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Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation $7.42, price $8.42, upside -11.9%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · US · ISIN US0320371034

AP Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation

AP · US

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value $7.42 · Overvalued (−12%)
!Quality 33/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +5.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -15.5% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/12)
!Narrow moat 16/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 17 out of 100
!Weak on future: 20 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$12.20 $0.7500 Fair Value $7.42 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.7500 – $12.20 · fair‑value band $3.99 – $10.84 · the $8.42 price screens above the $7.42 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacture and sale of specialty metal products and customized equipment to commercial and industrial users worldwide. The company operates through two segments: Forged and Cast Engineered Products (FCEP); and Air and Liquid Processing (ALP).

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Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in manufacture and sale of specialty metal products and customized equipment to commercial and industrial users worldwide. The company operates through two segments: Forged and Cast Engineered Products (FCEP); and Air and Liquid Processing (ALP). The FCEP segment produces forged hardened steel rolls, cast rolls, and forged engineered products that are used in hot and cold rolling mills by producers of steel, aluminum, and other metals; cast rolls for hot strip mills, medium/heavy section mills, roughing mills, and plate mills; and forged engineered products for narrow and wide strip and aluminum mills, back-up rolls for narrow strip mills, and leveling rolls and shafts for steel distribution market, oil and gas industry, and the aluminum and plastic extrusion industries. The ALP Aerofin segment produces custom-engineered finned tube heat exchange coils and related heat transfer products for various industries, including original equipment manufacturers and commercial, nuclear power generation, and industrial manufacturing; custom-designed air handling systems for institutional, pharmaceutical, and general industrial building markets; and manufactures centrifugal pumps for the fossil fueled power generation, marine defense, and industrial refrigeration industries. Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation was incorporated in 1929 and is headquartered in Carnegie, Pennsylvania.

Stock analysis

Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP) currently trades at $8.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.42, implying the stock looks roughly 13.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 6 models at a data quality of 90/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.

Scenario range: $3.99 (bear) to $10.84 (bull), the price of $8.42 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation reported revenue of $434M in FY2025 versus $345M in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$66.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $221M · P/S ratio 0.50 · EPS (TTM) $−3.38 · Net margin −15.2% · Return on equity −105% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.6% · Operating margin 3.6% · Revenue (TTM) $438M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 355% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −12%, AP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $3.99 Fair Value $7.42 Bull $10.84
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA $5.00 $8.42 $11.84 65
NCAV (Graham) $0.8000 $1.08 $1.61 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $5.00 $8.42 $11.84 65
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.8000 $1.08 $1.61 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 2
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 21
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 82
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 69
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 24/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.2% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2.7% (2019) → 2.9% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

AP screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 259 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −12% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −16% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 3.61× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/B 6.78× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.51× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 10.7× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.12× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)17 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)20 · sector 35
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 25

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS $400.02 $109.07 −73%
ATI Inc ATI $186.56 $39.75 −79%
Mueller Industries, Inc MLI $59.90 $59.33 −1%
Aurubis AG NDA €171.10 €109.36 −36%
China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 ¥9.02 ¥12.11 +34%
Commercial Metals Company CMC $65.00 $13.01 −80%
JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 ¥25.84 ¥5.25 −80%
Viohalco S.A VIO €17.66 €16.01 −9%
ESAB Corporation ESAB $68.44 $56.92 −17%
Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 ¥95.18 ¥44.23 −54%

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Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation · Fair Value
$7.42 −13%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AP

Frequently asked questions

Is Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.42 versus a price of $8.42, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AP?
Our model-based fair value for Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation is $7.42 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.42.
What is the quality score of AP?
Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $7.42 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.99, optimistic scenario $10.84. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $7.42, about −12% upside versus a price of $8.42 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $3.99, optimistic scenario $10.84. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP)?
Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $438M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation it is $7.42 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $8.42. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, AP trades above its calculated fair value: price $8.42, fair value $7.42, a gap of about −12% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AP?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($8.42); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($7.42). For Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation the two are $1.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation worth?
The market values Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation at about $221M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $8.42; our models calculate a fair value of $7.42 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AP?
Our models span a range for Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation: cautious scenario $3.99, base $7.42, optimistic $10.84 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $8.42). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of AP?
The PEG ratio of Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation is 1.12 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −104.7%, debt of 3.61 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AP from its 52-week high?
Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation trades at $8.42, about 31% below its 52-week high of $12.20 and 355% above the low of $1.85 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $7.42 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Carpenter Technology Corporation, ATI Inc, Mueller Industries, Inc, Aurubis AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $8.42, calculated fair value $7.42 (−12%), Quality Score 33/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AP calculated?
We run Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $7.42, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $8.42. Our model-based fair value is $7.42, about −12% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($3.99 to $10.84). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP)?
The market capitalisation of Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation is $221M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation is 0.50 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP)?
Earnings per share at Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation are $−3.38. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP)?
The net margin of Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation is −15.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation is −105% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation is −0.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP)?
The operating margin of Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation is 3.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP)?
Revenue at Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation is growing +3.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP)?
Earnings per share at Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation are growing +400% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP) generate?
The free cash flow of Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation is −$8.1M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation (AP) carry?
The net debt of Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation is $128M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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