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Thurgauer Kantonalbank (TKBP) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · CH · Market cap CHF 710M

TK Thurgauer Kantonalbank TKBP · SW
PriceCHF 156.00
Fair ValueCHF 355.00
Upside+127.6%
Quality57/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 37.8% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
2.00% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range CHF 266.25 – CHF 443.76 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from CHF 366.00 to CHF 355.00 (−3.0%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −12.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 128% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (CHF 266.25). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

CHF 188.32 CHF 91.63 Fair Value CHF 355.00 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range CHF 91.63 – CHF 188.32 · fair‑value band CHF 266.25 – CHF 443.76 · the CHF 156.00 price screens below the CHF 355.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Thurgauer Kantonalbank (TKBP) currently trades at CHF 156.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 355.00, implying the stock looks roughly 127.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Thurgauer Kantonalbank generated revenue of CHF 429M at a net margin of 37.8%. Revenue grew 5.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.6%. Net debt stands at CHF 4.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from CHF 266.25 (bear case) to CHF 443.76 (bull case); at CHF 156.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 128%, TKBP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income CHF 359.21 CHF 385.02 CHF 426.72 76
Gordon GGM CHF 154.07 CHF 277.62 CHF 382.18 70
P/E Multiple CHF 395.50 CHF 527.33 CHF 659.17 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM CHF 154.07 CHF 277.62 CHF 382.18 70
DDM Multi-Stage CHF 154.07 CHF 229.16 CHF 296.57 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple CHF 395.50 CHF 527.33 CHF 659.17 63
P/B Multiple CHF 464.32 CHF 619.10 CHF 773.87 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 221.11 CHF 296.28 CHF 442.21 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income CHF 359.21 CHF 385.02 CHF 426.72 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (CHF 527.33) versus Dividend Discount (CHF 229.16). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) CHF 429M
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.1%
Net margin 37.8%
Return on equity 5.6%
Free cash flow CHF 116M FY2025
P/E ratio 23.2
More key figures
Operating margin 39.0%
EPS (TTM) CHF 8.10
Dividend yield 2.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +6.3%
Net debt CHF 4.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 69
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Thurgauer Kantonalbank provides various banking products and services in Switzerland. It offers accounts; cards; mobile and instant payments, terminals, and QR invoice; mortgages and loans, including building and renovating, real estate pension, and property valuation; asset management; saving with securities; investments in securities, precious metals, and …

Full company description

Thurgauer Kantonalbank provides various banking products and services in Switzerland. It offers accounts; cards; mobile and instant payments, terminals, and QR invoice; mortgages and loans, including building and renovating, real estate pension, and property valuation; asset management; saving with securities; investments in securities, precious metals, and cryptocurrencies; services packages; construction financing; business loans; fixed advance; capital good leasing; trade finance; foreign exchange; and digital banking. The company also provides stock exchange and markets; electronic tax statement; bank switching services; consultation; seminars; and business start-up services. It serves private individuals, companies, businesses, and public ­sectors. The company was founded in 1871 and is headquartered in Weinfelden, Switzerland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Thurgauer Kantonalbank reported revenue of CHF 565M in FY2025 versus CHF 393M in FY2021, a compound +9.5%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 162M in FY2025, compounding +2.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 81/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
CHF 565M
Latest YoY
+37.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+5.4%
Revenue +9.5%/yr
FY21 CHF 393M
FY22 CHF 433M
FY23 CHF 427M
FY24 CHF 410M
FY25 CHF 565M
Net income +2.8%/yr
FY21 CHF 146M
FY22 CHF 148M
FY23 CHF 159M
FY24 CHF 158M
FY25 CHF 162M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Thurgauer Kantonalbank Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TKBP

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +128% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 38% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 39% · Below median
Revenue growth 5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 5.82× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 21.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.50× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 7.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 26.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 39
FUTURE 26 · sector 44
PAST 22 · sector 41
HEALTH 0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 40 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Thurgauer Kantonalbank (TKBP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 355.00 versus a price of CHF 156.00, about +128% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TKBP?
Our model-based fair value for Thurgauer Kantonalbank is CHF 355.00 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is CHF 156.00.
What is the quality score of TKBP?
Thurgauer Kantonalbank has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Thurgauer Kantonalbank (TKBP)?
Thurgauer Kantonalbank reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 429M (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TKBP?
The net profit margin of Thurgauer Kantonalbank is about 37.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 37.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Thurgauer Kantonalbank pay a dividend?
Thurgauer Kantonalbank currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.00% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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