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Troilus Gold Corp (TLG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 30, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Troilus Gold Corp stock C$0.18, price C$1.43, upside -87.4%, quality 36 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials CA · ISIN CA8968871068

TG Troilus Gold Corp logo Thin data Oct 30, 2026

Troilus Gold Corp

TLG · TO
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 87% below what the stock costs today.

Fair value C$0.1800 · Strongly overvalued (−87.4%)
Quality 36/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/7)
Narrow moat 5/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

C$2.37 C$0.2600 Fair Value C$0.1800 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$0.2600 – C$2.37 · fair‑value band C$0.1200 – C$0.2300 · the C$1.43 price screens above the C$0.1800 fair value. As of Oct 30, 2026.

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Company profile

Troilus Mining Corp. engages in exploration and development of mineral properties in Canada. The company explores for gold, silver, and copper deposits.

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Its flagship property is the 100% owned Troilus Gold project that covers an area of approximately 435 square kilometers located northeast of the Val-d'Or mining district, within the Frotêt-Evans Greenstone Belt in Quebec, Canada.

The company was formerly known as Troilus Gold Corp. and change its name to Troilus Mining Corp. in December 2025. The company is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

Stock analysis

Troilus Gold Corp (TLG) currently trades at C$1.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$0.1800, 87.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: C$0.1200 (bear) to C$0.2300 (bull), the price of C$1.43 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Troilus Gold Corp reported revenue of C$0 in FY2026 versus C$0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −C$82.7M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap C$908M (≈ $650M) Small · EPS (TTM) C$−0.1600 · Return on equity −81.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −97.7% · Free cash flow −C$74.4M · Net cash C$3.6M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −87%, TLG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear C$0.1200 Fair Value C$0.1800 Bull C$0.2300
Price C$1.43 · Upside -87.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) C$0.1200 C$0.1800 C$0.2300 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$0.1200 C$0.1800 C$0.2300 52

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 26
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 42
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 30
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

TLG screens overvalued: fair value 87% below the price. Compare with Saudi Arabian Mining Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 366 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 36 · Below median
Fair Value upside −88.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −54.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 0.0% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 5.02× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹233.05 ₹613.43 +163% vs TLG
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥30.72 ¥54.86 +79% vs TLG
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.98 ¥19.48 +39% vs TLG
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 56.35 SAR 61.99 SAR +10% vs TLG
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹492.50 ₹541.75 +10% vs TLG
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥30.45 ¥33.50 +10% vs TLG
Boliden AB BOL kr 508.80 kr 464.45 −9% vs TLG
Korea Zinc Company 010130 856,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −24% vs TLG
Xiamen Tungsten Co 600549 ¥35.09 ¥23.20 −34% vs TLG
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd IVN C$9.77 C$4.46 −54% vs TLG

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Troilus Gold Corp · Fair Value
C$0.1800 −87%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Troilus Gold Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TLG.TO

Frequently asked questions

Is Troilus Gold Corp (TLG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$0.1800 versus a price of C$1.43, about −87% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TLG?
Our model-based fair value for Troilus Gold Corp is C$0.1800 (as of Oct 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$1.43.
What is the quality score of TLG?
Troilus Gold Corp has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Troilus Gold Corp (TLG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$0.1800 (as of Oct 30, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$0.1200, optimistic scenario C$0.2300. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Troilus Gold Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$0.1800, about −87% upside versus a price of C$1.43 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$0.1200, optimistic scenario C$0.2300. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Troilus Gold Corp (TLG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Troilus Gold Corp it is C$0.1800 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026), against a price of C$1.43. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Troilus Gold Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, TLG trades above its calculated fair value: price C$1.43, fair value C$0.1800, a gap of about −87% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TLG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$1.43); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$0.1800). For Troilus Gold Corp the two are C$1.25 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Troilus Gold Corp worth?
The market values Troilus Gold Corp at about C$908M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 30, 2026). Per share that is C$1.43; our models calculate a fair value of C$0.1800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TLG?
Our models span a range for Troilus Gold Corp: cautious scenario C$0.1200, base C$0.1800, optimistic C$0.2300 per share (as of Oct 30, 2026, price C$1.43). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Troilus Gold Corp (TLG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Troilus Gold Corp (as of Oct 30, 2026): return on equity −81.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TLG from its 52-week high?
Troilus Gold Corp trades at C$1.43, about 40% below its 52-week high of C$2.37 and 13% above the low of C$1.26 (as of Oct 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$0.1800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Troilus Gold Corp?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, Boliden AB, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Troilus Gold Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 30, 2026: price C$1.43, calculated fair value C$0.1800 (−87%), Quality Score 36/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TLG calculated?
We run Troilus Gold Corp through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$0.1800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Troilus Gold Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Troilus Gold Corp (TLG)?
The closing price on Oct 30, 2026 was C$1.43. Our model-based fair value is C$0.1800, about −87% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Troilus Gold Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$0.2300). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (C$0.1200 to C$0.2300) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Troilus Gold Corp

How large is the market capitalisation of Troilus Gold Corp (TLG)?
The market capitalisation of Troilus Gold Corp is C$908M (≈ $650M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Troilus Gold Corp (TLG)?
Earnings per share at Troilus Gold Corp are C$−0.1600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Troilus Gold Corp (TLG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Troilus Gold Corp is −81.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Troilus Gold Corp (TLG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Troilus Gold Corp is −97.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Troilus Gold Corp (TLG) generate?
The free cash flow of Troilus Gold Corp is −C$74.4M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Troilus Gold Corp (TLG) hold?
Troilus Gold Corp holds more cash than debt, C$3.6M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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