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Sound Group (SOGP) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $44.5M

SG Sound Group logo Sound Group SOGP · US
Price$10.47
Fair Value$16.61
Upside+58.7%
Quality71/100
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Evidence: Medium Range $12.46 – $27.81

Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Jul 5, 2026 — revised from $180.16 to $16.61 (−90.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −18.4% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$30.12 $2.76 Fair Value $16.61 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $2.76 – $30.12 · fair‑value band $12.46 – $27.81 · the $10.47 price screens below the $16.61 fair value. As of Jul 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Sound Group (SOGP) currently trades at $10.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.61 — implying the stock looks roughly 58.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sound Group generated revenue of $3.1B at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue grew 57.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 75.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $636M. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $12.46 (bear case) to $27.81 (bull case); at $10.47, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 290% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside — at 59%, SOGP screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +57.5%
Net margin 7.3%
Return on equity 75.0%
Free cash flow $269M FY2025
P/E ratio 1.5
More key figures
Operating margin 8.8%
EPS (TTM) $7.09
Dividend yield 4.4%
Net cash $636M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Sound Group Inc. operates as an AI-powered audio company in the People's Republic of China. The company offers voice live streaming, multi-user voice interaction, and podcast content for social entertainment, online companionship, and interest-based engagement; and content creation platforms, which enable intelligent event planning, voice enhancement, and AI-driven interactive features. It also provides SoundSphereAI, a voice AI technology showcase and experience platform. The company was formerly known as LIZHI INC. and changed its name to Sound Group Inc. in January 2024. Sound Group Inc. was founded in 2010 and is based in Singapore.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sound Group reported revenue of $3.0B in FY2025 versus $2.1B in FY2021, a compound +9.2%/yr. Reported net income was $220M in FY2025.

Revenue +9.2%/yr
FY21 $2.1B
FY22 $2.2B
FY23 $2.1B
FY24 $2.0B
FY25 $3.0B
Net income
FY21 −$127M
FY22 $86.5M
FY23 −$127M
FY24 −$69.6M
FY25 $220M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sound Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SOGP

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sound Group (SOGP) undervalued?
As of Jul 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.61 versus a price of $10.47 — about +59% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of SOGP?
Our model-based fair value for Sound Group is $16.61 (as of Jul 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.47.
What is the quality score of SOGP?
Sound Group has a Quality Score of 71/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Sound Group (SOGP)?
Sound Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SOGP?
The net profit margin of Sound Group is about 7.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sound Group pay a dividend?
Sound Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.39% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 5, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.