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Santen Pharmaceutical Co (SNPHF) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $3.5B

SP Santen Pharmaceutical Co logo Santen Pharmaceutical Co SNPHF · US
Price$13.05
Fair Value$15.89
Upside+21.8%
Quality74/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.44% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/12)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range $10.81 – $19.93 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

A solid business, screening 22% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range ($10.81 to $19.93) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from $10.81 (bear) to $19.93 (bull), base $15.89. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 74/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$17.38 $5.67 Fair Value $15.89 Jun 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.67 – $17.38 · fair‑value band $10.81 – $19.93 · the $13.05 price screens below the $15.89 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Santen Pharmaceutical Co (SNPHF) currently trades at $13.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.89, implying the stock looks roughly 21.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Santen Pharmaceutical Co generated revenue of $292B at a net margin of 12.8%. Revenue grew 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $81.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $10.81 (bear case) to $19.93 (bull case); at $13.05, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 22%, SNPHF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $9.87 $13.20 $17.64 80
Rev-Margin DCF $9.79 $14.33 $19.33 74
ROIC Compounder $8.75 $10.39 $12.25 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $9.70 $13.39 $18.57 38
Owner Earnings $12.38 $17.29 $24.20 31
5Y Revenue Exit $9.79 $14.27 $19.87 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $12.43 $19.06 $26.62 41
5Y P/E Exit $11.84 $17.99 $24.26 38
10Y Revenue Exit $9.44 $13.41 $18.48 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $11.30 $16.61 $23.39 37
10Y P/E Exit $10.94 $15.89 $21.67 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.33 $14.23 $18.62 54
Lynch FV $2.76 $3.94 $5.13 50
PEG = 1.0 $2.76 $3.94 $5.13 46
EPV $8.44 $9.50 $10.42 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $12.94 $17.25 $21.57 63
P/S Multiple $10.00 $13.33 $16.67 58
P/B Multiple $10.00 $13.33 $16.67 55
EV/EBIT $13.80 $17.83 $21.86 53
EV/EBITDA $15.71 $20.38 $25.05 54
EV/Revenue $10.33 $14.03 $17.73 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.12 $4.18 $6.23 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $9.87 $13.20 $17.64 80
Rev-Margin DCF $9.79 $14.33 $19.33 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $5.77 $6.85 $13.65 61
ROIC Compounder $8.75 $10.39 $12.25 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $10.13 $14.48 $18.82 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($15.89) versus Earnings-Based ($3.94). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $292B
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.7%
Net margin 12.8%
Return on equity 12.9%
Free cash flow $36.9B FY2026
P/E ratio 15.5
More key figures
Operating margin 24.2%
EPS (TTM) $0.7100
Dividend yield 2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +87.6%
Net cash $81.4B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82

Profitability 57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 58
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 87
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Santen Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacturing, and marketing of pharmaceuticals and medical devices in Japan, China, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally.

Full company description

Santen Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacturing, and marketing of pharmaceuticals and medical devices in Japan, China, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. Its product portfolio includes tafluprost/timolol maleate, a prostaglandin F2a derivative and a beta-adrenergic receptor blocker for the treatment of glaucoma and ocular hypertension; ciclosporin, an ophthalmic emulsion for the treatment of vernal keratoconjunctivitis, as well as latanoprost, an ophthalmic emulsion of a prostaglandin F2a derivative filed for marketing approval for the treatment of glaucoma and ocular hypertension; and epinastine hydrochloride, a histamine H1 receptor antagonist filed for marketing approval to treat allergic conjunctivitis. The company also offers netarsudil mesylate/latanoprost, a fixed dose combination drug of a ROCK inhibitor and a prostaglandin F2a derivative which is in phase III clinical trial for the treatment of glaucoma and ocular hypertension; and sepetaprost, a prostaglandin analogue eye drop drug that is in phase III clinical trials for the treatment of glaucoma and ocular hypertension. In addition, it develops oxymetazoline hydrochloride, a direct-acting alpha adrenergic receptor agonist which is in phase III clinical trial for treatment of ptosis; and omidenepag isopropyl, an EP2 receptor agonist that is in phase III clinical trial for the treatment of glaucoma and ocular hypertension. Further, the company offers atropine sulfate, a non-selective muscarinic antagonist that is in phase II/III clinical trials for the treatment of juvenile myopia; olodaterol hydrochloride, a ß2 receptor agonist that has completed phase 1/2a clinical trial for the treatment of a dry eye; and sirolimus, an ophthalmic suspension which is in phase 2a clinical trial for the treatment of fuchs endothelial corneal dystrophy and meibomian gland dysfunction. The company was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Santen Pharmaceutical Co reported revenue of $293B in FY2026 versus $266B in FY2022, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was $37.6B in FY2026, compounding +8.4%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$293B
Latest YoY
−2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.3%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+5.6%
Revenue +2.5%/yr
FY22 $266B
FY23 $279B
FY24 $302B
FY25 $300B
FY26 $293B
Net income +8.4%/yr
FY22 $27.2B
FY23 −$14.9B
FY24 $26.6B
FY25 $36.3B
FY26 $37.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Santen Pharmaceutical Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SNPHF

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - General · 76 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +22% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 24% · Above median
Revenue growth 5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - General median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 20,398.60× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 62 · sector 0
FUTURE 24 · sector 24
PAST 52 · sector 50
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 49 · sector 46

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - General stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Eli Lilly and Company LLY $1,182 $396.77 -66%
Johnson & Johnson, JNJ $257.59 $169.04 -34%
AbbVie Inc ABBV $254.49 $67.72 -73%
Roche Holding 1RO €392.80 €226.68 -42%
Merck & Co MRK €108.08 €121.54 +12%
Novartis AG NVSN 2,742 MXN 2,379 MXN -13%
AstraZeneca PLC AZN $171.61 $129.54 -25%
Novo Nordisk A/S NOVOB kr 329.90 kr 409.46 +24%
Amgen Inc AMGN $363.39 $252.02 -31%
Sanofi SNYN 770.00 MXN 1,251 MXN +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Santen Pharmaceutical Co (SNPHF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.89 versus a price of $13.05, about +22% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SNPHF?
Our model-based fair value for Santen Pharmaceutical Co is $15.89 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $13.05.
What is the quality score of SNPHF?
Santen Pharmaceutical Co has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Santen Pharmaceutical Co (SNPHF)?
Santen Pharmaceutical Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $292B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SNPHF?
The net profit margin of Santen Pharmaceutical Co is about 12.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Santen Pharmaceutical Co pay a dividend?
Santen Pharmaceutical Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.44% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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