications Inc, T-Mobile US, Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sinch AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price kr 43.30, calculated fair value kr 13.43 (−69%), Quality Score 61/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SINCH calculated?
We run Sinch AB through 22 models from 6 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of kr 13.43 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Sinch AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sinch AB (SINCH)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was kr 43.30. Our model-based fair value is kr 13.43, about 69% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sinch AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 19.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (kr 9.40 to kr 19.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Sinch AB (SINCH) come from?
Earnings per share at Sinch AB grew +0.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +30.6 %, EBIT margin −9.1 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −15.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Sinch AB
How large is the market capitalisation of Sinch AB (SINCH)?
The market capitalisation of Sinch AB is 30.8B SEK (≈ $3.1B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sinch AB (SINCH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sinch AB is 1.11 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sinch AB (SINCH)?
Earnings per share at Sinch AB are kr 0.8800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 49.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sinch AB (SINCH)?
The net margin of Sinch AB is 2.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sinch AB (SINCH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sinch AB is 2.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sinch AB (SINCH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sinch AB is 0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sinch AB (SINCH)?
The operating margin of Sinch AB is 4.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sinch AB (SINCH)?
Revenue at Sinch AB is growing +9.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sinch AB (SINCH)?
Earnings per share at Sinch AB are growing +441% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sinch AB (SINCH) carry?
The net debt of Sinch AB is 6.4B SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 8, 2026