Tracker Financial Group (TFGL) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $851K
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Share price −21.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 69% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (29/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.4800). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.4800 to $0.9500) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0200 – $3.20 · fair‑value band $0.4800 – $0.9500 · the $0.3790 price screens below the $0.6400 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
Tracker Financial Group (TFGL) currently trades at $0.3790, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6400, implying the stock looks roughly 68.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $1.5M. Revenue declined 63.5% year over year. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.4800 (bear case) to $0.9500 (bull case); at $0.3790, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -61% fair-value upside, at 69%, TFGL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tracker Financial Group Ltd engages in the manufacture and marketing of nutritional products that feature aloe vera juice as an ingredient. It offers bulk aloe juice and gel, as well as aloe vera powder. The company markets its nutritional products primarily under the Real Aloe and MAZU brands.
Full company description
Tracker Financial Group Ltd engages in the manufacture and marketing of nutritional products that feature aloe vera juice as an ingredient. It offers bulk aloe juice and gel, as well as aloe vera powder. The company markets its nutritional products primarily under the Real Aloe and MAZU brands. Tracker Financial Group Ltd markets its products to nutritional food stores through distributors, as well as through individuals in the United States and internationally. The company was formerly known as Nuvonyx, Inc. and changed its name to Tracker Financial Group Ltd in May 2017. Tracker Financial Group Ltd was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2009 – FY2011 · reported fiscal years
Tracker Financial Group reported revenue of $1.5M in FY2011 versus $939K in FY2009, a compound +26.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$2.6M in FY2011.
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Peer Group
Shell Companies · 70 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Shell Companies median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Shell Companies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Coca-Cola Company COLA | C$27.96 | C$10.91 | -61% |
| Lionheart III Corp LION | $13.47 | $18.15 | +35% |
| Agriculture & Natural Solutions Acquisition Corporation ANSC | $11.45 | $4.13 | -64% |
| AA Mission Acquisition Corp AAM | $0.0320 | $0.0314 | -2% |
| GP-Act III Acquisition Corp GPAT | $10.91 | $4.30 | -61% |
| Berto Acquisition Corp TACO | $10.48 | $2.73 | -74% |
| Axiom Intelligence Acquisition Corp AXIN | $10.29 | $1.46 | -86% |
| Bold Eagle Acquisition Corp BEAG | $10.67 | $4.00 | -63% |
| Lionheart Holdings CUB | $10.80 | $5.06 | -53% |
| Graf Global Corp GRAF | $10.82 | $3.63 | -66% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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