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Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp (SPNEC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp stock PHP 3.28, price PHP 1.35, upside +143.0%, quality 34 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Utilities PH · ISIN PHY8080C1028

SP Thin data Nov 4, 2026

Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp

SPNEC · PSE
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 59% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value 3.28 PHP · Strongly undervalued (59%)
Low debt
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 81% above the price (2.45 PHP).
Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +88.9 %/yr in PHP)
Quality 34/100
Loss-making · -133.6% net margin (FY2024)
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 12/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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Price vs Fair Value

2.21 PHP 0.9100 PHP Fair Value 3.28 PHP Dec 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

59‑month range 0.9100 PHP – 2.21 PHP · fair‑value band 2.45 PHP – 4.90 PHP · the 1.35 PHP price screens below the 3.28 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Stock analysis

Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp (SPNEC) currently trades at 1.35 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.28 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 59% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: 2.45 PHP (bear) to 4.90 PHP (bull), the price of 1.35 PHP sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp reported revenue of 1.2B PHP in FY2024 versus 0 PHP in FY2020. Reported net income was −1.6B PHP in FY2024.

Key figures

Market cap 11.4B PHP (≈ $181M) · EPS (TTM) −100,000 PHP · Net margin −134% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at 143%, SPNEC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 2.45 PHP Fair Value 3.28 PHP Bull 4.90 PHP
Price 1.35 PHP · Upside +143.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) 2.93 PHP 3.92 PHP 5.85 PHP 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 2.93 PHP 3.92 PHP 5.85 PHP 54

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 5
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 50
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 50
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 53
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 32
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 44
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 40
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 21/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Electrical Utilities & IPPs” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Industrials · 5331 stocks

Beats the sector median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +143.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −133.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.04× · Below median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 39
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 38

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Utilities & IPPs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
LPZ LPZ 4.40 PHP 13.20 PHP +200% vs SPNEC
VVT VVT 20.00 PHP 53.30 PHP +167% vs SPNEC
ACEN ACEN 2.64 PHP 2.59 PHP −2% vs SPNEC
MER MER 446.00 PHP 373.14 PHP −16% vs SPNEC
AEV AEV 38.00 PHP 28.63 PHP −25% vs SPNEC
SGP SGP 22.95 PHP 15.32 PHP −33% vs SPNEC
Iberdrola, S.A IBE €22.65 €10.28 −55% vs SPNEC
SPC SPC 8.75 PHP 3.20 PHP −63% vs SPNEC
NextEra Energy, Inc NEE $86.95 $29.83 −66% vs SPNEC
SDN Company 099220 4,345 KRW 752.02 KRW −83% vs SPNEC

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Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SPNEC

Frequently asked questions

Is Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp (SPNEC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.28 PHP versus a price of 1.35 PHP, about +143% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SPNEC?
Our model-based fair value for Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp is 3.28 PHP (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.35 PHP.
What is the quality score of SPNEC?
Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp (SPNEC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3.28 PHP (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 2.45 PHP, optimistic scenario 4.90 PHP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3.28 PHP, about +143% upside versus a price of 1.35 PHP (undervalued). Cautious scenario 2.45 PHP, optimistic scenario 4.90 PHP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp (SPNEC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp it is 3.28 PHP per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of 1.35 PHP. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, SPNEC trades below its calculated fair value: price 1.35 PHP, fair value 3.28 PHP, a gap of about +143% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SPNEC?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.35 PHP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3.28 PHP). For Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp the two are 1.93 PHP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp worth?
The market values Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp at about 11.4B PHP (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is 1.35 PHP; our models calculate a fair value of 3.28 PHP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SPNEC?
Our models span a range for Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp: cautious scenario 2.45 PHP, base 3.28 PHP, optimistic 4.90 PHP per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price 1.35 PHP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp (SPNEC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp (as of Nov 4, 2026): debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SPNEC from its 52-week high?
Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp trades at 1.35 PHP, about 22% below its 52-week high of 1.72 PHP and 22% above the low of 1.11 PHP (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3.28 PHP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value MER, AEV, ACEN, SGP, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price 1.35 PHP, calculated fair value 3.28 PHP (+143%), Quality Score 34/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SPNEC calculated?
We run Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 3.28 PHP builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp currently trades 59% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp (SPNEC)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 1.35 PHP. Our model-based fair value is 3.28 PHP, about +143% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (34/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (2.45 PHP). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (2.45 PHP to 4.90 PHP) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp (SPNEC)?
The market capitalisation of Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp is 11.4B PHP (≈ $181M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp (SPNEC)?
Earnings per share at Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp are −100,000 PHP. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp (SPNEC)?
The net margin of Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp is −134% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp (SPNEC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Solar Philippines Nueva Ecija Corp is 1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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