Structural Monitoring Systems Plc, (SMN) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · AU · Market cap A$59.1M
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from A$0.1100 to A$0.0600 (−45.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −1.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 84% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.3000 – A$0.9971 · fair‑value band A$0.0400 – A$0.0600 · the A$0.3750 price screens above the A$0.0600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Structural Monitoring Systems Plc, (SMN) currently trades at A$0.3750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0600, implying the stock looks roughly 84.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Structural Monitoring Systems Plc, generated revenue of A$32.0M at a net margin of 7.5%. Revenue grew 30.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.1%. Net debt stands at A$5.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0400 (bear case) to A$0.0600 (bull case); at A$0.3750, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -84%, SMN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (A$0.2900) versus Multiples (A$0.0200). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Structural Monitoring Systems Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, and manufacture of avionic products in the Americas, Europe, the United Kingdom, Asia, Middle East, Australasia, and Africa. It operates through the AEM Avionics, AEM Contract Manufacturing, AEM Comparative Vacuum Monitoring (CVM), and Other segments.
Full company description
Structural Monitoring Systems Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, and manufacture of avionic products in the Americas, Europe, the United Kingdom, Asia, Middle East, Australasia, and Africa. It operates through the AEM Avionics, AEM Contract Manufacturing, AEM Comparative Vacuum Monitoring (CVM), and Other segments. The company offers aircraft communication systems, loudspeaker systems, mission radios, avionics consoles, and caution/warning panels. It also provides CVM smart sensor solutions technology and test equipment for crack detection. In addition, it offers contract electronics manufacturing services. Structural Monitoring Systems Plc was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Nedlands, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Structural Monitoring Systems Plc, reported revenue of A$28.2M in FY2025 versus A$15.3M in FY2021, a compound +16.5%/yr. Reported net income was A$184K in FY2025.
SMN screens 84% overvalued. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →
Peer Group
Scientific & Technical Instruments · 161 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS | $315.90 | $84.16 | -73% |
| Garmin Ltd GRMN | $241.76 | $146.67 | -39% |
| Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY | $635.52 | $367.58 | -42% |
| Chroma ATE Inc 2360 | 1,905 TWD | 286.15 TWD | -85% |
| Hexagon AB HEXAB | kr 80.10 | kr 52.93 | -34% |
| MKS Inc MKSI | $324.69 | $77.46 | -76% |
| AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 | ¥52.91 | ¥34.47 | -35% |
| Fortive Corporation FTV | $61.78 | $33.84 | -45% |
| Trimble Inc TRMB | $52.72 | $24.47 | -54% |
| Cognex Corporation CGNX | $64.07 | $13.75 | -79% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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