Telia Company (TELIA) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · SE · Market cap 182B SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price −3.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 55% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 24.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 11.33 to kr 24.44) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 17.75 – kr 51.68 · fair‑value band kr 11.33 – kr 24.44 · the kr 43.61 price screens above the kr 19.55 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Telia Company (TELIA) currently trades at kr 43.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 19.55, implying the stock looks roughly 55.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Telia Company generated revenue of 80.9B SEK at a net margin of 5.8%. Revenue declined 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. Net debt stands at 90.4B SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 11.33 (bear case) to kr 24.44 (bull case); at kr 43.61, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at -55%, TELIA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (kr 24.62) versus Earnings-Based (kr 7.39). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Telia Company AB (publ) provides communication services to businesses, individuals, families, and communities in Sweden, Finland, Norway, Denmark, Lithuania, Estonia, and Latvia.
Full company description
Telia Company AB (publ) provides communication services to businesses, individuals, families, and communities in Sweden, Finland, Norway, Denmark, Lithuania, Estonia, and Latvia. It offers mobile, broadband, television, and fixed-line services; and networking, cloud and security, mobility, enterprise mobile network, contact center, managed mobility services, collaboration solutions, and telephony. The company also offers Internet of Things (IoT), broadband services via mobile network and fiber, LAN and WiFi, SD-WAN, mobile LAN, dedicated private networks, and data analysis services, as well as colocation solutions. In addition, it provides smart public transport, and smart utilities, as well as transport and logistics solutions comprising connected vehicle, GPS positioning, and fleet management services. It also provides data communication and security solutions to individuals and companies. The company markets its products and services under the Telia, Telia Cygate, TV4, Halebop, Fello, MTV, Phonero, Onecall, MyCall, Ezys, and Diil brand names for transport and logistics, forestry, healthcare and community, agriculture, and energy and mining, as well as manufacturing industries. Telia Company AB (publ) was formerly known as TeliaSonera AB (publ) and changed its name to Telia Company AB (publ) in April 2016. The company was founded in 1853 and is based in Solna, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Telia Company reported revenue of kr 81.0B in FY2025 versus kr 88.3B in FY2021, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was kr 3.5B in FY2025, compounding −26.0%/yr from FY2021.
TELIA screens 55% overvalued. Compare with China Mobile Limited →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Brookfield Asset Management (TSX:BAM) Signs Sweden Sovereign AI Partnership With Telia And KTH
- Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights Vodafone Group, Telia and TIM
- Is Telia Company (OM:TELIA) Now Pricing In Too Much Optimism After Its 1-Year Rally?
- Telia Company AB (TLSNF) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Start with Revenue Growth and ...
Peer Group
Telecom Services · 252 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Mobile Limited 600941 | ¥89.98 | ¥109.88 | +22% |
| T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS | $187.61 | $172.67 | -8% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,922 | ₹941.55 | -51% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥6.01 | ¥8.36 | +39% |
| América Móvil, S.A. AMXB | 23.07 MXN | 30.35 MXN | +32% |
| Vodafone Group VODN | 259.50 MXN | 507.27 MXN | +95% |
| Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC | 379.00 THB | 286.77 THB | -24% |
| Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 | 133.50 TWD | 100.00 TWD | -25% |
| China Unicom (Hong Kong) Limited 0762 | HK$6.50 | HK$13.03 | +100% |
| Telefónica, S.A TEFN | 75.67 MXN | 111.01 MXN | +47% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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