AMPEAK ENERGY LIMITED (SMAYF) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · US · Market cap $49.8M
AMPEAK ENERGY LIMITED
SMAYF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 31, 2026, revised from $0.0662 to $0.0635 (−4.0%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −5.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 74% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (26/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.0313 to $0.0635) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0071 – $0.2700 · fair‑value band $0.0313 – $0.0635 · the $0.0366 price screens below the $0.0635 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.
Analysis
AMPEAK ENERGY LIMITED (SMAYF) currently trades at $0.0366, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0635, implying the stock looks roughly 73.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $6.0M. Revenue declined 70.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -89.6%. Net debt stands at $54.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0313 (bear case) to $0.0635 (bull case); at $0.0366, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 154% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at 74%, SMAYF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($0.0500) versus Asset-Based ($0.0200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
AMPEAK ENERGY LIMITED engages in developing, building, owning, and operating energy projects in the United Kingdom. The company operates through four segments: Battery Storage, Project Development, Power Generation, and Corporate.
Full company description
AMPEAK ENERGY LIMITED engages in developing, building, owning, and operating energy projects in the United Kingdom. The company operates through four segments: Battery Storage, Project Development, Power Generation, and Corporate. It is involved in the tidal power generation; providing project management, consulting, and financial services; and offers battery energy storage special purpose vehicle. The company was formerly known as SIMEC Atlantis Energy Limited and changed its name to AMPEAK ENERGY LIMITED in August 2025. AMPEAK ENERGY LIMITED was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Edinburgh, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
AMPEAK ENERGY LIMITED reported revenue of $14.4M in FY2024 versus $12.2M in FY2020, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$20.1M in FY2024.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 220 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥27.99 | ¥25.13 | -10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 149.70 | kr 31.40 | -79% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.81 | ¥5.57 | -43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,537 | ₹170.50 | -89% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.65 | -10% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €58.65 | €66.19 | +13% |
| BEP BEP | $32.33 | $73.35 | +127% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$44.56 | C$10.15 | -77% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €19.89 | €13.90 | -30% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥16.21 | ¥8.23 | -49% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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