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Seadrill Limited (SDRL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Seadrill Limited $10.17, price $46.43, upside -78.1%, quality 26 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Energy · US · ISIN BMG7997W1029

SL Seadrill Limited logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

Seadrill Limited

SDRL · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $10.17 · Strongly overvalued (−78%)
!Quality 26/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +8.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -5.0% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/11)
!Narrow moat 21/100
!Insider activity 45/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$55.34 $18.74 Fair Value $10.17 Jun 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

51‑month range $18.74 – $55.34 · fair‑value band $5.81 – $14.54 · the $46.43 price screens above the $10.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Seadrill Limited provides offshore drilling services to the oil and gas industry worldwide. The company owns and operates floaters, such as drillships and semi-submersible rigs for operations in shallow and ultra-deep water in benign and harsh environments.

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Seadrill Limited provides offshore drilling services to the oil and gas industry worldwide. The company owns and operates floaters, such as drillships and semi-submersible rigs for operations in shallow and ultra-deep water in benign and harsh environments. It also offers jackup rigs, management services, and provides contracts drilling units to drill wells. It serves oil super-majors, state-owned national oil companies, and independent oil and gas companies. The company was formerly known as Seadrill 2021 Limited. Seadrill Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Houston, Texas.

Stock analysis

Seadrill Limited (SDRL) currently trades at $46.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.17, implying the stock looks roughly 356.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $30.62 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the $46.43 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $3.03, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $5.81 (bear) to $14.54 (bull), the price of $46.43 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Seadrill Limited reported revenue of $1.4B in FY2025 versus $907M in FY2021, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$77.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $2.9B · P/S ratio 1.90 · EPS (TTM) $−1.11 · Net margin −5.4% · Return on equity −2.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6% · Operating margin 7.2% · Revenue (TTM) $1.4B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 63% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −78%, SDRL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($3.03 to $30.62). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear $5.81 Fair Value $10.17 Bull $14.54
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings $8.85 $13.69 $22.38 75
EPV $2.02 $3.03 $3.90 73
ROIC Compounder $2.02 $3.03 $3.90 71
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $8.85 $13.69 $22.38 75
Earnings-Based
EPV $2.02 $3.03 $3.90 73
Multiples
EV/EBIT $4.01 $6.81 $9.61 64
EV/EBITDA $17.78 $25.17 $32.56 67
EV/Revenue $5.81 $10.17 $14.54 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $22.85 $30.62 $45.71 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $2.02 $3.03 $3.90 71

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 38
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 69
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 51
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 31/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −10.0% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−466.3% (2020) → 4.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

SDRL screens 357% overvalued. Compare with Noble Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Drilling · 34 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.21× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Drilling median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.01× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.05× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.5× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 32
FUTURE (revenue growth)44 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)89 · sector 80
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 31

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Drilling stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Noble Corporation NE $45.04 $46.18 +3%
Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation 600871 ¥2.12 ¥0.5200 −75%
Transocean Ltd RIG $5.49 $4.88 −11%
Valaris Limited VAL $82.72 $58.91 −29%
Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc PTEN $11.14 $22.36 +101%
Helmerich & Payne, Inc HP $39.79 $22.68 −43%
Odfjell Drilling Ltd ODL kr 102.80 kr 68.12 −34%
Arabian Drilling Company 2381 94.10 SAR 20.01 SAR −79%
Borr Drilling Limited BORR kr 41.67 kr 56.75 +36%
Nabors Industries Ltd NBR $83.42 $234.91 +182%

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Seadrill Limited · Fair Value
$10.17 −357%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Seadrill Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SDRL

Frequently asked questions

Is Seadrill Limited (SDRL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.17 versus a price of $46.43, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SDRL?
Our model-based fair value for Seadrill Limited is $10.17 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $46.43.
What is the quality score of SDRL?
Seadrill Limited has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Seadrill Limited (SDRL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.17 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.81, optimistic scenario $14.54. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Seadrill Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.17, about −78% upside versus a price of $46.43 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $5.81, optimistic scenario $14.54. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Seadrill Limited (SDRL)?
Seadrill Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Seadrill Limited (SDRL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Seadrill Limited it is $10.17 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $46.43. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Seadrill Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SDRL trades above its calculated fair value: price $46.43, fair value $10.17, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SDRL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($46.43); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($10.17). For Seadrill Limited the two are $36.26 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Seadrill Limited worth?
The market values Seadrill Limited at about $2.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $46.43; our models calculate a fair value of $10.17 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SDRL?
Our models span a range for Seadrill Limited: cautious scenario $5.81, base $10.17, optimistic $14.54 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $46.43). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Seadrill Limited (SDRL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Seadrill Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −2.4%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SDRL from its 52-week high?
Seadrill Limited trades at $46.43, about 15% below its 52-week high of $54.80 and 63% above the low of $28.40 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $10.17 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Seadrill Limited?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Noble Corporation, Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation, Transocean Ltd, Valaris Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Seadrill Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $46.43, calculated fair value $10.17 (−78%), Quality Score 26/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SDRL calculated?
We run Seadrill Limited through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $10.17, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Seadrill Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Seadrill Limited (SDRL)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $46.43. Our model-based fair value is $10.17, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Seadrill Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($14.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($5.81 to $14.54) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Seadrill Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Seadrill Limited (SDRL)?
The market capitalisation of Seadrill Limited is $2.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Seadrill Limited (SDRL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Seadrill Limited is 1.90 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Seadrill Limited (SDRL)?
Earnings per share at Seadrill Limited are $−1.11. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Seadrill Limited (SDRL)?
The net margin of Seadrill Limited is −5.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Seadrill Limited (SDRL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Seadrill Limited is −2.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Seadrill Limited (SDRL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Seadrill Limited is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Seadrill Limited (SDRL)?
The operating margin of Seadrill Limited is 7.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Seadrill Limited (SDRL)?
Revenue at Seadrill Limited is growing +8.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Seadrill Limited (SDRL)?
Earnings per share at Seadrill Limited are growing +63.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Seadrill Limited (SDRL) generate?
The free cash flow of Seadrill Limited is −$138M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Seadrill Limited (SDRL) carry?
The net debt of Seadrill Limited is $274M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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