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SPML Infra Limited (SPMLINFRA) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹16.7B

SI SPML Infra Limited SPMLINFRA · NSE
Price₹197.00
Fair Value₹144.63
Upside-26.6%
Quality38/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 8.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: Medium Range ₹101.24 – ₹187.75 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price −4.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 27% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹187.75). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹101.24 to ₹187.75) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹307.97 ₹9.25 Fair Value ₹144.63 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹9.25 – ₹307.97 · fair‑value band ₹101.24 – ₹187.75 · the ₹197.00 price screens above the ₹144.63 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

SPML Infra Limited (SPMLINFRA) currently trades at ₹197.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹144.63, implying the stock looks roughly 26.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, SPML Infra Limited generated revenue of ₹8.7B at a net margin of 8.6%. Revenue grew 53.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. Net debt stands at ₹1.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹101.24 (bear case) to ₹187.75 (bull case); at ₹197.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -27%, SPMLINFRA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹92.99 ₹99.21 ₹112.18 76
ROIC Compounder ₹46.02 ₹56.44 ₹65.55 72
Gordon GGM ₹2.00 ₹2.86 ₹3.75 70
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹1.48 ₹9.12 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹60.34 ₹120.44 ₹151.24 54
EPV ₹46.02 ₹56.44 ₹65.55 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹2.00 ₹2.86 ₹3.75 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹2.00 ₹2.81 ₹3.76 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹139.77 ₹186.36 ₹232.94 63
P/S Multiple ₹113.14 ₹150.86 ₹188.57 58
P/B Multiple ₹113.14 ₹150.86 ₹188.57 55
EV/EBIT ₹80.18 ₹112.39 ₹144.60 53
EV/EBITDA ₹59.99 ₹85.46 ₹110.94 54
EV/Revenue ₹52.52 ₹82.08 ₹111.63 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹56.34 ₹75.49 ₹112.68 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹92.99 ₹99.21 ₹112.18 76
ROIC Compounder ₹46.02 ₹56.44 ₹65.55 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹101.24 ₹144.63 ₹188.02 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹144.63) versus DCF Models (₹1.48). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹8.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +53.7%
Net margin 8.6%
Return on equity 8.7%
Free cash flow −₹1.8B FY2026
P/E ratio 21.1
More key figures
Operating margin 6.6%
EPS (TTM) ₹9.33
EPS growth (YoY) +205%
Net debt ₹1.9B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 56
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SPML Infra Limited operates as an infrastructure development company in India. The company undertakes water supply and bulk water transmission, wastewater and sanitation, and power distribution and rural electrification projects; constructs pumping stations and water reservoir; and offers metering and billing solutions, and battery energy storage systems, …

Full company description

SPML Infra Limited operates as an infrastructure development company in India. The company undertakes water supply and bulk water transmission, wastewater and sanitation, and power distribution and rural electrification projects; constructs pumping stations and water reservoir; and offers metering and billing solutions, and battery energy storage systems, as well as provides services in various areas, including construction of dams, canals, lift irrigation, and micro irrigation. It also undertakes power generation, transmission, and distribution projects, including the construction of hydro, solar, wind, gas turbine, and thermal power plants; and offers rural electrification, and integrated and smart energy management solutions. In addition, the company develops roads, bridges, flyovers, highways, industrial infrastructure, tunnels, special economic zones, industrial/business/technology parks, airports, bus terminals, automated car parking facilities, and toll express roads. Further, it provides municipal solid waste management solutions, such as collection, segregation, transportation, and safe disposal, as well as sewer rehabilitation solutions. Additionally, it develops an integrated management information system for metering, billing, CRM, network analysis, demand forecasting and management, asset and inventory management, business intelligence, and operation and maintenance of the entire network. The company was formerly known as Subhash Projects and Marketing Limited and changed its name to SPML Infra Limited in April 2010. SPML Infra Limited was incorporated in 1981 and is based in Kolkata, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

SPML Infra Limited reported revenue of ₹8.7B in FY2026 versus ₹9.5B in FY2022, a compound −2.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹747M in FY2026, compounding +290.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 39/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹8.7B
Latest YoY
+12.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.4%
Revenue −2.3%/yr
FY22 ₹9.5B
FY23 ₹8.8B
FY24 ₹13.2B
FY25 ₹7.7B
FY26 ₹8.7B
Net income +290.2%/yr
FY22 ₹3.2M
FY23 ₹3.9M
FY24 −₹69.7M
FY25 ₹479M
FY26 ₹747M

SPMLINFRA screens 27% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SPML Infra Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SPMLINFRA

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 838 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −27% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 54% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.32× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.76× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.92× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 27.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 15
FUTURE 100 · sector 14
PAST 35 · sector 26
HEALTH 84 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 2 · sector 43

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹4,020 ₹1,994 -50%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 357,500 KRW 261,411 KRW -27%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 113,700 KRW 61,453 KRW -46%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 49,300 KRW 43,624 KRW -12%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹228.50 ₹48.92 -79%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 18,400 KRW 6,507 KRW -65%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 99,800 KRW 19,346 KRW -81%
GS Engineering & Construction Corporation 006360 35,200 KRW 23,135 KRW -34%
DL E&C Co 375500 73,500 KRW 148,433 KRW +102%
KEPCO Plant Service & Engineering Co 051600 46,350 KRW 43,924 KRW -5%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SPML Infra Limited (SPMLINFRA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹144.63 versus a price of ₹197.00, about −27% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SPMLINFRA?
Our model-based fair value for SPML Infra Limited is ₹144.63 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹197.00.
What is the quality score of SPMLINFRA?
SPML Infra Limited has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SPML Infra Limited (SPMLINFRA)?
SPML Infra Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹8.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SPMLINFRA?
The net profit margin of SPML Infra Limited is about 8.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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