Freshtrop Fruits Limited (530077) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 23, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Freshtrop Fruits Limited stock ₹155, price ₹178, upside -13.1%, quality 73 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?No
Good quality?Yes
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹71.20 – ₹273.55 · fair‑value band ₹129.75 – ₹181.46 · the ₹178.30 price screens above the ₹154.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Freshtrop Fruits Limited engages in the export of fresh fruits and vegetables. It operates in two segments, Fresh Fruits, and Processed Fruits and Vegetables. The company offers grapes, pomegranates, and mangoes, as well as pomegranate arils and coconut chunks.
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It also produces pomegranate juice; mango pulp; guava pulp; amla (gooseberry) pulp; papaya concentrate, puree, and pulp; watermelon juice concentrate; and tomato paste.
In addition, the company offers frozen and frozen HPP pomegranate, mango, and guava; and clarified pomegranate, guava, and mango concentrates, as well as cold processed juices.
The company offers its products in India, as well as exports its products to supermarket chains in Europe, Russia, and Hong Kong. Freshtrop Fruits Limited was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Ahmedabad, India.
Stock analysis
Freshtrop Fruits Limited (530077) currently trades at ₹178.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹154.91, 13.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹392.92 per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹178.30 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ₹34.12, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ₹129.75 (bear) to ₹181.46 (bull), the price of ₹178.30 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Staples sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Freshtrop Fruits Limited reported revenue of ₹1.2B in FY2026 versus ₹1.7B in FY2022, a compound −8.5%/yr. Reported net income was ₹253M in FY2026, compounding +36.2%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹632M (≈ $6.7M) Micro · P/E ratio 38.9 · P/S ratio 1.08 · EPS (TTM) ₹3.89 · Net margin 2.0% · Return on equity 3.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.3% · Operating margin 3.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 45 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Staples peers we cover trades at 21% fair-value upside, at −13%, 530077 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear₹129.75Fair Value ₹154.91Bull₹181.46
Price ₹178.30 · Upside -13.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹2.22 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +5.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+5.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.35.8% vs 16.3%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 5%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2026 sits 113% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−7.1%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −10.8% a year for the price.
Compare Freshtrop Fruits Limited with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Agricultural Products” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Consumer Staples · 1699 stocks
Beats the sector median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−13.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)3.8% · Below median
Return on assets16.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)2.0% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)3.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−3.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Staples median · lower = cheaper
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Is Freshtrop Fruits Limited (530077) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹154.91 versus a price of ₹178.30, about −13% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 530077?
Our model-based fair value for Freshtrop Fruits Limited is ₹154.91 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹178.30.
What is the quality score of 530077?
Freshtrop Fruits Limited has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Freshtrop Fruits Limited (530077)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹154.91 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹129.75, optimistic scenario ₹181.46. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Freshtrop Fruits Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹154.91, about −13% upside versus a price of ₹178.30 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹129.75, optimistic scenario ₹181.46. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Freshtrop Fruits Limited (530077)?
Freshtrop Fruits Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹1.6B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Freshtrop Fruits Limited (530077)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Freshtrop Fruits Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -7.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.6 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 530077 use?
Our models discount Freshtrop Fruits Limited at 12.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.17, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Freshtrop Fruits Limited that is -7.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Freshtrop Fruits Limited (530077) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Freshtrop Fruits Limited grew -3.6 % a year. The price currently implies -7.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Freshtrop Fruits Limited (530077) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Freshtrop Fruits Limited (-7.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Freshtrop Fruits Limited (530077)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 16.33 %: that much free cash flow Freshtrop Fruits Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Freshtrop Fruits Limited (530077)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Freshtrop Fruits Limited it is ₹154.91 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of ₹178.30. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Freshtrop Fruits Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 530077 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹178.30, fair value ₹154.91, a gap of about −13% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 530077?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹178.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹154.91). For Freshtrop Fruits Limited the two are ₹23.39 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Freshtrop Fruits Limited worth?
The market values Freshtrop Fruits Limited at about ₹632M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is ₹178.30; our models calculate a fair value of ₹154.91 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 530077?
Our models span a range for Freshtrop Fruits Limited: cautious scenario ₹129.75, base ₹154.91, optimistic ₹181.46 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price ₹178.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 530077?
Freshtrop Fruits Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 38.9 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹154.91 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 6.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Freshtrop Fruits Limited (530077)?
Balance-sheet figures for Freshtrop Fruits Limited (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 3.8%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 73/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 530077 from its 52-week high?
Freshtrop Fruits Limited trades at ₹178.30, about 6% below its 52-week high of ₹189.25 and 26% above the low of ₹141.30 (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹154.91 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Freshtrop Fruits Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Staples) we also value CIANAGRO, NEAGI, 540401, NAGTECH, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Freshtrop Fruits Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price ₹178.30, calculated fair value ₹154.91 (−13%), Quality Score 73/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 530077 calculated?
We run Freshtrop Fruits Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹154.91, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.3 % above its aggregate fair value. Freshtrop Fruits Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Freshtrop Fruits Limited (530077)?
The closing price on Oct 23, 2026 was ₹178.30. Our model-based fair value is ₹154.91, about −13% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Freshtrop Fruits Limited right now?
The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Freshtrop Fruits Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Freshtrop Fruits Limited (530077)?
The market capitalisation of Freshtrop Fruits Limited is ₹632M (≈ $6.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Freshtrop Fruits Limited (530077)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Freshtrop Fruits Limited is 1.08 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Freshtrop Fruits Limited (530077)?
Earnings per share at Freshtrop Fruits Limited are ₹3.89 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 38.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Freshtrop Fruits Limited (530077)?
The net margin of Freshtrop Fruits Limited is 2.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Freshtrop Fruits Limited (530077)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Freshtrop Fruits Limited is 3.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Freshtrop Fruits Limited (530077)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Freshtrop Fruits Limited is 0.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Freshtrop Fruits Limited (530077)?
The operating margin of Freshtrop Fruits Limited is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Freshtrop Fruits Limited (530077)?
Revenue at Freshtrop Fruits Limited is growing −3.8% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Freshtrop Fruits Limited (530077)?
Earnings per share at Freshtrop Fruits Limited are growing −33.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Freshtrop Fruits Limited (530077) carry?
The net debt of Freshtrop Fruits Limited is ₹10.1M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 0.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 3, 2026