Structural Monitoring Systems Plc (SMN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Structural Monitoring Systems Plc A$0.08, price A$0.38, upside -79.0%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.3000 – A$0.9971 · fair‑value band A$0.0700 – A$0.0900 · the A$0.3800 price screens above the A$0.0800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Structural Monitoring Systems Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, and manufacture of avionic products in the Americas, Europe, the United Kingdom, Asia, Middle East, Australasia, and Africa. It operates through the AEM Avionics, AEM Contract Manufacturing, AEM Comparative Vacuum Monitoring (CVM), and Other segments.
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Structural Monitoring Systems Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, development, and manufacture of avionic products in the Americas, Europe, the United Kingdom, Asia, Middle East, Australasia, and Africa. It operates through the AEM Avionics, AEM Contract Manufacturing, AEM Comparative Vacuum Monitoring (CVM), and Other segments. The company offers aircraft communication systems, loudspeaker systems, mission radios, avionics consoles, and caution/warning panels. It also provides CVM smart sensor solutions technology and test equipment for crack detection. In addition, it offers contract electronics manufacturing services. Structural Monitoring Systems Plc was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Nedlands, Australia.
Stock analysis
Structural Monitoring Systems Plc (SMN) currently trades at A$0.3800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0800, implying the stock looks roughly 375.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$0.5200 per share, and 2 of the 15 models we run sit above the A$0.3800 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at A$0.0300, and 13 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.0700 (bear) to A$0.0900 (bull), the price of A$0.3800 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Structural Monitoring Systems Plc reported revenue of A$28.2M in FY2025 versus A$15.3M in FY2021, a compound +16.5%/yr. Reported net income was A$184K in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap A$59.1M (≈ $41.5M) · P/E ratio 19.0 · P/S ratio 0.12 · EPS (TTM) A$0.0200 · Net margin 0.7% · Return on equity 11.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.2% · Operating margin 3.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −79%, SMN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (A$0.0200 to A$0.5200). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear A$0.0700Fair Value A$0.0800Bull A$0.0900
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0200 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−11.2% (2020) → 5.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Scientific & Technical Instruments · 159 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Structural Monitoring Systems Plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMN
Frequently asked questions
Is Structural Monitoring Systems Plc (SMN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0800 versus a price of A$0.3800, about −79% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SMN?
Our model-based fair value for Structural Monitoring Systems Plc is A$0.0800 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.3800.
What is the quality score of SMN?
Structural Monitoring Systems Plc has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Structural Monitoring Systems Plc (SMN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0800 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0700, optimistic scenario A$0.0900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Structural Monitoring Systems Plc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0800, about −79% upside versus a price of A$0.3800 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0700, optimistic scenario A$0.0900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Structural Monitoring Systems Plc (SMN)?
Structural Monitoring Systems Plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$32.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Structural Monitoring Systems Plc (SMN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Structural Monitoring Systems Plc it is A$0.0800 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of A$0.3800. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Structural Monitoring Systems Plc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SMN trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.3800, fair value A$0.0800, a gap of about −79% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SMN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.3800); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0800). For Structural Monitoring Systems Plc the two are A$0.3000 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Structural Monitoring Systems Plc worth?
The market values Structural Monitoring Systems Plc at about A$59.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is A$0.3800; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SMN?
Our models span a range for Structural Monitoring Systems Plc: cautious scenario A$0.0700, base A$0.0800, optimistic A$0.0900 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price A$0.3800). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SMN?
Structural Monitoring Systems Plc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$0.0800 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.8, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 8.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Structural Monitoring Systems Plc (SMN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Structural Monitoring Systems Plc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.1%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SMN from its 52-week high?
Structural Monitoring Systems Plc trades at A$0.3800, about 25% below its 52-week high of A$0.5100 and 13% above the low of A$0.3350 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Structural Monitoring Systems Plc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Keysight Technologies, Inc, Garmin Ltd, Teledyne Technologies Incorporated, Chroma ATE Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Structural Monitoring Systems Plc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price A$0.3800, calculated fair value A$0.0800 (−79%), Quality Score 46/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SMN calculated?
We run Structural Monitoring Systems Plc through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Structural Monitoring Systems Plc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Structural Monitoring Systems Plc (SMN)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.3800. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0800, about −79% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Structural Monitoring Systems Plc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0900). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Structural Monitoring Systems Plc
How large is the market capitalisation of Structural Monitoring Systems Plc (SMN)?
The market capitalisation of Structural Monitoring Systems Plc is A$59.1M (≈ $41.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Structural Monitoring Systems Plc (SMN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Structural Monitoring Systems Plc is 0.12 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Structural Monitoring Systems Plc (SMN)?
Earnings per share at Structural Monitoring Systems Plc are A$0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Structural Monitoring Systems Plc (SMN)?
The net margin of Structural Monitoring Systems Plc is 0.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Structural Monitoring Systems Plc (SMN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Structural Monitoring Systems Plc is 11.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Structural Monitoring Systems Plc (SMN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Structural Monitoring Systems Plc is −5.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Structural Monitoring Systems Plc (SMN)?
The operating margin of Structural Monitoring Systems Plc is 3.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Structural Monitoring Systems Plc (SMN)?
Revenue at Structural Monitoring Systems Plc is growing +30.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +21.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Structural Monitoring Systems Plc (SMN)?
Earnings per share at Structural Monitoring Systems Plc are growing +46.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Structural Monitoring Systems Plc (SMN) generate?
The free cash flow of Structural Monitoring Systems Plc is −A$651K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Structural Monitoring Systems Plc (SMN) carry?
The net debt of Structural Monitoring Systems Plc is A$5.4M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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