Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $221M
Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation
AP · US
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $4.82 to $7.42 (+53.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +32.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 22% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide ($3.99 to $10.84). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.7500 – $12.20 · fair‑value band $3.99 – $10.84 · the $9.51 price screens above the $7.42 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP) currently trades at $9.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.42, implying the stock looks roughly 22.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation generated revenue of $438M at a net margin of -15.5%. Revenue grew 3.9% year over year. Net debt stands at $128M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $3.99 (bear case) to $10.84 (bull case); at $9.51, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at -22%, AP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($8.42) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0200). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacture and sale of specialty metal products and customized equipment to commercial and industrial users worldwide. The company operates through two segments: Forged and Cast Engineered Products (FCEP); and Air and Liquid Processing (ALP).
Full company description
Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacture and sale of specialty metal products and customized equipment to commercial and industrial users worldwide. The company operates through two segments: Forged and Cast Engineered Products (FCEP); and Air and Liquid Processing (ALP). The FCEP segment produces forged hardened steel rolls, cast rolls, and forged engineered products that are used in hot and cold rolling mills by producers of steel, aluminum, and other metals; cast rolls for hot strip mills, medium/heavy section mills, roughing mills, and plate mills; and forged engineered products for narrow and wide strip and aluminum mills, back-up rolls for narrow strip mills, and leveling rolls and shafts for steel distribution market, oil and gas industry, and the aluminum and plastic extrusion industries. The ALP Aerofin segment produces custom-engineered finned tube heat exchange coils and related heat transfer products for various industries, including original equipment manufacturers and commercial, nuclear power generation, and industrial manufacturing; custom-designed air handling systems for institutional, pharmaceutical, and general industrial building markets; and manufactures centrifugal pumps for the fossil fueled power generation, marine defense, and industrial refrigeration industries. Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation was incorporated in 1929 and is headquartered in Carnegie, Pennsylvania.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation reported revenue of $434M in FY2025 versus $345M in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$66.1M in FY2025.
AP screens 22% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →
Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 243 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $577.10 | $103.31 | -82% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $186.17 | $36.51 | -80% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $59.13 | $60.24 | +2% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥7.45 | ¥1.15 | -85% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥31.69 | ¥8.74 | -72% |
| Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 | ¥56.73 | ¥24.43 | -57% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥131.65 | ¥44.23 | -66% |
| Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co 603308 | ¥48.52 | ¥8.07 | -83% |
| Baoding Technology Co 002552 | ¥43.95 | ¥5.44 | -88% |
| Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co 301196 | ¥110.08 | ¥42.71 | -61% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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