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Taiheiyo Cement Corporation (THYCY) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $2.8B

TC Taiheiyo Cement Corporation logo Taiheiyo Cement Corporation THYCY · US
Price$6.24
Fair Value$8.32
Upside+33.3%
Quality52/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 2.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.19% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Narrow moat 28/100
Evidence: High Range $6.25 – $10.41 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $7.71 to $8.32 (+7.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −8.5% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 33% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Our model range runs from $6.25 (bear) to $10.41 (bull), base $8.32. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 52/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$7.65 $2.66 Fair Value $8.32 Jun 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.66 – $7.65 · fair‑value band $6.25 – $10.41 · the $6.24 price screens below the $8.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Taiheiyo Cement Corporation (THYCY) currently trades at $6.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.32, implying the stock looks roughly 33.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Taiheiyo Cement Corporation generated revenue of $898B at a net margin of 2.8%. Revenue grew 5.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.9%. Net debt stands at $345B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.25 (bear case) to $10.41 (bull case); at $6.24, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 33%, THYCY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.4140 $1.53 80
Rev-Margin DCF $4.61 $8.96 $14.30 74
ROIC Compounder $6.03 $7.34 $8.46 72
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.3588 $1.61 38
5Y Revenue Exit $4.61 $8.91 $15.37 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.64 $14.05 $22.78 41
5Y P/E Exit $1.23 $3.17 $5.55 38
10Y Revenue Exit $2.35 $5.70 $9.61 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $4.45 $8.99 $14.23 37
10Y P/E Exit $0.6090 $2.03 $3.49 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.76 $4.37 $5.25 54
EPV $6.03 $7.34 $8.46 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $5.18 $6.90 $8.63 63
P/S Multiple $5.18 $6.90 $8.63 58
P/B Multiple $5.18 $6.90 $8.63 55
EV/EBIT $10.27 $14.44 $18.62 53
EV/EBITDA $15.15 $20.95 $26.75 54
EV/Revenue $8.60 $13.25 $17.90 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.15 $6.90 $10.30 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.4140 $1.53 80
Rev-Margin DCF $4.61 $8.96 $14.30 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $7.54 $7.41 $6.52 61
ROIC Compounder $6.03 $7.34 $8.46 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $3.69 $5.27 $6.85 68

Widest divergence: Economic Profit ($7.34) versus Growth DCF ($0.4140). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $898B
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.9%
Net margin 2.8%
Return on equity 3.9%
Free cash flow $13.7B FY2026
P/E ratio 56.8
More key figures
Operating margin 6.9%
EPS (TTM) $0.1200
Dividend yield 2.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +52.3%
Net debt $345B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 78
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 60
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Taiheiyo Cement Corporation engages in the cement, mineral resources, environmental, construction materials, and other businesses in Japan and internationally. The company's Cement segment offers ordinary portland cement, specialty cement, soil stabilizers, and ready-mixed concrete.

Full company description

Taiheiyo Cement Corporation engages in the cement, mineral resources, environmental, construction materials, and other businesses in Japan and internationally. The company's Cement segment offers ordinary portland cement, specialty cement, soil stabilizers, and ready-mixed concrete. Its Mineral Resources segment sells limestone aggregate products comprising course and fine aggregate used in ready-mixed concrete, and aggregate used in concrete products and civil engineering; sandstone and andesite as aggregate materials; quicklime, slaked lime, filler, silica, and silica powder; and hollow ceramics, sepiolite, wollastonite, and kaolin. The company's Environmental segment recycles used tires, waste plastics, paper sludge, waste casting sand, other industrial waste, surplus soil from water purification, sewage sludge, dredging sludge, and other wastes discarded from municipalities, as well as engages in the CFC treatment and building waste treatment plants; develops and commercializes environmental recycling technologies, including ash washing system and applied kiln system, and fermentation technology; supplies flue gas desulfurization materials, such as calcium carbonate; and sells slag powder and other inorganic materials, coal, heavy oil, and other fuels, as well as chemicals and gypsum. Its Construction Materials segment produces precast concrete products; promenades, interlocking blocks, and concrete housing products; acoustic panels used to reduce construction noise; and fireproof covering materials used in tunnels. The company's Other Businesses segment leases land for office buildings, commercial stores, leisure facilities, distribution warehouses, and other structures, as well as develops land for residential housing; and engages in the data processing, transportation and warehouse, engineering, chemical products, and sports business. Taiheiyo Cement Corporation was incorporated in 1881 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Taiheiyo Cement Corporation reported revenue of $953B in FY2026 versus $708B in FY2022, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was $26.9B in FY2026, compounding −1.8%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 48/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$953B
Latest YoY
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y)
+0.4%
Revenue +7.7%/yr
FY22 $708B
FY23 $810B
FY24 $886B
FY25 $896B
FY26 $953B
Net income −1.8%/yr
FY22 $29.0B
FY23 −$33.2B
FY24 $43.3B
FY25 $57.4B
FY26 $26.9B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Taiheiyo Cement Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/THYCY

Peer Group

Building Materials · 254 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside +33% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.31× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 56.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 78 · sector 28
FUTURE 30 · sector 2
PAST 15 · sector 15
HEALTH 84 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 44 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $102.92 $70.57 -31%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,711 ₹4,719 -60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥54.52 ¥13.95 -74%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,073 ₹1,245 -59%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.71 MXN 15.42 MXN -29%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥16.99 ¥26.14 +54%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹435.25 ₹227.96 -48%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹26,930 ₹8,215 -69%
TCC Group 1101B 43.70 TWD 10.48 TWD -76%
Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 53.30 TWD 13.98 TWD -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Taiheiyo Cement Corporation (THYCY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.32 versus a price of $6.24, about +33% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of THYCY?
Our model-based fair value for Taiheiyo Cement Corporation is $8.32 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $6.24.
What is the quality score of THYCY?
Taiheiyo Cement Corporation has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Taiheiyo Cement Corporation (THYCY)?
Taiheiyo Cement Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $898B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of THYCY?
The net profit margin of Taiheiyo Cement Corporation is about 2.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Taiheiyo Cement Corporation pay a dividend?
Taiheiyo Cement Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.19% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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