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Nuvonyx Inc (TFGL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Nuvonyx Inc $0.64, price $0.38, upside +68.9%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Financial Services · US · ISIN US89237U1016

NI Nuvonyx Inc logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Nuvonyx Inc

TFGL · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $0.6400 · Strongly undervalued (+69%)
!Quality 29/100
!Weak Growth (revenue YoY −0.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -172.0% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
!Mixed vs. peers (4/8)
!Narrow moat 3/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$3.20 $0.0200 Fair Value $0.6400 Jul 2015 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0200 – $3.20 · fair‑value band $0.4800 – $0.9500 · the $0.3790 price screens below the $0.6400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Tracker Financial Group Ltd engages in the manufacture and marketing of nutritional products that feature aloe vera juice as an ingredient. It offers bulk aloe juice and gel, as well as aloe vera powder. The company markets its nutritional products primarily under the Real Aloe and MAZU brands.

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Tracker Financial Group Ltd engages in the manufacture and marketing of nutritional products that feature aloe vera juice as an ingredient. It offers bulk aloe juice and gel, as well as aloe vera powder. The company markets its nutritional products primarily under the Real Aloe and MAZU brands. Tracker Financial Group Ltd markets its products to nutritional food stores through distributors, as well as through individuals in the United States and internationally. The company was formerly known as Nuvonyx, Inc. and changed its name to Tracker Financial Group Ltd in May 2017. Tracker Financial Group Ltd was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Stock analysis

Nuvonyx Inc (TFGL) currently trades at $0.3790, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6400, implying the stock looks roughly 40.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.4800 (bear) to $0.9500 (bull), the price of $0.3790 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Nuvonyx Inc reported revenue of $1.5M in FY2011 versus $939K in FY2009, a compound +26.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.6M in FY2011.

Key figures

Market cap $672K · P/S ratio 0.45 · EPS (TTM) $−1.91 · Net margin −172% · Return on equity −1,490% · Return on assets (EBIT) −269% · Operating margin −453% · Revenue (TTM) $1.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 88% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −53% fair-value upside, at 69%, TFGL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.4800 Fair Value $0.6400 Bull $0.9500
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.4800 $0.6400 $0.9500 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.4800 $0.6400 $0.9500 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 52
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Shell Companies · 80 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +69% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −71% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −172% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −64% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Shell Companies median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.40× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.45× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 0

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Shell Companies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Lionheart III Corp LION $11.36 $15.02 +32%
AA Mission Acquisition Corp AAM $0.0360 $0.0490 +36%
Berto Acquisition Corp TACO $10.46 $2.73 −74%
Metals Acquisition Corp MTAL $10.16 $20.32 +100%
Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp AXIN $10.33 $1.71 −83%
Bold Eagle Acquisition Corp BEAG $10.82 $4.00 −63%
Lionheart Holdings CUB $10.88 $5.06 −53%
Texas Ventures Acquisition III Corp TVACW $0.2210 $0.2600 +18%
Translational Development Acquisition Corp TDAC $10.86 $4.28 −61%
TGE Value Creative Solutions Corp BEBE $10.04 $3.58 −64%

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Nuvonyx Inc · Fair Value
$0.6400 +41%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nuvonyx Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TFGL

Frequently asked questions

Is Nuvonyx Inc (TFGL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6400 versus a price of $0.3790, about +69% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TFGL?
Our model-based fair value for Nuvonyx Inc is $0.6400 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.3790.
What is the quality score of TFGL?
Nuvonyx Inc has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Nuvonyx Inc (TFGL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.6400 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.4800, optimistic scenario $0.9500. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Nuvonyx Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.6400, about +69% upside versus a price of $0.3790 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.4800, optimistic scenario $0.9500. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Nuvonyx Inc (TFGL)?
Nuvonyx Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Nuvonyx Inc (TFGL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Nuvonyx Inc it is $0.6400 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $0.3790. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Nuvonyx Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, TFGL trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.3790, fair value $0.6400, a gap of about +69% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TFGL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.3790); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.6400). For Nuvonyx Inc the two are $0.2610 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Nuvonyx Inc worth?
The market values Nuvonyx Inc at about $672K (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $0.3790; our models calculate a fair value of $0.6400 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TFGL?
Our models span a range for Nuvonyx Inc: cautious scenario $0.4800, base $0.6400, optimistic $0.9500 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $0.3790). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is TFGL from its 52-week high?
Nuvonyx Inc trades at $0.3790, about 88% below its 52-week high of $3.20 and 61% above the low of $0.2360 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.6400 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Nuvonyx Inc?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Lionheart III Corp, AA Mission Acquisition Corp, Berto Acquisition Corp, Metals Acquisition Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Nuvonyx Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $0.3790, calculated fair value $0.6400 (+69%), Quality Score 29/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TFGL calculated?
We run Nuvonyx Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.6400, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Nuvonyx Inc currently trades 69 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Nuvonyx Inc (TFGL)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $0.3790. Our model-based fair value is $0.6400, about +69% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Nuvonyx Inc right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (29/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.4800). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.4800 to $0.9500) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Nuvonyx Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Nuvonyx Inc (TFGL)?
The market capitalisation of Nuvonyx Inc is $672K. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Nuvonyx Inc (TFGL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Nuvonyx Inc is 0.45 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Nuvonyx Inc (TFGL)?
Earnings per share at Nuvonyx Inc are $−1.91. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Nuvonyx Inc (TFGL)?
The net margin of Nuvonyx Inc is −172% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Nuvonyx Inc (TFGL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Nuvonyx Inc is −1,490% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Nuvonyx Inc (TFGL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Nuvonyx Inc is −269% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Nuvonyx Inc (TFGL)?
The operating margin of Nuvonyx Inc is −453% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Nuvonyx Inc (TFGL)?
Revenue at Nuvonyx Inc is growing −63.5% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
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