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Tali Digital Ltd (TD1) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Tali Digital Ltd A$0.03, price A$0.09, upside -68.0%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Healthcare · AU · ISIN AU0000074221

TD Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Tali Digital Ltd

TD1 · AU

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value A$0.0282 · Strongly overvalued (−68%)
!Quality 43/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −52.1 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/8)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$4.04 A$0.0400 Fair Value A$0.0282 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0400 – A$4.04 · fair‑value band A$0.0194 – A$0.0370 · the A$0.0880 price screens above the A$0.0282 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

TALi Digital Limited, a digital health company, delivers diagnostic and therapeutic solutions to enhance attention cognitive function primarily in Australia. The company provides play-based interactions platforms, such as TALi DETECT, an evidence-based screening tool; and TALi TRAIN and ReadyAttentionGo!, a training modules.

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TALi Digital Limited, a digital health company, delivers diagnostic and therapeutic solutions to enhance attention cognitive function primarily in Australia. The company provides play-based interactions platforms, such as TALi DETECT, an evidence-based screening tool; and TALi TRAIN and ReadyAttentionGo!, a training modules. It also focuses to deliver a series of product developments relevant to attention deficit hyperactivity and disorder; and autism spectrum disorder. The company was formerly known as Novita Healthcare Limited and changed its name to TALI Digital Limited in December 2019. TALi Digital Limited was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Hawthorn East, Australia.

Stock analysis

Tali Digital Ltd (TD1) currently trades at A$0.0880, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0282, implying the stock looks roughly 212.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: A$0.0194 (bear) to A$0.0370 (bull), the price of A$0.0880 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Tali Digital Ltd reported revenue of A$1.2K in FY2025 versus A$34.2K in FY2021, a compound −56.9%/yr. Reported net income was −A$657K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$2.9M (≈ $2.1M) · P/S ratio 45.5 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0200 · Return on equity −46.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −59.1% · Operating margin −861% · Revenue growth (YoY) +499% · Free cash flow −A$473K.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 35 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 120% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −68%, TD1 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.0194 Fair Value A$0.0282 Bull A$0.0370
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0500 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0200 A$0.0300 A$0.0500 50

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 29
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 72
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 22
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 54
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 35
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−40.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−55.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−52.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −42.9% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−27.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−8,370.7% (2020) → −59,973.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TD1 screens 212% overvalued. Compare with Veeva Systems Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Health Information Services · 133 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −68% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −26% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 499% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Health Information Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.90× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 30.34× · Priciest 25%
PEG 0.75× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 4
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 35
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 5
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 48

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Health Information Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Veeva Systems Inc VEEV $270.75 $297.83 +10%
Pro Medicus Limited PME A$161.31 A$64.50 −60%
BrightSpring Health Services, Inc BTSG $56.55 $26.07 −54%
HealthEquity, Inc HQY $91.75 $100.93 +10%
Hinge Health, Inc HNGE $94.15 $51.66 −45%
10x Genomics, Inc TXG $80.70 $21.71 −73%
Waystar Holding WAY $25.63 $28.19 +10%
XtalPi Holdings 2228 HK$8.39 HK$1.50 −82%
Doximity, Inc DOCS $26.51 $31.41 +18%
Privia Health Group PRVA $19.46 $5.26 −73%

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Tali Digital Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.0282 −212%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tali Digital Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TD1

Frequently asked questions

Is Tali Digital Ltd (TD1) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0282 versus a price of A$0.0880, about −68% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TD1?
Our model-based fair value for Tali Digital Ltd is A$0.0282 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.0880.
What is the quality score of TD1?
Tali Digital Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tali Digital Ltd (TD1)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0282 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0194, optimistic scenario A$0.0370. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tali Digital Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0282, about −68% upside versus a price of A$0.0880 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0194, optimistic scenario A$0.0370. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Tali Digital Ltd (TD1)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tali Digital Ltd it is A$0.0282 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.0880. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tali Digital Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, TD1 trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.0880, fair value A$0.0282, a gap of about −68% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TD1?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.0880); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0282). For Tali Digital Ltd the two are A$0.0598 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tali Digital Ltd worth?
The market values Tali Digital Ltd at about A$2.9M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.0880; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0282 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TD1?
Our models span a range for Tali Digital Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0194, base A$0.0282, optimistic A$0.0370 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.0880). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of TD1?
The PEG ratio of Tali Digital Ltd is 0.75 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tali Digital Ltd (TD1)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tali Digital Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −46.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TD1 from its 52-week high?
Tali Digital Ltd trades at A$0.0880, about 41% below its 52-week high of A$0.1500 and 120% above the low of A$0.0400 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0282 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tali Digital Ltd?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Veeva Systems Inc, Pro Medicus Limited, BrightSpring Health Services, Inc, HealthEquity, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tali Digital Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.0880, calculated fair value A$0.0282 (−68%), Quality Score 43/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TD1 calculated?
We run Tali Digital Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0282, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Tali Digital Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Tali Digital Ltd (TD1)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.0880. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0282, about −68% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Tali Digital Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0370). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$0.0194 to A$0.0370) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Tali Digital Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Tali Digital Ltd (TD1)?
The market capitalisation of Tali Digital Ltd is A$2.9M (≈ $2.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Tali Digital Ltd (TD1)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Tali Digital Ltd is 45.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Tali Digital Ltd (TD1)?
Earnings per share at Tali Digital Ltd are A$−0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Tali Digital Ltd (TD1)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Tali Digital Ltd is −46.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Tali Digital Ltd (TD1)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Tali Digital Ltd is −59.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Tali Digital Ltd (TD1)?
The operating margin of Tali Digital Ltd is −861% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Tali Digital Ltd (TD1)?
Revenue at Tali Digital Ltd is growing +499% versus a year earlier (3y avg −55.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Tali Digital Ltd (TD1) generate?
The free cash flow of Tali Digital Ltd is −A$473K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Tali Digital Ltd (TD1) hold?
Tali Digital Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$1.3M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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