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Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $44.5M

SG Sound Group Inc. logo Sound Group Inc. SOGP · US
Price$12.24
Fair Value$16.18
Upside+32.2%
Quality88/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.3% net margin
generates free cash flow
4.39% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/10)
Wide moat 69/100
Evidence: Medium Range $12.79 – $25.12 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $12.09 to $16.18 (+33.8%) since Aug 12, 2026. Share price +21.9% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 32% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (88/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($12.79). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • A fairly wide model range ($12.79 to $25.12) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$63.26 $0.9950 Fair Value $16.18 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.9950 – $63.26 · fair‑value band $12.79 – $25.12 · the $12.24 price screens below the $16.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) currently trades at $12.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.18, implying the stock looks roughly 32.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 88/100 (high quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sound Group Inc. generated revenue of $3.1B at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue grew 57.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 75.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $636M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $12.79 (bear case) to $25.12 (bull case); at $12.24, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 356% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -8% fair-value upside, at 32%, SOGP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $7.19 $13.47 $302.37 76
Growth DCF $13.99 $20.72 $30.17 72
Gordon GGM $0.8862 $1.48 $1.93 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $14.33 $22.16 $34.95 38
Owner Earnings $13.06 $20.29 $31.40 31
5Y Revenue Exit $12.30 $19.02 $28.21 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $12.41 $19.24 $27.90 41
5Y P/E Exit $16.10 $27.22 $40.39 38
10Y Revenue Exit $12.72 $18.93 $28.64 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $13.00 $19.08 $28.42 37
10Y P/E Exit $15.14 $24.21 $37.76 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $6.47 $35.09 $48.65 54
Lynch FV $9.73 $13.90 $18.07 50
PEG = 1.0 $9.73 $13.90 $18.07 46
EPV $8.71 $9.42 $9.99 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.8862 $1.48 $1.93 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.8862 $1.41 $1.60 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $15.70 $20.93 $26.17 63
P/S Multiple $12.13 $16.18 $20.22 58
P/B Multiple $4.55 $6.07 $7.58 55
EV/EBIT $13.79 $17.44 $21.09 53
EV/EBITDA $11.92 $14.95 $17.97 54
EV/Revenue $11.15 $14.70 $18.26 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.8667 $1.16 $1.73 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $13.99 $20.72 $30.17 72
Rev-Margin DCF $12.30 $18.88 $27.81 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income $7.19 $13.47 $302.37 76
ROIC Compounder $8.71 $9.42 $9.99 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $14.58 $20.83 $27.08 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($20.83) versus Asset-Based ($1.16). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +57.5%
Net margin 7.3%
Return on equity 75.0%
Free cash flow $269M FY2025
P/E ratio 1.5 as of Jun 24, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 8.8%
EPS (TTM) $7.09
Dividend yield 4.4%
Net cash $636M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 88/100

Of which business quality 83 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 87
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 94
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sound Group Inc. operates as an AI-powered audio company in the People's Republic of China. The company offers voice live streaming, multi-user voice interaction, and podcast content for social entertainment, online companionship, and interest-based engagement; and content creation platforms, which enable intelligent event planning, voice enhancement, and …

Full company description

Sound Group Inc. operates as an AI-powered audio company in the People's Republic of China. The company offers voice live streaming, multi-user voice interaction, and podcast content for social entertainment, online companionship, and interest-based engagement; and content creation platforms, which enable intelligent event planning, voice enhancement, and AI-driven interactive features. It also provides SoundSphereAI, a voice AI technology showcase and experience platform. The company was formerly known as LIZHI INC. and changed its name to Sound Group Inc. in January 2024. Sound Group Inc. was founded in 2010 and is based in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sound Group Inc. reported revenue of $3.0B in FY2025 versus $2.1B in FY2021, a compound +9.2%/yr. Reported net income was $220M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.0B
Latest YoY
+48.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.0%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.7%
Revenue +9.2%/yr
FY21 $2.1B
FY22 $2.2B
FY23 $2.1B
FY24 $2.0B
FY25 $3.0B
Net income
FY21 −$127M
FY22 $86.5M
FY23 −$127M
FY24 −$69.6M
FY25 $220M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sound Group Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SOGP

Peer Group

Internet Content & Information · 155 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 88 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +32% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 75% · Top 25%
Return on assets 21% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 58% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.4% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 1.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE76 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 31
PAST100 · sector 10
HEALTH0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND88 · sector 36

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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Meta Platforms, Inc META $578.85 $534.91 -8%
Tencent Holdings 0700 HK$461.60 HK$448.17 -3%
Spotify Technology S.A SPOT $489.60 $210.99 -57%
Baidu, Inc 9888 HK$102.00 HK$57.90 -43%
Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 1024 HK$41.54 HK$84.61 +104%
NAVER Corporation 035420 215,500 KRW 231,585 KRW +7%
Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 HK$33.72 HK$66.60 +98%
Kakao Corp 035720 40,100 KRW 24,536 KRW -39%
Info Edge (India) Limited NAUKRI ₹1,357 ₹329.27 -76%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sound Group Inc. (SOGP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.18 versus a price of $12.24, about +32% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SOGP?
Our model-based fair value for Sound Group Inc. is $16.18 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $12.24.
What is the quality score of SOGP?
Sound Group Inc. has a Quality Score of 88/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sound Group Inc. (SOGP)?
Sound Group Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SOGP?
The net profit margin of Sound Group Inc. is about 7.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sound Group Inc. pay a dividend?
Sound Group Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.39% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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