Seadrill Limited (SDRL) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $2.7B
Seadrill Limited
SDRL · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $25.17 to $10.17 (−59.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +5.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 76% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($14.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range ($5.81 to $14.54) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
50‑month range $18.74 – $55.34 · fair‑value band $5.81 – $14.54 · the $43.24 price screens above the $10.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Seadrill Limited (SDRL) currently trades at $43.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.17, implying the stock looks roughly 76.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Seadrill Limited generated revenue of $1.4B at a net margin of -5.0%. Revenue grew 8.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.4%. Net debt stands at $274M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5.81 (bear case) to $14.54 (bull case); at $43.24, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 78% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -76%, SDRL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($216.59) versus Earnings-Based ($3.03). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Seadrill Limited provides offshore drilling services to the oil and gas industry worldwide. The company owns and operates floaters, such as drillships and semi-submersible rigs for operations in shallow and ultra-deep water in benign and harsh environments. It also offers jackup rigs, management services, and provides contracts drilling units to drill wells.
Full company description
Seadrill Limited provides offshore drilling services to the oil and gas industry worldwide. The company owns and operates floaters, such as drillships and semi-submersible rigs for operations in shallow and ultra-deep water in benign and harsh environments. It also offers jackup rigs, management services, and provides contracts drilling units to drill wells. It serves oil super-majors, state-owned national oil companies, and independent oil and gas companies. The company was formerly known as Seadrill 2021 Limited. Seadrill Limited was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Houston, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Seadrill Limited reported revenue of $1.4B in FY2025 versus $907M in FY2021, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$77.0M in FY2025.
SDRL screens 76% overvalued. Compare with Noble Corporation →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Drilling · 31 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Drilling median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Drilling stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Corporation NE | $41.79 | $23.09 | -45% |
| Sinopec Oilfield Service Corporation 600871 | ¥2.21 | ¥0.4900 | -78% |
| Transocean Ltd RIG | $5.14 | $2.16 | -58% |
| Valaris Limited VAL | $79.57 | $63.09 | -21% |
| Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc PTEN | $9.39 | $12.20 | +30% |
| Helmerich & Payne, Inc HP | $34.14 | $9.25 | -73% |
| Arabian Drilling Company 2381 | 80.70 SAR | 11.09 SAR | -86% |
| Nabors Industries Ltd NBR | $84.72 | $209.20 | +147% |
| Borr Drilling Limited BORR | kr 41.99 | kr 27.75 | -34% |
| Sable Offshore Corp SOC | $4.14 | $1.87 | -55% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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