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St Barbara Limited (STBMF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of St Barbara Limited $0.10, price $0.56, upside -82.2%, quality 25 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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SB
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
St Barbara Limited
STBMF · USWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value $0.1000 · Strongly overvalued (−82.2%)
!Quality 25/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −23.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -18.4% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 13/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0098 – $3.10 · fair‑value band $0.0600 – $0.1200 · the $0.5620 price screens above the $0.1000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
St Barbara Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, development, mining, and sale of gold. The company also explores for silver deposits. It holds interest in the Simberi project located in the province of New Ireland, Papua New Guinea. The company was incorporated in 1969 and is based in Perth, Australia.
Stock analysis
St Barbara Limited (STBMF) currently trades at $0.5620, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1000, 82.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.0600 (bear) to $0.1200 (bull), the price of $0.5620 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
St Barbara Limited reported revenue of A$216M in FY2025 versus A$740M in FY2021, a compound −26.5%/yr. Reported net income was −A$93.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $630M · P/S ratio 2.55 · Net margin −43.5% · Return on equity −1.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −10.5% · Operating margin 2.2% · Revenue (TTM) A$247M · Revenue growth (YoY) +32.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 89% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −82%, STBMF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0600
Fair Value $0.1000
Bull $0.1200
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham)
$0.1100
$0.1400
$0.2200
53
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.1100
$0.1400
$0.2200
53
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
25/100
Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Profitability
4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
2
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
93
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −8.9% a year
Revenue growth 36 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
21.4% (2020) → −25.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
STBMF screens overvalued: fair value 82% below the price. Compare with Newmont Corporation →
Compare St Barbara Limited with another stock
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEM | $115.34 | $126.87 | +10% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥30.01 | ¥44.45 | +48% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | $185.83 | $219.71 | +18% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | $135.39 | $87.78 | −35% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | $245.81 | $270.39 | +10% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $99.03 | $88.60 | −11% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $24.06 | $51.30 | +113% |
| Royal Gold, Inc RGLD | $238.93 | $262.82 | +10% |
| Shandong Gold Mining Co 600547 | ¥29.07 | ¥23.61 | −19% |
| Pan American Silver Corp PAAS | $46.14 | $59.13 | +28% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is St Barbara Limited (STBMF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1000 versus a price of $0.5620, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of STBMF?
Our model-based fair value for St Barbara Limited is $0.1000 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.5620.
What is the quality score of STBMF?
St Barbara Limited has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for St Barbara Limited (STBMF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1000 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0600, optimistic scenario $0.1200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the St Barbara Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1000, about −82% upside versus a price of $0.5620 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0600, optimistic scenario $0.1200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of St Barbara Limited (STBMF)?
St Barbara Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$247M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of St Barbara Limited (STBMF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For St Barbara Limited it is $0.1000 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.5620. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is St Barbara Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, STBMF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.5620, fair value $0.1000, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of STBMF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.5620); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1000). For St Barbara Limited the two are $0.4620 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is St Barbara Limited worth?
The market values St Barbara Limited at about $630M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.5620; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about STBMF?
Our models span a range for St Barbara Limited: cautious scenario $0.0600, base $0.1000, optimistic $0.1200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.5620). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is STBMF from its 52-week high?
St Barbara Limited trades at $0.5620, about 16% below its 52-week high of $0.6661 and 89% above the low of $0.2970 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.1000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to St Barbara Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is St Barbara Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.5620, calculated fair value $0.1000 (−82%), Quality Score 25/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of STBMF calculated?
We run St Barbara Limited through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. St Barbara Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of St Barbara Limited (STBMF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.5620. Our model-based fair value is $0.1000, about −82% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with St Barbara Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.1200). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.0600 to $0.1200) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of St Barbara Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of St Barbara Limited (STBMF)?
The market capitalisation of St Barbara Limited is $630M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of St Barbara Limited (STBMF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of St Barbara Limited is 2.55 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of St Barbara Limited (STBMF)?
The net margin of St Barbara Limited is −43.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of St Barbara Limited (STBMF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of St Barbara Limited is −1.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of St Barbara Limited (STBMF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of St Barbara Limited is −10.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of St Barbara Limited (STBMF)?
The operating margin of St Barbara Limited is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at St Barbara Limited (STBMF)?
Revenue at St Barbara Limited is growing +32.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at St Barbara Limited (STBMF)?
Earnings per share at St Barbara Limited are growing −63.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does St Barbara Limited (STBMF) generate?
The free cash flow of St Barbara Limited is −A$154M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does St Barbara Limited (STBMF) hold?
St Barbara Limited holds more cash than debt, A$62.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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