SM ENTERTAINMENT JAPAN Co (STEAF) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $87.7M
SM ENTERTAINMENT JAPAN Co
STEAF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $0.3500 to $0.3400 (−2.9%) since Jun 24, 2026.
A solid business, but screening 55% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.4300). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
48‑month range $0.7179 – $2.09 · fair‑value band $0.2900 – $0.4300 · the $0.7568 price screens above the $0.3400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
SM ENTERTAINMENT JAPAN Co (STEAF) currently trades at $0.7568, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3400, implying the stock looks roughly 55.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, SM ENTERTAINMENT JAPAN Co generated revenue of $11.2B at a net margin of 5.3%. Revenue grew 47.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $3.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.2900 (bear case) to $0.4300 (bull case); at $0.7568, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -55%, STEAF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($0.7974) versus Earnings-Based ($0.2146). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
SM ENTERTAINMENT JAPAN Co.,Ltd. engages in the CS broadcasting, management, mobile, fan club, merchandising, events and concerts, music, and rights businesses in Japan. It operates through Entertainment Business and Rights & Media Business segments.
Full company description
SM ENTERTAINMENT JAPAN Co.,Ltd. engages in the CS broadcasting, management, mobile, fan club, merchandising, events and concerts, music, and rights businesses in Japan. It operates through Entertainment Business and Rights & Media Business segments. The company operates KNTV, a Korean entertainment channel that broadcasts terrestrial dramas, news programs, K-pop, and variety shows; plans and produces original programs; broadcasts music live performances and online fan meeting events; manages the activities of artists in Japan; plans and operates official mobile site of the carriers; plans and organizes activities, including music and appearances at events in the media and in commercials; operates and plans artists fan club sites; designs, creates, and sells event goods that are sold at concerts, fan meetings, and other events; and sells goods on commission. It also engages in product planning and sale of goods related to the artists; and SMTOWN FC GOODS ONLINE STORE that sells official artist goods. In addition, the company acquires broadcasting rights, video distribution rights, and DVD-related products from content rights holders and distributes various content, including online live shows. It serves broadcasting stations, BS/CS channels, video distribution companies, and content planning and production companies. The company was formerly known as Stream Media Corporation and changed its name to SM ENTERTAINMENT JAPAN Co.,Ltd. in June 2025. SM ENTERTAINMENT JAPAN Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Minato, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
SM ENTERTAINMENT JAPAN Co reported revenue of $10.2B in FY2025 versus $5.6B in FY2021, a compound +16.0%/yr. Reported net income was $376M in FY2025.
STEAF screens 55% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →
Peer Group
Entertainment · 265 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix, Inc ZNFL | C$6.77 | C$2.96 | -56% |
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | $96.30 | $89.55 | -7% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $26.87 | $9.13 | -66% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $178.44 | $46.89 | -74% |
| Universal Music Group UMG | €18.91 | €14.78 | -22% |
| TKO Group TKO | $184.40 | $22.16 | -88% |
| Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO | 55.00 MXN | 60.49 MXN | +10% |
| Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 | ¥11.77 | ¥10.97 | -7% |
| PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN | 456.00 IDR | 221.09 IDR | -52% |
| Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS | ₹298.25 | ₹63.45 | -79% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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