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Staffline Group (STAF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · GB · Market cap 41.1M GBX

SG Staffline Group STAF · LSE
Price£0.3960
Fair Value£0.8400
Upside+112.1%
Quality59/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/12)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: High Range £0.5900 – £1.15 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +13.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 112% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (£0.5900). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (£0.5900 to £1.15) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£0.8166 £0.1654 Fair Value £0.8400 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.1654 – £0.8166 · fair‑value band £0.5900 – £1.15 · the £0.3960 price screens below the £0.8400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Staffline Group (STAF) currently trades at £0.3960, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.8400, implying the stock looks roughly 112.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Staffline Group generated revenue of £1.1B at a net margin of 0.4%. Revenue grew 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.2%. Net debt stands at £2.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £0.5900 (bear case) to £1.15 (bull case); at £0.3960, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 23% fair-value upside, at 112%, STAF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income £0.3000 £0.3300 £0.4200 76
ROIC Compounder £0.8700 £1.04 £1.23 72
Gordon GGM £0.4500 £0.7600 £0.9800 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings £0.6300 £0.9700 £1.46 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £0.3000 £1.41 £1.94 54
Lynch FV £0.3700 £0.5300 £0.6900 50
PEG = 1.0 £0.3700 £0.5300 £0.6900 46
EPV £0.8000 £0.8900 £0.9600 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £0.4500 £0.7600 £0.9800 70
DDM Multi-Stage £0.4500 £0.7200 £0.8100 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple £0.6900 £0.9200 £1.15 63
P/S Multiple £0.5600 £0.7500 £0.9300 58
P/B Multiple £0.5600 £0.7500 £0.9300 55
EV/EBIT £1.59 £2.10 £2.60 53
EV/EBITDA £1.49 £1.97 £2.44 54
EV/Revenue £1.16 £1.62 £2.08 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £0.1800 £0.2400 £0.3500 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income £0.3000 £0.3300 £0.4200 76
ROIC Compounder £0.8700 £1.04 £1.23 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £0.5900 £0.8400 £1.10 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (£0.9700) versus Asset-Based (£0.2400). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.1B GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.7%
Net margin 0.4%
Return on equity 14.2%
Free cash flow −800K GBX FY2025
P/E ratio 9.4
More key figures
Operating margin 1.2%
EPS (TTM) £0.0400
Net debt 2.5M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Staffline Group PLC, together with its subsidiaries, provides recruitment and outsourced human resource services in the United Kingdom and the Republic of Ireland. It operates through the Recruitment GB and Recruitment Ireland segments. The company offers labor solutions in the food processing, manufacturing, e-retail, driving, and logistics sectors.

Full company description

Staffline Group PLC, together with its subsidiaries, provides recruitment and outsourced human resource services in the United Kingdom and the Republic of Ireland. It operates through the Recruitment GB and Recruitment Ireland segments. The company offers labor solutions in the food processing, manufacturing, e-retail, driving, and logistics sectors. It also provides permanent recruitment and managed services, as well as transport solutions. The company was founded in 1986 and is based in Nottingham, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Staffline Group reported revenue of £1.1B in FY2025 versus £943M in FY2021, a compound +4.1%/yr. Reported net income was £4.8M in FY2025, compounding +41.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£1.1B
Latest YoY
+11.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.6%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+29.4%
Revenue +4.1%/yr
FY21 £943M
FY22 £941M
FY23 £938M
FY24 £993M
FY25 £1.1B
Net income +41.4%/yr
FY21 £1.2M
FY22 £3.8M
FY23 −£11.0M
FY24 −£8.3M
FY25 £4.8M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Staffline Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/STAF

Peer Group

Staffing & Employment Services · 85 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Below median
Fair Value upside +112% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth 9% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Staffing & Employment Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.44× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 41
FUTURE 44 · sector 1
PAST 57 · sector 36
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 60

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Staffing & Employment Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adecco Group ADEN CHF 20.46 CHF 23.73 +16%
Korn Ferry, KFY $78.61 $114.56 +46%
Robert Half Inc RHI $36.70 $22.10 -40%
TriNet Group TNET $57.56 $70.85 +23%
ManpowerGroup Inc MAN $39.02 $29.67 -24%
Insperity, Inc NSP $49.48 $17.34 -65%
FESCO Group 600861 ¥13.24 ¥45.46 +243%
Grupa Pracuj S.A GPP 47.40 PLN 65.45 PLN +38%
Barrett Business Services, Inc BBSI $37.43 $38.42 +3%
Maharah for Human Resources Company 1831 5.36 SAR 6.92 SAR +29%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Staffline Group (STAF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.8400 versus a price of £0.3960, about +112% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of STAF?
Our model-based fair value for Staffline Group is £0.8400 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £0.3960.
What is the quality score of STAF?
Staffline Group has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Staffline Group (STAF)?
Staffline Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £1.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of STAF?
The net profit margin of Staffline Group is about 0.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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