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TAV Havalimanlari Holding (TAVHF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what TAV Havalimanlari Holding is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Some data
Sep 13, 2026
Some data
Sep 13, 2026
TAV Havalimanlari Holding
TAVHF · USSpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.
✓Fair value $6.49 · Undervalued (+17%)
!Quality 48/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +43.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Narrow moat 35/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
33‑month range $3.74 – $8.27 · fair‑value band $3.94 – $9.64 · the $5.54 price screens below the $6.49 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Company profile
TAV Havalimanlari Holding A.S., together with its subsidiaries, constructs terminal buildings, and manages and operates terminals or airports in Turkey, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Macedonia, Tunisia, Croatia, Oman, Latvia, Spain, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and internationally.
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TAV Havalimanlari Holding A.S., together with its subsidiaries, constructs terminal buildings, and manages and operates terminals or airports in Turkey, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Macedonia, Tunisia, Croatia, Oman, Latvia, Spain, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and internationally. It operates through Terminal Operations, Catering Operations, Duty Free Operations, Ground Handling and Bus Operations, and Other segments. The Terminal Operations segment engages in the operation of terminal buildings, car parks, general aviation terminals, and parking-apron-taxi way, as well as ground handling operations. Its Catering Operations segment manages food and beverage operations of the terminal for passengers and the terminal personnel. The Duty Free Operations segment sells duty free goods for the international arriving and departing passengers. Its Ground Handling and Bus Operations segment is involved in the provision of traffic, ramp, flight operations, cargo, and other ground handling services for domestic and international flights, as well as the operation of buses. The Other segment provides lounge, IT, security and education, and airline taxi services, as well as software and system services. The company was formerly known as Tepe Akfen Vie Yatirim Yapim ve Isletme A.S. and changed its name to TAV Havalimanlari Holding A.S. in August 2006. TAV Havalimanlari Holding A.S. was founded in 1997 and is based in Istanbul, Turkey.
Stock analysis
TAV Havalimanlari Holding (TAVHF) currently trades at $5.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.49, implying the stock looks roughly 14.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $7.91 per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the $5.54 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.92, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $3.94 (bear) to $9.64 (bull), the price of $5.54 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
TAV Havalimanlari Holding reported revenue of €1.8B in FY2025 versus €522M in FY2021, a compound +36.7%/yr. Reported net income was €50.7M in FY2025, compounding +3.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.0B · P/E ratio 42.6 · P/S ratio 1.18 · EPS (TTM) $0.1300 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 2.8% · Return on equity 3.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 17%, TAVHF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $3.94
Fair Value $6.49
Bull $9.64
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0915 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
$3.12
$3.02
$2.53
76
FCF DCF
$3.89
$7.04
$16.87
73
Owner Earnings
n/a
$1.14
$4.58
73
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$3.89
$7.04
$16.87
73
Owner Earnings
n/a
$1.14
$4.58
73
5Y Revenue Exit
$4.72
$10.12
$21.48
67
5Y EBITDA Exit
$10.82
$22.45
$45.34
70
5Y P/E Exit
$1.34
$4.49
$8.64
65
10Y Revenue Exit
$4.29
$12.92
$18.78
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
$8.92
$25.76
$56.24
62
10Y P/E Exit
$2.16
$5.81
$11.46
59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.9500
$6.61
$9.28
63
Lynch FV
$2.90
$4.14
$5.38
61
PEG = 1.0
$2.90
$4.14
$5.38
57
EPV
$5.22
$6.35
$7.32
71
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$2.20
$2.93
$3.66
63
P/S Multiple
$1.78
$2.37
$2.96
58
P/B Multiple
$1.78
$2.37
$2.96
55
EV/EBIT
$10.77
$15.02
$19.26
66
EV/EBITDA
$13.08
$18.09
$23.11
67
EV/Revenue
$4.37
$7.08
$9.79
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$2.18
$2.92
$4.36
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$3.53
$7.91
$16.47
73
Rev-Margin DCF
$5.12
$11.85
$25.21
67
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$3.12
$3.02
$2.53
76
ROIC Compounder
$6.22
$9.18
$11.86
71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$3.57
$5.10
$6.63
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
48/100
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Profitability
22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
26
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+43.3%
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+2.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−12% → 20%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+14.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+9.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+6.3%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+12.1%
Projected 2028 (sales)+10.9%
Projected 2029 (sales)+9.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)+8.3%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Airports & Air Services · 54 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Airports & Air Services median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Airports & Air Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aena S.M.E., S.A AENA | €24.66 | €27.13 | +10% |
| Airports of Thailand Public Company TATD | 2.40 SGD | 2.64 SGD | +10% |
| Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A. PAC | $203.46 | $251.17 | +23% |
| GMR Airports Limited GMRINFRA | ₹98.10 | ₹22.29 | −77% |
| Shanghai International Airport Co 600009 | ¥23.28 | ¥25.61 | +10% |
| Flughafen Zürich AG FHZN | CHF 202.40 | CHF 121.30 | −40% |
| Auckland International Airport Limited AIA | A$6.77 | A$3.35 | −51% |
| Fraport AG FRA | €60.15 | €49.83 | −17% |
| Københavns Lufthavne A/S KBHL | kr 5,560 | kr 1,821 | −67% |
| SATS Ltd S58 | 3.91 SGD | 5.30 SGD | +36% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is TAV Havalimanlari Holding (TAVHF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.49 versus a price of $5.54, about +17% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TAVHF?
Our model-based fair value for TAV Havalimanlari Holding is $6.49 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.54.
What is the quality score of TAVHF?
TAV Havalimanlari Holding has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TAV Havalimanlari Holding (TAVHF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $6.49 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.94, optimistic scenario $9.64. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TAV Havalimanlari Holding stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $6.49, about +17% upside versus a price of $5.54 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $3.94, optimistic scenario $9.64. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TAV Havalimanlari Holding (TAVHF)?
TAV Havalimanlari Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does TAV Havalimanlari Holding pay a dividend?
TAV Havalimanlari Holding currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.16% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into TAV Havalimanlari Holding (TAVHF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, TAV Havalimanlari Holding would have to grow free cash flow by +14.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +43.3 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TAVHF use?
Our models discount TAV Havalimanlari Holding at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For TAV Havalimanlari Holding that is +14.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has TAV Havalimanlari Holding (TAVHF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at TAV Havalimanlari Holding grew +43.3 % a year. The price currently implies +14.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of TAV Havalimanlari Holding (TAVHF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into TAV Havalimanlari Holding (+14.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of TAV Havalimanlari Holding (TAVHF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.63 %: that much free cash flow TAV Havalimanlari Holding produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of TAV Havalimanlari Holding (TAVHF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TAV Havalimanlari Holding it is $6.49 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $5.54. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TAV Havalimanlari Holding stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, TAVHF trades below its calculated fair value: price $5.54, fair value $6.49, a gap of about +17% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TAVHF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.54); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($6.49). For TAV Havalimanlari Holding the two are $0.9500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TAV Havalimanlari Holding worth?
The market values TAV Havalimanlari Holding at about $2.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $5.54; our models calculate a fair value of $6.49 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TAVHF?
Our models span a range for TAV Havalimanlari Holding: cautious scenario $3.94, base $6.49, optimistic $9.64 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $5.54). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TAVHF?
TAV Havalimanlari Holding trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 42.6 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $6.49 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 1.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of TAV Havalimanlari Holding (TAVHF)?
Balance-sheet figures for TAV Havalimanlari Holding (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 3.3%, debt of 0.75 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TAVHF from its 52-week high?
TAV Havalimanlari Holding trades at $5.54, about 34% below its 52-week high of $8.39 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $6.49 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TAV Havalimanlari Holding?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Aena S.M.E., S.A, Airports of Thailand Public Company, Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacífico, S.A., GMR Airports Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TAV Havalimanlari Holding stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $5.54, calculated fair value $6.49 (+17%), Quality Score 48/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TAVHF calculated?
We run TAV Havalimanlari Holding through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $6.49, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. TAV Havalimanlari Holding currently trades 17 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with TAV Havalimanlari Holding right now?
A fairly wide model range ($3.94 to $9.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of TAV Havalimanlari Holding
How large is the market capitalisation of TAV Havalimanlari Holding (TAVHF)?
The market capitalisation of TAV Havalimanlari Holding is $2.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TAV Havalimanlari Holding (TAVHF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TAV Havalimanlari Holding is 1.18 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TAV Havalimanlari Holding (TAVHF)?
Earnings per share at TAV Havalimanlari Holding are $0.1300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 42.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of TAV Havalimanlari Holding (TAVHF)?
The dividend yield of TAV Havalimanlari Holding is 0.2% (payout 7.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of TAV Havalimanlari Holding (TAVHF)?
The net margin of TAV Havalimanlari Holding is 2.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TAV Havalimanlari Holding (TAVHF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TAV Havalimanlari Holding is 3.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TAV Havalimanlari Holding (TAVHF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TAV Havalimanlari Holding is 5.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at TAV Havalimanlari Holding (TAVHF)?
Revenue at TAV Havalimanlari Holding is growing +27.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +20.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TAV Havalimanlari Holding (TAVHF)?
Earnings per share at TAV Havalimanlari Holding are growing +55.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does TAV Havalimanlari Holding (TAVHF) carry?
The net debt of TAV Havalimanlari Holding is $1.4B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 10.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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