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VVT Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · PH · Market cap 14.3B PHP

V VVT VVT · PSE
Price20.20 PHP
Fair Value69.79 PHP
Upside+245.5%
Quality47/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt
Trails peers (1/8)
Moderate moat 49/100
Evidence: High Range 51.12 PHP – 88.47 PHP Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 10, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 31 days ago

Share price −3.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 246% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (51.12 PHP). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

34.23 PHP 9.28 PHP Fair Value 69.79 PHP Jun 2015 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 9.28 PHP – 34.23 PHP · fair‑value band 51.12 PHP – 88.47 PHP · the 20.20 PHP price screens below the 69.79 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 10, 2026.

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Analysis

VVT (VVT) currently trades at 20.20 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 69.79 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 245.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 7.2. Fundamentals as of Jul 10, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 51.12 PHP (bear case) to 88.47 PHP (bull case); at 20.20 PHP, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at 21% fair-value upside, at 246%, VVT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 29.15 PHP 34.78 PHP 72.44 PHP 76
ROIC Compounder 40.79 PHP 60.79 PHP 77.95 PHP 72
Gordon GGM 12.68 PHP 26.37 PHP 41.84 PHP 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 28.01 PHP 70.02 PHP 158.20 PHP 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 25.97 PHP 181.14 PHP 254.20 PHP 54
Lynch FV 53.66 PHP 76.66 PHP 99.66 PHP 50
PEG = 1.0 53.66 PHP 76.66 PHP 99.66 PHP 46
EPV 36.33 PHP 43.21 PHP 49.23 PHP 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 12.68 PHP 26.37 PHP 41.84 PHP 70
DDM Multi-Stage 12.68 PHP 22.24 PHP 27.68 PHP 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 60.16 PHP 80.21 PHP 100.27 PHP 63
P/S Multiple 26.24 PHP 34.99 PHP 43.74 PHP 58
P/B Multiple 48.70 PHP 64.93 PHP 81.17 PHP 55
EV/EBIT 56.45 PHP 76.90 PHP 97.35 PHP 53
EV/EBITDA 51.12 PHP 69.79 PHP 88.47 PHP 54
EV/Revenue 17.13 PHP 26.57 PHP 36.02 PHP 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 15.64 PHP 20.95 PHP 31.27 PHP 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 29.15 PHP 34.78 PHP 72.44 PHP 76
ROIC Compounder 40.79 PHP 60.79 PHP 77.95 PHP 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 73.33 PHP 104.76 PHP 136.19 PHP 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (104.76 PHP) versus Asset-Based (20.95 PHP). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 42
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

VVT reported revenue of 12.4B PHP in FY2025 versus 5.0B PHP in FY2021, a compound +25.6%/yr. Reported net income was 2.7B PHP in FY2025, compounding +11.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
12.4B PHP
Latest YoY
+1.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.9%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.6%
Revenue +25.6%/yr
FY21 5.0B PHP
FY22 6.5B PHP
FY23 8.3B PHP
FY24 12.2B PHP
FY25 12.4B PHP
Net income +11.1%/yr
FY21 1.8B PHP
FY22 1.6B PHP
FY23 2.3B PHP
FY24 2.4B PHP
FY25 2.7B PHP

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "VVT Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VVT

Peer Group

Industrials · 5338 stocks

How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Electrical Utilities & IPPs” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.20× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Industrials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 5
FUTURE 0 · sector 24
PAST 0 · sector 27
HEALTH 90 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electrical Utilities & IPPs stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 10, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
MER MER 578.00 PHP 988.27 PHP +71%
AEV AEV 32.95 PHP 37.67 PHP +14%
INDIGRIDIV INDIGRIDIV ₹177.50 ₹96.05 -46%
ACEN ACEN 3.00 PHP 2.49 PHP -17%
SGP SGP 26.50 PHP 70.96 PHP +168%
SPC SPC 10.46 PHP 4.73 PHP -55%
SPNEC SPNEC 1.43 PHP 5.27 PHP +269%
Entergy New Orleans, LLC ENO $21.21 $25.69 +21%
SDN Company 099220 678.00 KRW 497.39 KRW -27%
Tennessee Valley Authority TVE $23.60 $31.64 +34%

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Frequently asked questions

Is VVT overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 10, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 69.79 PHP versus a price of 20.20 PHP, about +246% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of VVT?
Our model-based fair value for VVT is 69.79 PHP (as of Jul 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 20.20 PHP.
What is the quality score of VVT?
VVT has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of VVT?
The net profit margin of VVT is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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