FW Thorpe PLC (TFW) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 12, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of FW Thorpe PLC stock £4.51, price £2.61, upside +72.8%, quality 77 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £2.40 – £4.60 · fair‑value band £3.02 – £5.89 · the £2.61 price screens below the £4.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 11, 2026.
Follow FW Thorpe in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether FW Thorpe is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
FW Thorpe Plc designs, manufactures, and supplies professional lighting equipment in the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, Germany, rest of Europe, and internationally.
Show moreShow less
The company offers professional lighting and control systems, including recessed, surface, and suspended luminaires; emergency lighting systems; hazardous area lighting; high and low bay luminaires; lighting controls; and exterior lighting products for commercial, industrial, education, healthcare, manufacturing, logistics, retail, display, and hospitality markets.
It also provides emergency general illumination, exit signage, and lighting systems for commercial, industrial, education, healthcare, infrastructure, retail, display, and hospitality markets.
In addition, the company offers road and tunnel lighting, amenity lighting, cleanroom luminaires, lighting for signs, and road safety lighting for various sectors, such as pharmaceutical, research and development, advertising, and facilities.
Further, it provides external and impact resistant lighting, which includes street lighting, outdoor wall, and ceiling luminaires, as well as control systems. FW Thorpe Plc was incorporated in 1936 and is headquartered in Redditch, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
FW Thorpe PLC (TFW) currently trades at £2.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £4.51, implying the stock looks roughly 42% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of £5.13 per share, and 21 of the 26 models we run sit above the £2.61 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £0.6900, and 5 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: £3.02 (bear) to £5.89 (bull), the price of £2.61 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
FW Thorpe PLC reported revenue of £173M in FY2026 versus £144M in FY2022, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was £27.1M in FY2026, compounding +7.8%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap £296M Small · P/E ratio 10.9 · P/S ratio 1.71 · EPS (TTM) £0.2400 · Dividend yield 3.7% · Net margin 15.7% · Return on equity 14.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.6% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 67 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 73%, TFW screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear£3.02Fair Value £4.51Bull£5.89
Price £2.61 · Upside +72.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then (£0.0530 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.80/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.9% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+15.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+12.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.12.0% vs 7.8%, picking up
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.18% → 18%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−2.7%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −4.9% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Electrical Equipment & Parts · 592 stocks
Beats the industry median on 13/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+72.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)14.1% · Above median
Return on assets11.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)15.7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)22.2% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−0.3% · Below median
Dividend yield (12 months)3.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
As of Nov 11, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £4.51 versus a price of £2.61, about +73% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TFW?
Our model-based fair value for FW Thorpe PLC is £4.51 (as of Nov 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £2.61.
What is the quality score of TFW?
FW Thorpe PLC has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for FW Thorpe PLC (TFW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £4.51 (as of Nov 11, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario £3.02, optimistic scenario £5.89. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the FW Thorpe PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £4.51, about +73% upside versus a price of £2.61 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £3.02, optimistic scenario £5.89. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of FW Thorpe PLC (TFW)?
FW Thorpe PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £173M (latest available figure, as of Nov 11, 2026).
Does FW Thorpe PLC pay a dividend?
FW Thorpe PLC currently shows a dividend yield of 3.74% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 11, 2026).
How much is the dividend of FW Thorpe PLC (TFW) and when is the ex-dividend date?
FW Thorpe PLC pays a dividend of £0.0977 per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Nov 5, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 1994. The payout ratio is 40.7% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 2.31 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into FW Thorpe PLC (TFW)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, FW Thorpe PLC would have to grow free cash flow by -2.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.0 % per year. As of Nov 11, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TFW use?
Our models discount FW Thorpe PLC at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.38, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For FW Thorpe PLC that is -2.7 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has FW Thorpe PLC (TFW) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at FW Thorpe PLC grew +8.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -2.7 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of FW Thorpe PLC (TFW) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into FW Thorpe PLC (-2.7 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of FW Thorpe PLC (TFW)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.54 %: that much free cash flow FW Thorpe PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of FW Thorpe PLC (TFW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For FW Thorpe PLC it is £4.51 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026), against a price of £2.61. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is FW Thorpe PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 11, 2026, TFW trades below its calculated fair value: price £2.61, fair value £4.51, a gap of about +73% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TFW?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£2.61); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£4.51). For FW Thorpe PLC the two are £1.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is FW Thorpe PLC worth?
The market values FW Thorpe PLC at about £296M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 11, 2026). Per share that is £2.61; our models calculate a fair value of £4.51 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TFW?
Our models span a range for FW Thorpe PLC: cautious scenario £3.02, base £4.51, optimistic £5.89 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026, price £2.61). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TFW?
FW Thorpe PLC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.9 (as of Nov 11, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £4.51 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 1.7, EV/EBITDA 6.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of FW Thorpe PLC (TFW)?
Balance-sheet figures for FW Thorpe PLC (as of Nov 11, 2026): return on equity 14.1%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 77/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TFW from its 52-week high?
FW Thorpe PLC trades at £2.61, about 15% below its 52-week high of £3.09 and 9% above the low of £2.40 (as of Nov 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £4.51 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to FW Thorpe PLC?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Contemporary Amperex Technology Co, ABB Ltd, Vertiv Holdings, Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is FW Thorpe PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 11, 2026: price £2.61, calculated fair value £4.51 (+73%), Quality Score 77/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TFW calculated?
We run FW Thorpe PLC through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of £4.51 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.3% above its aggregate fair value. FW Thorpe PLC currently trades 42% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of FW Thorpe PLC (TFW)?
The closing price on Nov 12, 2026 was £2.61. Our model-based fair value is £4.51, about +73% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with FW Thorpe PLC right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (77/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (£3.02). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range (£3.02 to £5.89) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of FW Thorpe PLC (TFW) come from?
Earnings per share at FW Thorpe PLC grew +7.8 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.7 %, EBIT margin −0.1 %, tax rate +0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of FW Thorpe PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of FW Thorpe PLC (TFW)?
The market capitalisation of FW Thorpe PLC is £296M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of FW Thorpe PLC (TFW)?
The price-to-sales ratio of FW Thorpe PLC is 1.71 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of FW Thorpe PLC (TFW)?
Earnings per share at FW Thorpe PLC are £0.2400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of FW Thorpe PLC (TFW)?
The dividend yield of FW Thorpe PLC is 3.7% (payout 40.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of FW Thorpe PLC (TFW)?
The net margin of FW Thorpe PLC is 15.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of FW Thorpe PLC (TFW)?
The return on equity (ROE) of FW Thorpe PLC is 14.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of FW Thorpe PLC (TFW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of FW Thorpe PLC is 12.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of FW Thorpe PLC (TFW)?
The operating margin of FW Thorpe PLC is 22.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at FW Thorpe PLC (TFW)?
Revenue at FW Thorpe PLC is growing −0.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at FW Thorpe PLC (TFW)?
Earnings per share at FW Thorpe PLC are growing +13.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does FW Thorpe PLC (TFW) hold?
FW Thorpe PLC holds more cash than debt, £40.3M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch FW Thorpe PLC in the live analysis
One click puts FW Thorpe PLC on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Broad data
Nov 11, 2026