Tamil Nadu Newsprint & Papers Limited (TNPL) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹10.2B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹316.80 to ₹244.77 (−22.7%) since Aug 8, 2026. Share price −3.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 74% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹220.74). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹109.34 – ₹313.79 · fair‑value band ₹220.74 – ₹395.77 · the ₹140.88 price screens below the ₹244.77 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Tamil Nadu Newsprint & Papers Limited (TNPL) currently trades at ₹140.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹244.77, implying the stock looks roughly 73.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Tamil Nadu Newsprint & Papers Limited generated revenue of ₹46.4B at a net margin of 5.3%. Revenue declined 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.3%. Net debt stands at ₹16.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹220.74 (bear case) to ₹395.77 (bull case); at ₹140.88, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at 74%, TNPL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (₹574.45) versus Dividend Discount (₹47.14). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tamil Nadu Newsprint and Papers Limited manufactures and markets paper and paperboards in India and internationally. It operates in Paper & Paper Board and Energy segments. The company provides printing and writing paper, as well as packaging boards; and generates power through turbo generators and windmills. It also manufactures and sells cement.
Full company description
Tamil Nadu Newsprint and Papers Limited manufactures and markets paper and paperboards in India and internationally. It operates in Paper & Paper Board and Energy segments. The company provides printing and writing paper, as well as packaging boards; and generates power through turbo generators and windmills. It also manufactures and sells cement. The company was incorporated in 1979 and is based in Chennai, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Tamil Nadu Newsprint & Papers Limited reported revenue of ₹46.4B in FY2026 versus ₹40.2B in FY2022, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹2.5B in FY2026, compounding +103.9%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Paper & Paper Products · 115 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Klabin S.A KLBN11 | R$17.55 | R$3.80 | -78% |
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM | €23.18 | €14.21 | -39% |
| Suzano S.A SUZ | $8.02 | $23.77 | +196% |
| Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB | kr 109.40 | kr 49.40 | -55% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥13.94 | ¥17.29 | +24% |
| Holmen AB HOLMB | kr 314.00 | kr 217.72 | -31% |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 | HK$8.21 | HK$8.74 | +6% |
| Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC | 1,000 CLP | 1,253 CLP | +25% |
| Xianhe Co 603733 | ¥21.11 | ¥21.06 | -0% |
| Billerud AB BILL | kr 77.60 | kr 48.60 | -37% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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