Stampede Drilling Inc (STPDF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Stampede Drilling Inc $0.22, price $0.17, upside +27.8%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
35‑month range $0.0800 – $0.2700 · fair‑value band $0.1600 – $0.2800 · the $0.1722 price screens below the $0.2200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Stampede Drilling Inc. provides oilfield services to the oil and natural gas industry. The company provides contract drilling services in Western Canada. It also operates a fleet of 18 telescopic double rigs. The company was formerly known as MATRRIX Energy Technologies Inc. and changed its name to Stampede Drilling Inc. in May 2019. Stampede Drilling Inc.
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Stampede Drilling Inc. provides oilfield services to the oil and natural gas industry. The company provides contract drilling services in Western Canada. It also operates a fleet of 18 telescopic double rigs. The company was formerly known as MATRRIX Energy Technologies Inc. and changed its name to Stampede Drilling Inc. in May 2019. Stampede Drilling Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Calgary, Canada.
Stock analysis
Stampede Drilling Inc (STPDF) currently trades at $0.1722, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2200, implying the stock looks roughly 21.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $0.2200 per share, and 8 of the 14 models we run sit above the $0.1722 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $0.0400, and 6 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.1600 (bear) to $0.2800 (bull), the price of $0.1722 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Stampede Drilling Inc reported revenue of C$71.4M in FY2025 versus C$32.2M in FY2021, a compound +22.1%/yr. Reported net income was C$3.8M in FY2025, compounding +7.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $33.8M · P/E ratio 17.2 · P/S ratio 0.92 · EPS (TTM) $0.0100 · Net margin 5.3% · Return on equity 4.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.9% · Operating margin 11.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 115% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at 28%, STPDF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.1600Fair Value $0.2200Bull $0.2800
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0076 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−13.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.1%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−2.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−19% → 4%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Drilling · 33 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Below median
Fair Value upside−45.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4.3% · Below median
Return on assets1.6% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)5.6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)11.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth10.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.16× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Drilling median · lower = cheaper
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Is Stampede Drilling Inc (STPDF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2200 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.1722, about +28% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of STPDF?
Our model-based fair value for Stampede Drilling Inc is $0.2200 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.1722.
What is the quality score of STPDF?
Stampede Drilling Inc has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Stampede Drilling Inc (STPDF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2200 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1600, optimistic scenario $0.2800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Stampede Drilling Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2200, about +28% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.1722 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.1600, optimistic scenario $0.2800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Stampede Drilling Inc (STPDF)?
Stampede Drilling Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$73.8M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Stampede Drilling Inc (STPDF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Stampede Drilling Inc it is $0.2200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.1722. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Stampede Drilling Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, STPDF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.1722, fair value $0.2200, a gap of about +28% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of STPDF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.1722); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2200). For Stampede Drilling Inc the two are $0.0478 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Stampede Drilling Inc worth?
The market values Stampede Drilling Inc at about $33.8M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.1722; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about STPDF?
Our models span a range for Stampede Drilling Inc: cautious scenario $0.1600, base $0.2200, optimistic $0.2800 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.1722). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of STPDF?
Stampede Drilling Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.2200 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 4.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Stampede Drilling Inc (STPDF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Stampede Drilling Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.3%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is STPDF from its 52-week high?
Stampede Drilling Inc trades at $0.1722, at its 52-week high of $0.1722 and 115% above the low of $0.0800 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Stampede Drilling Inc?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Noble Corporation, Transocean Ltd, Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation, Valaris Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Stampede Drilling Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.1722, calculated fair value $0.2200 (+28%), Quality Score 43/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of STPDF calculated?
We run Stampede Drilling Inc through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Stampede Drilling Inc currently trades 22 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Stampede Drilling Inc (STPDF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.1722. Our model-based fair value is $0.2200, about +28% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Stampede Drilling Inc right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Stampede Drilling Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Stampede Drilling Inc (STPDF)?
The market capitalisation of Stampede Drilling Inc is $33.8M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Stampede Drilling Inc (STPDF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Stampede Drilling Inc is 0.92 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Stampede Drilling Inc (STPDF)?
Earnings per share at Stampede Drilling Inc are $0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Stampede Drilling Inc (STPDF)?
The net margin of Stampede Drilling Inc is 5.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Stampede Drilling Inc (STPDF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Stampede Drilling Inc is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Stampede Drilling Inc (STPDF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Stampede Drilling Inc is 6.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Stampede Drilling Inc (STPDF)?
The operating margin of Stampede Drilling Inc is 11.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Stampede Drilling Inc (STPDF)?
Revenue at Stampede Drilling Inc is growing +10.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Stampede Drilling Inc (STPDF)?
Earnings per share at Stampede Drilling Inc are growing +23.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Stampede Drilling Inc (STPDF) generate?
The free cash flow of Stampede Drilling Inc is −C$3.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Stampede Drilling Inc (STPDF) carry?
The net debt of Stampede Drilling Inc is C$19.3M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026