thyssenkrupp AG (TKA) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · DE · Market cap €7.3B
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Share price +9.0% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from €9.52 (bear) to €15.87 (bull), base €12.70. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 56/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.97 – €12.60 · fair‑value band €9.52 – €15.87 · the €12.55 price screens below the €12.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
thyssenkrupp AG (TKA) currently trades at €12.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €12.70, implying the stock looks roughly 1.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at €32.0B. Revenue declined 2.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €4.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €9.52 (bear case) to €15.87 (bull case); at €12.55, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 107% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 1%, TKA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€16.70) versus Dividend Discount (€1.43). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
thyssenkrupp AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides industrial and technology solutions and services in Germany and internationally. The company operates in five segments: Automotive Technology, Decarbon Technologies, Materials Services, Steel Europe, and Marine Systems.
Full company description
thyssenkrupp AG, together with its subsidiaries, provides industrial and technology solutions and services in Germany and internationally. The company operates in five segments: Automotive Technology, Decarbon Technologies, Materials Services, Steel Europe, and Marine Systems. It offers axle assembly and logistics, body in white, camshafts and electric engine components, carValoo, dampers, dies, plant engineering for batteries and powertrain, prototypes, serial production, springs and stabilizers, steering, crankshafts and conrods, thermal management, and undercarriages, as well as systems, automation, and mechatronic solutions; and slewing bearings and rings, chemical plants, coke plant technologies, green ammonia, methanol, and hydrogen, high-pressure processing, refinery services and cement plants. The company also provides alloys, logistics services, industrial minerals, material services, nonferrous metals, plastics, and stainless steel; composite materials, cut-to-length sheet products, electrical and packaging steel, hot and precision steel strips, organic coated strips and sheets, and sheet and coated products; and naval services, surface vessels, and submarines. It serves automotive, chemicals, energy generation and distribution, food and beverages, white goods, aerospace, mechanical and plant engineering, oil and gas, shipbuilding, and special vehicles, as well as construction, infrastructure, and buildings industries. The company was founded in 1811 and is headquartered in Essen, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
thyssenkrupp AG reported revenue of €32.8B in FY2025 versus €34.0B in FY2021, a compound −0.9%/yr. Reported net income was €465M in FY2025.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Thyssenkrupp ADR jumps nearly 8% on Canada submarine contract report
- We Think That There Are Some Issues For thyssenkrupp (ETR:TKA) Beyond Its Promising Earnings
- A Look At Thyssenkrupp (XTRA:TKA) Valuation After Strong Recent Share Price Momentum
- thyssenkrupp AG (TKAMY) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Resilience Amid Market Challenges
Peer Group
Conglomerates · 370 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$11.28 | HK$22.56 | +100% |
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| The Siam Cement Public Company SCC | 254.00 THB | 199.40 THB | -21% |
| SRF Limited SRF | ₹2,875 | ₹1,053 | -63% |
| Empresas Copec S.A COPEC | 6,330 CLP | 10,879 CLP | +72% |
| Posco International Corporation 047050 | 50,900 KRW | 61,248 KRW | +20% |
| Tube Investments of India Limited TIINDIA | ₹2,940 | ₹559.30 | -81% |
| Doosan Corporation 000155 | 464,000 KRW | 75,620 KRW | -84% |
| Thermax Limited THERMAX | ₹4,809 | ₹1,087 | -77% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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