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TLKMF fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of TLKMF $0.22, price $0.14, upside +57.1%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Thin data
Oct 3, 2026
Thin data
Oct 3, 2026
TLKMF
TLKMF · USClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
✓Fair value $0.2200 · Strongly undervalued (+57.1%)
✓Quality 61/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.5 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 11.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Moderate moat 58/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1029 – $0.2498 · fair‑value band $0.1700 – $0.2800 · the $0.1400 price screens below the $0.2200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk provides information and communications technology, and telecommunications network services worldwide. The company operates through Mobile, Consumer, Enterprise, Wholesale and International Business, and Other segments.
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Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk provides information and communications technology, and telecommunications network services worldwide. The company operates through Mobile, Consumer, Enterprise, Wholesale and International Business, and Other segments. The Mobile segment offers mobile voice, SMS, mobile broadband, and value added services. The Consumer segment provides fixed wireline, pay TV, and internet services; and other telecommunication services to home customers. The Enterprise segment offers end-to-end solution to corporate and institutions. The Wholesale and International Business segment provides interconnection services, broadband access, information technology services, data, and internet services to other licensed operator and institutions. The Other segment offers digital content products, big data, business-to-business commerce, and financial services to individual and corporate customers. The company also engages in leasing of towers, and provision of digital support and other telecommunication services; provision of consultation service of hardware, software, data center, and internet exchange, as well as multimedia portal services; business management consulting; property development and management; trading service related to telecommunication, information, multimedia technology, entertainment, and investment services; and digital content exchange hub services. The company was founded in 1884 and is headquartered in Bandung, Indonesia. Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Danantara Asset Management (Persero).
Stock analysis
TLKMF (TLKMF) currently trades at $0.1400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2200, implying the stock looks roughly 36.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $0.3400 per share, and 22 of the 26 models we run sit above the $0.1400 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.0500, and 4 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.1700 (bear) to $0.2800 (bull), the price of $0.1400 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
TLKMF reported revenue of 147T IDR in FY2025 versus 143T IDR in FY2021, a compound +0.7%/yr. Reported net income was 17.9T IDR in FY2025, compounding −7.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $13.9B · P/E ratio 14.0 · P/S ratio 1.70 · EPS (TTM) $0.0100 · Net margin 12.1% · Return on equity 14.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.8% · Revenue (TTM) 147T IDR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at 57%, TLKMF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.1700
Fair Value $0.2200
Bull $0.2800
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0076 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$0.3000
$0.4600
$0.7200
79
Growth DCF
$0.3000
$0.4500
$0.6600
78
Residual Income
$0.0700
$0.0900
$0.1100
76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$0.3000
$0.4600
$0.7200
79
Owner Earnings
$0.2500
$0.3800
$0.5900
75
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.2200
$0.3200
$0.4600
72
5Y EBITDA Exit
$0.3300
$0.5300
$0.7700
75
5Y P/E Exit
$0.2000
$0.3000
$0.4000
71
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.2400
$0.3400
$0.4800
67
10Y EBITDA Exit
$0.3100
$0.4900
$0.7200
68
10Y P/E Exit
$0.2300
$0.3300
$0.4400
64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.0700
$0.2200
$0.2900
65
Lynch FV
$0.0500
$0.0700
$0.0900
61
PEG = 1.0
$0.0500
$0.0700
$0.0900
57
EPV
$0.1600
$0.1900
$0.2100
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.1100
$0.2300
$0.3600
66
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.1100
$0.1800
$0.2400
66
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$0.1700
$0.2200
$0.2800
63
P/S Multiple
$0.1300
$0.1700
$0.2100
58
P/B Multiple
$0.1300
$0.1700
$0.2100
55
EV/EBIT
$0.2500
$0.3300
$0.4100
66
EV/EBITDA
$0.3800
$0.5100
$0.6300
67
EV/Revenue
$0.1800
$0.2500
$0.3300
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.0400
$0.0500
$0.0700
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.3000
$0.4500
$0.6600
78
Rev-Margin DCF
$0.2200
$0.3300
$0.4500
73
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.0700
$0.0900
$0.1100
76
ROIC Compounder
$0.1700
$0.2200
$0.2700
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$0.1400
$0.2000
$0.2600
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
61/100
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Profitability
43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
87
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.7% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.7%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−3.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−3.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−3.2% vs 1.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.32% → 24%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−14.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in IDR, Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −16.6% a year for the price and −1.1% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+4.5%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+0.4%
Projected 2028 (sales)+0.6%
Projected 2029 (sales)+0.8%
Projected 2030 (sales)+1.0%
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Compare TLKMF with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 237 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Communication Services sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Communication Services
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Mobile Limited 80941 | HK$67.30 | HK$114.85 | +71% |
| Verizon Communications Inc VZ | $45.87 | $70.27 | +53% |
| T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS | $162.98 | $272.88 | +67% |
| AT&T Inc T | $24.48 | $51.11 | +109% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,741 | ₹1,883 | +8% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥6.16 | ¥8.36 | +36% |
| Saudi Telecom Company 7010 | 43.22 SAR | 41.80 SAR | −3% |
| Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z74 | 4.28 SGD | 2.16 SGD | −50% |
| Swisscom AG SCMN | CHF 639.00 | CHF 505.18 | −21% |
| Telstra Group TLS | A$4.83 | A$4.43 | −8% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is TLKMF overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.2200 versus a price of $0.1400, about +57% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TLKMF?
Our model-based fair value for TLKMF is $0.2200 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.1400.
What is the quality score of TLKMF?
TLKMF has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TLKMF?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.2200 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1700, optimistic scenario $0.2800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TLKMF stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.2200, about +57% upside versus a price of $0.1400 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.1700, optimistic scenario $0.2800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TLKMF?
TLKMF reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 147T IDR (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into TLKMF?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, TLKMF would have to grow free cash flow by -14.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.5 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TLKMF use?
Our models discount TLKMF at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.10, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For TLKMF that is -14.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has TLKMF delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at TLKMF grew +1.5 % a year. The price currently implies -14.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of TLKMF growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into TLKMF (-14.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of TLKMF?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 16.55 %: that much free cash flow TLKMF produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of TLKMF?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TLKMF it is $0.2200 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $0.1400. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TLKMF stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, TLKMF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.1400, fair value $0.2200, a gap of about +57% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TLKMF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.1400); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.2200). For TLKMF the two are $0.0800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TLKMF worth?
The market values TLKMF at about $13.9B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $0.1400; our models calculate a fair value of $0.2200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TLKMF?
Our models span a range for TLKMF: cautious scenario $0.1700, base $0.2200, optimistic $0.2800 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $0.1400). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TLKMF?
TLKMF trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.0 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.2200 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 20.8, P/B 1.1, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 2.2.
What is the PEG ratio of TLKMF?
The PEG ratio of TLKMF is 20.79 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of TLKMF?
Balance-sheet figures for TLKMF (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 14.2%, debt of 0.20 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TLKMF from its 52-week high?
TLKMF trades at $0.1400, about 37% below its 52-week high of $0.2217 and 11% above the low of $0.1264 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.2200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TLKMF?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, Verizon Communications Inc, T-Mobile US, Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TLKMF stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $0.1400, calculated fair value $0.2200 (+57%), Quality Score 61/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TLKMF calculated?
We run TLKMF through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.2200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. TLKMF currently trades 36 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TLKMF?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.1400. Our model-based fair value is $0.2200, about +57% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TLKMF right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.1700). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of TLKMF come from?
Earnings per share at TLKMF grew +3.2 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.1 %, EBIT margin −1.9 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of TLKMF
How large is the market capitalisation of TLKMF?
The market capitalisation of TLKMF is $13.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TLKMF?
The price-to-sales ratio of TLKMF is 1.70 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TLKMF?
Earnings per share at TLKMF are $0.0100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of TLKMF?
The net margin of TLKMF is 12.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TLKMF?
The return on equity (ROE) of TLKMF is 14.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TLKMF?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TLKMF is 14.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How fast is revenue growing at TLKMF?
Revenue at TLKMF is growing +1.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg 0.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TLKMF?
Earnings per share at TLKMF are growing −21.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does TLKMF carry?
The net debt of TLKMF is 40.6T IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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