AC Energy Philippines Inc (ACEN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of AC Energy Philippines Inc PHP 2.59, price PHP 2.73, upside -5.1%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2.13 PHP – 12.16 PHP · fair‑value band 1.83 PHP – 2.99 PHP · the 2.73 PHP price screens above the 2.59 PHP fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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AC Energy Philippines Inc (ACEN) currently trades at 2.73 PHP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.59 PHP, implying the stock looks roughly 5.4% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 4.49 PHP per share, and 5 of the 13 models we run sit above the 2.73 PHP price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 1.55 PHP, and 8 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 1.83 PHP (bear) to 2.99 PHP (bull), the price of 2.73 PHP sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
AC Energy Philippines Inc reported revenue of 37.3B PHP in FY2024 versus 20.5B PHP in FY2020, a compound +16.2%/yr. Reported net income was 9.4B PHP in FY2024, compounding +21.5%/yr from FY2020.
Key figures
Market cap 108B PHP (≈ $1.7B) · P/E ratio 28.2 · P/S ratio 7.08 · EPS (TTM) 0.2305 PHP · Dividend yield 4.4% · Net margin 25.1% · Return on equity 2,004% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −5%, ACEN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1.83 PHPFair Value 2.59 PHPBull 2.99 PHP
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.2305 PHP per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.49/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.3%
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in PHP ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in PHP: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−15.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−20.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.4%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → 29%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 18.4%/yr over ~6Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare AC Energy Philippines Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Electrical Utilities & IPPs” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Industrials · 5555 stocks
Beats the sector median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)25% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.82× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Industrials median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AC Energy Philippines Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ACEN
Frequently asked questions
Is AC Energy Philippines Inc (ACEN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.59 PHP versus a price of 2.73 PHP, about −5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ACEN?
Our model-based fair value for AC Energy Philippines Inc is 2.59 PHP (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.73 PHP.
What is the quality score of ACEN?
AC Energy Philippines Inc has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AC Energy Philippines Inc (ACEN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.59 PHP (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.83 PHP, optimistic scenario 2.99 PHP. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AC Energy Philippines Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.59 PHP, about −5% upside versus a price of 2.73 PHP (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 1.83 PHP, optimistic scenario 2.99 PHP. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does AC Energy Philippines Inc pay a dividend?
AC Energy Philippines Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.43% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of AC Energy Philippines Inc (ACEN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AC Energy Philippines Inc it is 2.59 PHP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 2.73 PHP. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AC Energy Philippines Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ACEN trades above its calculated fair value: price 2.73 PHP, fair value 2.59 PHP, a gap of about −5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ACEN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.73 PHP); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.59 PHP). For AC Energy Philippines Inc the two are 0.1400 PHP per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AC Energy Philippines Inc worth?
The market values AC Energy Philippines Inc at about 108B PHP (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 2.73 PHP; our models calculate a fair value of 2.59 PHP per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ACEN?
Our models span a range for AC Energy Philippines Inc: cautious scenario 1.83 PHP, base 2.59 PHP, optimistic 2.99 PHP per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 2.73 PHP). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ACEN?
AC Energy Philippines Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 2.59 PHP is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of AC Energy Philippines Inc (ACEN)?
Balance-sheet figures for AC Energy Philippines Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): debt of 0.82 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ACEN from its 52-week high?
AC Energy Philippines Inc trades at 2.73 PHP, about 21% below its 52-week high of 3.45 PHP and 23% above the low of 2.21 PHP (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.59 PHP is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AC Energy Philippines Inc?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value MER, FGEN, SPC, VVT, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AC Energy Philippines Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 2.73 PHP, calculated fair value 2.59 PHP (−5%), Quality Score 41/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ACEN calculated?
We run AC Energy Philippines Inc through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.59 PHP, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. AC Energy Philippines Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AC Energy Philippines Inc (ACEN)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 2.73 PHP. Our model-based fair value is 2.59 PHP, about −5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AC Energy Philippines Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of AC Energy Philippines Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of AC Energy Philippines Inc (ACEN)?
The market capitalisation of AC Energy Philippines Inc is 108B PHP (≈ $1.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AC Energy Philippines Inc (ACEN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AC Energy Philippines Inc is 7.08 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AC Energy Philippines Inc (ACEN)?
Earnings per share at AC Energy Philippines Inc are 0.2305 PHP (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of AC Energy Philippines Inc (ACEN)?
The dividend yield of AC Energy Philippines Inc is 4.4% (payout 52.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of AC Energy Philippines Inc (ACEN)?
The net margin of AC Energy Philippines Inc is 25.1% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AC Energy Philippines Inc (ACEN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AC Energy Philippines Inc is 2,004% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AC Energy Philippines Inc (ACEN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AC Energy Philippines Inc is 4.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
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