StubHub Holdings (STUB) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $3.6B
StubHub Holdings
STUB · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $19.38 to $6.33 (−67.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −29.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 29% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.46). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range ($4.20 to $8.46) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (11 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
11‑month range $6.09 – $23.50 · fair‑value band $4.20 – $8.46 · the $8.95 price screens above the $6.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
StubHub Holdings (STUB) currently trades at $8.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.33, implying the stock looks roughly 29.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $1.8B. Revenue grew 12.2% year over year. Net debt stands at $265M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $4.20 (bear case) to $8.46 (bull case); at $8.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -29%, STUB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($12.59) versus Asset-Based ($3.71). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
StubHub Holdings, Inc. operates ticketing marketplace for live event tickets worldwide. It buys and sells tickets to live events and experiences through websites and mobile applications under the StubHub and viagogo brand names. The company was formerly known as Pugnacious Endeavors, Inc. and changed its name to StubHub Holdings, Inc. in September 2021.
Full company description
StubHub Holdings, Inc. operates ticketing marketplace for live event tickets worldwide. It buys and sells tickets to live events and experiences through websites and mobile applications under the StubHub and viagogo brand names. The company was formerly known as Pugnacious Endeavors, Inc. and changed its name to StubHub Holdings, Inc. in September 2021. StubHub Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2000 and is based in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
StubHub Holdings reported revenue of $1.7B in FY2025 versus $673M in FY2021, a compound +26.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.9B in FY2025.
STUB screens 29% overvalued. Compare with Alphabet Inc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Why StubHub Stock Plummeted by 13% This Week
- StubHub Holdings Investor Alert: Johnson Fistel Reviews Potential Claims for Shareholders
- StubHub vs. Build-A-Bear Workshop: Which Technology Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?
- StubHub under investigation in Texas over “ghost ticketing” charges
Peer Group
Internet Content & Information · 151 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alphabet Inc GOOGL | $354.46 | $145.14 | -59% |
| Meta Platforms, Inc META | $669.21 | $534.91 | -20% |
| Tencent Holdings 0700 | HK$460.20 | HK$467.50 | +2% |
| Spotify Technology S.A SPOT | $485.38 | $209.56 | -57% |
| Baidu, Inc BIDU | $113.30 | $451.51 | +299% |
| Reddit, Inc RDDT | $195.34 | $39.59 | -80% |
| Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 1024 | HK$44.70 | HK$101.03 | +126% |
| NAVER Corporation 035420 | 191,300 KRW | 231,585 KRW | +21% |
| Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 | HK$34.74 | HK$65.78 | +89% |
| REA Group REA | A$149.14 | A$88.53 | -41% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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