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Schwälbchen Molkerei Jakob Berz AG (SMB) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · DE · Market cap €47.4M

SM Schwälbchen Molkerei Jakob Berz AG SMB · F
Price€47.40
Fair Value€63.56
Upside+34.1%
Quality56/100
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Strengths

Trades 34% below our fair value of €63.56

Risks

!Expensive Growth
!Thin margins · 1.6% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 1.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.05% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: Medium Range €47.67 – €71.48 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +4.9% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 34% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Our model range runs from €47.67 (bear) to €71.48 (bull), base €63.56. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 56/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€56.48 €26.72 Fair Value €63.56 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €26.72 – €56.48 · fair‑value band €47.67 – €71.48 · the €47.40 price screens below the €63.56 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Schwälbchen Molkerei Jakob Berz AG (SMB) currently trades at €47.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €63.56, implying the stock looks roughly 34.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Schwälbchen Molkerei Jakob Berz AG generated revenue of €211M at a net margin of 1.6%. Revenue grew 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.6%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 20.2. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €47.67 (bear case) to €71.48 (bull case); at €47.40, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 34%, SMB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €30.76 €31.22 €29.80 76
ROIC Compounder €50.54 €55.24 €59.58 72
Gordon GGM €7.20 €8.91 €10.42 70
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings €31.98 €35.60 €40.92 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €20.58 €37.94 €47.00 54
EPV €50.13 €54.09 €57.30 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €7.20 €8.91 €10.42 70
DDM Multi-Stage €7.20 €9.08 €10.94 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €47.67 €63.56 €79.45 63
P/S Multiple €38.59 €51.45 €64.32 58
P/B Multiple €38.59 €51.45 €64.32 55
EV/EBIT €82.57 €104.38 €126.19 53
EV/EBITDA €96.60 €123.09 €149.57 54
EV/Revenue €63.84 €83.85 €103.87 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €20.98 €28.11 €41.96 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €30.76 €31.22 €29.80 76
ROIC Compounder €50.54 €55.24 €59.58 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €33.86 €48.38 €62.89 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (€63.56) versus Dividend Discount (€8.91). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €211M
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.1%
Net margin 1.6%
Return on equity 7.6%
Free cash flow −€3.0M FY2025
P/E ratio 20.2
More key figures
Operating margin -0.3%
EPS (TTM) €2.35
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -35.3%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 60
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Schwälbchen Molkerei Jakob Berz AG produces and sells milk products in Germany. It offers fresh and long-life milk, yogurt, cream and sour cream products, quark, classics, spreads and specialties, bay, and cold coffee. It also provides butter, mixed, fats condensed milk, and whey powder, as well as cheese products.

Full company description

Schwälbchen Molkerei Jakob Berz AG produces and sells milk products in Germany. It offers fresh and long-life milk, yogurt, cream and sour cream products, quark, classics, spreads and specialties, bay, and cold coffee. It also provides butter, mixed, fats condensed milk, and whey powder, as well as cheese products. The company was founded in 1938 and is based in Bad Schwalbach, Germany.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Schwälbchen Molkerei Jakob Berz AG reported revenue of €211M in FY2025 versus €158M in FY2021, a compound +7.6%/yr. Reported net income was €3.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 41/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€211M
Latest YoY
+1.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.1%
Revenue +7.6%/yr
FY21 €158M
FY22 €211M
FY23 €225M
FY24 €208M
FY25 €211M
Net income
FY21 −€833K
FY22 €539K
FY23 €6.6M
FY24 €5.4M
FY25 €3.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Schwälbchen Molkerei Jakob Berz AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMB

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 658 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside +34% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.32× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.26× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE79 · sector 25
FUTURE11 · sector 19
PAST31 · sector 27
HEALTH99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND21 · sector 52

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,507 ₹362.37 -76%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,511 ₹1,765 -68%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,062 ₹327.27 -69%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 7,550 IDR 12,864 IDR +70%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,219,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -17%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 61,600 VND 52,858 VND -14%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹350.95 ₹144.77 -59%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,650 IDR 2,699 IDR +64%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,610 IDR 4,350 IDR -6%
Nongshim Co 004370 389,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +36%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Schwälbchen Molkerei Jakob Berz AG (SMB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €63.56 versus a price of €47.40, about +34% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SMB?
Our model-based fair value for Schwälbchen Molkerei Jakob Berz AG is €63.56 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €47.40.
What is the quality score of SMB?
Schwälbchen Molkerei Jakob Berz AG has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Schwälbchen Molkerei Jakob Berz AG (SMB)?
Schwälbchen Molkerei Jakob Berz AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €211M (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SMB?
The net profit margin of Schwälbchen Molkerei Jakob Berz AG is about 1.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Schwälbchen Molkerei Jakob Berz AG pay a dividend?
Schwälbchen Molkerei Jakob Berz AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.05% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 20, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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