Stream Media Corporation (STEAF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Stream Media Corporation $0.76, price $0.76, upside +0.4%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
50‑month range $0.7299 – $2.13 · fair‑value band $0.5800 – $0.9800 · the $0.7568 price screens below the $0.7600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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SM ENTERTAINMENT JAPAN Co.,Ltd. engages in the CS broadcasting, management, mobile, fan club, merchandising, events and concerts, music, and rights businesses in Japan. It operates through Entertainment Business and Rights & Media Business segments.
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SM ENTERTAINMENT JAPAN Co.,Ltd. engages in the CS broadcasting, management, mobile, fan club, merchandising, events and concerts, music, and rights businesses in Japan. It operates through Entertainment Business and Rights & Media Business segments. The company operates KNTV, a Korean entertainment channel that broadcasts terrestrial dramas, news programs, K-pop, and variety shows; plans and produces original programs; broadcasts music live performances and online fan meeting events; manages the activities of artists in Japan; plans and operates official mobile site of the carriers; plans and organizes activities, including music and appearances at events in the media and in commercials; operates and plans artists fan club sites; designs, creates, and sells event goods that are sold at concerts, fan meetings, and other events; and sells goods on commission. It also engages in product planning and sale of goods related to the artists; and SMTOWN FC GOODS ONLINE STORE that sells official artist goods. In addition, the company acquires broadcasting rights, video distribution rights, and DVD-related products from content rights holders and distributes various content, including online live shows. It serves broadcasting stations, BS/CS channels, video distribution companies, and content planning and production companies. The company was formerly known as Stream Media Corporation and changed its name to SM ENTERTAINMENT JAPAN Co.,Ltd. in June 2025. SM ENTERTAINMENT JAPAN Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 1971 and is headquartered in Minato, Japan.
Stock analysis
Stream Media Corporation (STEAF) currently trades at $0.7568, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.7600, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 0.4%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $1.65 per share, and 13 of the 24 models we run sit above the $0.7568 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.4429, and 11 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.5800 (bear) to $0.9800 (bull), the price of $0.7568 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Stream Media Corporation reported revenue of ¥10.2B in FY2025 versus ¥5.6B in FY2021, a compound +16.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥376M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $87.7M · P/E ratio 18.9 · P/S ratio 0.70 · EPS (TTM) $0.0400 · Dividend yield 2.6% · Net margin 3.7% · Return on equity 7.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at 0%, STEAF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.5800Fair Value $0.7600Bull $0.9800
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+15.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+12.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.6%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−28% → 2%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 25.7%/yr over ~5Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −5.6% a year for the price.
Compare Stream Media Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Entertainment · 256 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside+0.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)7.8% · Above median
Return on assets1.6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)5.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)7.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth47.0% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.6% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Stream Media Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/STEAF
Frequently asked questions
Is Stream Media Corporation (STEAF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.7600 versus a price of $0.7568, about +0% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of STEAF?
Our model-based fair value for Stream Media Corporation is $0.7600 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.7568.
What is the quality score of STEAF?
Stream Media Corporation has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Stream Media Corporation (STEAF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.7600 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.5800, optimistic scenario $0.9800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Stream Media Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.7600, about +0% upside versus a price of $0.7568 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $0.5800, optimistic scenario $0.9800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Stream Media Corporation (STEAF)?
Stream Media Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥11.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Stream Media Corporation pay a dividend?
Stream Media Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.58% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Stream Media Corporation (STEAF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Stream Media Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by -3.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +19.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of STEAF use?
Our models discount Stream Media Corporation at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Stream Media Corporation that is -3.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Stream Media Corporation (STEAF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Stream Media Corporation grew +19.0 % a year. The price currently implies -3.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Stream Media Corporation (STEAF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Stream Media Corporation (-3.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Stream Media Corporation (STEAF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.26 %: that much free cash flow Stream Media Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Stream Media Corporation (STEAF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Stream Media Corporation it is $0.7600 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.7568. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Stream Media Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, STEAF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.7568, fair value $0.7600, a gap of about +0% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of STEAF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.7568); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.7600). For Stream Media Corporation the two are $0.0032 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Stream Media Corporation worth?
The market values Stream Media Corporation at about $87.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.7568; our models calculate a fair value of $0.7600 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about STEAF?
Our models span a range for Stream Media Corporation: cautious scenario $0.5800, base $0.7600, optimistic $0.9800 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.7568). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of STEAF?
Stream Media Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.7600 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.9, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 26.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Stream Media Corporation (STEAF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Stream Media Corporation (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is STEAF from its 52-week high?
Stream Media Corporation trades at $0.7568, at its 52-week high of $0.7568 and 2% above the low of $0.7437 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.7600 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Stream Media Corporation?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value Netflix, Inc, The Walt Disney Company, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc, Live Nation Entertainment, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Stream Media Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.7568, calculated fair value $0.7600 (+0%), Quality Score 59/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of STEAF calculated?
We run Stream Media Corporation through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.7600, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Stream Media Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Stream Media Corporation (STEAF)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $0.7568. Our model-based fair value is $0.7600, about +0% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Stream Media Corporation right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Stream Media Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Stream Media Corporation (STEAF)?
The market capitalisation of Stream Media Corporation is $87.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Stream Media Corporation (STEAF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Stream Media Corporation is 0.70 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Stream Media Corporation (STEAF)?
Earnings per share at Stream Media Corporation are $0.0400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Stream Media Corporation (STEAF)?
The dividend yield of Stream Media Corporation is 2.6% (payout 48.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Stream Media Corporation (STEAF)?
The net margin of Stream Media Corporation is 3.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Stream Media Corporation (STEAF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Stream Media Corporation is 7.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Stream Media Corporation (STEAF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Stream Media Corporation is −0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Stream Media Corporation (STEAF)?
The operating margin of Stream Media Corporation is 7.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Stream Media Corporation (STEAF)?
Revenue at Stream Media Corporation is growing +47.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Stream Media Corporation (STEAF)?
Earnings per share at Stream Media Corporation are growing +533% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Stream Media Corporation (STEAF) hold?
Stream Media Corporation holds more cash than debt, ¥3.7B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026