Sound Group (SOGP) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $44.5M
Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 5, 2026 — revised from $180.16 to $16.61 (−90.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −18.4% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $2.76 – $30.12 · fair‑value band $12.46 – $27.81 · the $10.47 price screens below the $16.61 fair value. As of Jul 5, 2026.
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Sound Group (SOGP) currently trades at $10.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.61 — implying the stock looks roughly 58.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Sound Group generated revenue of $3.1B at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue grew 57.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 75.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $636M. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $12.46 (bear case) to $27.81 (bull case); at $10.47, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 290% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside — at 59%, SOGP screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Sound Group Inc. operates as an AI-powered audio company in the People's Republic of China. The company offers voice live streaming, multi-user voice interaction, and podcast content for social entertainment, online companionship, and interest-based engagement; and content creation platforms, which enable intelligent event planning, voice enhancement, and AI-driven interactive features. It also provides SoundSphereAI, a voice AI technology showcase and experience platform. The company was formerly known as LIZHI INC. and changed its name to Sound Group Inc. in January 2024. Sound Group Inc. was founded in 2010 and is based in Singapore.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sound Group reported revenue of $3.0B in FY2025 versus $2.1B in FY2021, a compound +9.2%/yr. Reported net income was $220M in FY2025.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.