Saha Pathanapibul Public Company (SPC) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · TH · Market cap 18.3B THB
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +0.9% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 144% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (78.12 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (78.12 THB to 170.82 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 48.39 THB – 60.91 THB · fair‑value band 78.12 THB – 170.82 THB · the 56.00 THB price screens below the 136.66 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Saha Pathanapibul Public Company (SPC) currently trades at 56.00 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 136.66 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 144.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Saha Pathanapibul Public Company generated revenue of 40.9B THB at a net margin of 6.3%. Revenue declined 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.9B THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 78.12 THB (bear case) to 170.82 THB (bull case); at 56.00 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at 144%, SPC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (152.42 THB) versus Dividend Discount (39.08 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Saha Pathanapibul Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the consumer goods distribution business in Thailand and internationally. It operates in two segments, Sales of Consumer Products; and Office Building for Rent. The company distributes food and beverages, household, personal care, and other products.
Full company description
Saha Pathanapibul Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the consumer goods distribution business in Thailand and internationally. It operates in two segments, Sales of Consumer Products; and Office Building for Rent. The company distributes food and beverages, household, personal care, and other products. It is also involved in sale of real estate properties; manufacture of instant noodles, mineral water, yoghurt, and coffee and beverage, as well as plastic packaging products; rental of office building; leasing of asset; internal and external service rendering; system implementation and computer programing services; and investment in startup businesses. The company distributes its products through traditional trade retailers and wholesalers, and modern trade retailers, including superstores and supermarket convenience stores, as well as special channels. Saha Pathanapibul Public Company Limited was founded in 1942 and is based in Bangkok, Thailand.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Saha Pathanapibul Public Company reported revenue of 41.2B THB in FY2025 versus 33.7B THB in FY2021, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was 2.7B THB in FY2025, compounding +11.0%/yr from FY2021.
Watch SPC: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Food Distribution · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sysco Corporation SYY | $81.69 | $60.58 | -26% |
| US Foods Holding USFD | $99.13 | $55.10 | -44% |
| Performance Food Group PFGC | $113.17 | $37.94 | -66% |
| Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT | €17.68 | €21.59 | +22% |
| CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT | 14.90 THB | 17.04 THB | +14% |
| The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF | $95.79 | $37.27 | -61% |
| Olam Group VC2 | 1.33 SGD | 2.12 SGD | +59% |
| United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI | $50.19 | $6.00 | -88% |
| The Andersons, Inc ANDE | $79.24 | $47.78 | -40% |
| Metcash Limited MTS | A$2.92 | A$5.33 | +83% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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