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Avenira Ltd (AEV) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Avenira Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Valuation from Sep 13, 2026. With the latest figures (losses, negative cash flow), a fair value can no longer be calculated.
  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · AU · ISIN AU000000AEV1

AL Avenira Ltd logo Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Avenira Ltd

AEV · AU

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value A$0.0058 · Overvalued (−28%)
!Quality 7/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +17.8 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/7)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$0.0380 A$0.0040 Fair Value A$0.0058 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0040 – A$0.0380 · fair‑value band A$0.0053 – A$0.0058 · the A$0.0080 price screens above the A$0.0058 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Avenira Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development of mineral deposits in Australia. It primarily explores for gold and phosphate deposits. The company holds 100% interests in the Wonarah phosphate project located in the Northern Territory; and Jundee South Gold project located in Western Australia.

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Avenira Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development of mineral deposits in Australia. It primarily explores for gold and phosphate deposits. The company holds 100% interests in the Wonarah phosphate project located in the Northern Territory; and Jundee South Gold project located in Western Australia. The company was formerly known as Minemakers Limited and changed its name to Avenira Limited in November 2015. Avenira Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is based in West Perth, Australia.

Stock analysis

Avenira Ltd (AEV) currently trades at A$0.0080, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0058, implying the stock looks roughly 37.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 3 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0053 (bear) to A$0.0058 (bull), the price of A$0.0080 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 7/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Avenira Ltd reported revenue of A$80.8K in FY2025 versus A$10.9K in FY2021, a compound +64.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$5.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$35.3M (≈ $24.8M) · Return on equity −10.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −16.4% · Operating margin −6,534% · Revenue (TTM) −A$9.7K · Revenue growth (YoY) −61.6% · Free cash flow −A$6.4M · Net debt A$1.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −28%, AEV screens richer than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 7/100

Of which business quality 13 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 18
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 1
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 3
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 24/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+194.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −19.6% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−7,802.7% (2020) → −5,092.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

AEV screens 38% overvalued. Compare with Vale S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 456 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 7 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −28% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −62% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.66× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Vale S.A VALE $14.19 $9.87 −30%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 62.70 SAR 68.97 SAR +10%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥17.66 ¥20.07 +14%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥60.26 ¥31.23 −48%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹595.45 ₹655.00 +10%
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥36.77 ¥40.45 +10%
Korea Zinc Company 010130 1,116,000 KRW 646,063 KRW −42%
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥49.34 ¥24.75 −50%
PLS Group PLS A$4.18 A$6.65 +59%
Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co 601958 ¥20.99 ¥12.24 −42%

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Avenira Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0058 −38%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Avenira Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AEV

Frequently asked questions

Is Avenira Ltd (AEV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0058 versus a price of A$0.0080, about −28% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AEV?
Our model-based fair value for Avenira Ltd is A$0.0058 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0080.
What is the quality score of AEV?
Avenira Ltd has a Quality Score of 7/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Avenira Ltd (AEV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0058 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0053, optimistic scenario A$0.0058. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Avenira Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0058, about −28% upside versus a price of A$0.0080 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0053, optimistic scenario A$0.0058. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Avenira Ltd (AEV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Avenira Ltd it is A$0.0058 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of A$0.0080. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Avenira Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, AEV trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0080, fair value A$0.0058, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AEV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0080); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0058). For Avenira Ltd the two are A$0.0022 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Avenira Ltd worth?
The market values Avenira Ltd at about A$35.3M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0080; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0058 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AEV?
Our models span a range for Avenira Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0053, base A$0.0058, optimistic A$0.0058 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price A$0.0080). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Avenira Ltd (AEV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Avenira Ltd (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −10.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 7/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AEV from its 52-week high?
Avenira Ltd trades at A$0.0080, about 11% below its 52-week high of A$0.0090 and 33% above the low of A$0.0060 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0058 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Avenira Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Vale S.A, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Avenira Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price A$0.0080, calculated fair value A$0.0058 (−28%), Quality Score 7/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AEV calculated?
We run Avenira Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0058, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Avenira Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Avenira Ltd (AEV)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was A$0.0080. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0058, about −28% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Avenira Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0058). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (7/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0053 to A$0.0058), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Avenira Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Avenira Ltd (AEV)?
The market capitalisation of Avenira Ltd is A$35.3M (≈ $24.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the return on equity of Avenira Ltd (AEV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Avenira Ltd is −10.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Avenira Ltd (AEV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Avenira Ltd is −16.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Avenira Ltd (AEV)?
The operating margin of Avenira Ltd is −6,534% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much revenue does Avenira Ltd (AEV) generate?
Avenira Ltd generates revenue of −A$9.7K (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at Avenira Ltd (AEV)?
Revenue at Avenira Ltd is growing −61.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +195%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Avenira Ltd (AEV) generate?
The free cash flow of Avenira Ltd is −A$6.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Avenira Ltd (AEV) carry?
The net debt of Avenira Ltd is A$1.5M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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