PT Siantar Top Tbk, (STTP) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 13.5T IDR
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from 17,255 IDR to 15,316 IDR (−11.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −5.6% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 57% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (11,597 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 6,500 IDR – 16,425 IDR · fair‑value band 11,597 IDR – 20,145 IDR · the 9,750 IDR price screens below the 15,316 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
PT Siantar Top Tbk, (STTP) currently trades at 9,750 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 15,316 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 57.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, PT Siantar Top Tbk, generated revenue of 5.2T IDR at a net margin of 21.6%. Revenue declined 3.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.5T IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 11,597 IDR (bear case) to 20,145 IDR (bull case); at 9,750 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 57%, STTP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (19,009 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (1,313 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PT Siantar Top Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells snacks in Indonesia. The company operates through Food Processing and Others segments. It offers rice, candies, coffee, crackers, instant noodles and snack noodles, pellets, vermicelli, biscuits, and wafers, as well as flour and seasoning products.
Full company description
PT Siantar Top Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells snacks in Indonesia. The company operates through Food Processing and Others segments. It offers rice, candies, coffee, crackers, instant noodles and snack noodles, pellets, vermicelli, biscuits, and wafers, as well as flour and seasoning products. The company provides its products under the Twistko, Tic Tic, Spix, Go Potato, Go!, Goriorio, Boyki, My Choco, Gemez Enaak, O'krimer, Maestro, Jaya Mie, Gemez, and Suki brand names. It also exports its products to Asia and the Middle East. The company was founded in 1972 and is based in Sidoarjo, Indonesia. PT Siantar Top Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Shindo Tiara Tunggal.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PT Siantar Top Tbk, reported revenue of 5.2T IDR in FY2025 versus 4.2T IDR in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was 1.2T IDR in FY2025, compounding +17.6%/yr from FY2021.
Watch STTP: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 653 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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