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Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding (TNXP) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $191M

TP Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding logo Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding TNXP · US
Price$10.98
Fair Value$3.35
Upside-69.5%
Quality18/100
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Evidence: Low Range $2.16 – $4.12 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated today

Share price −8.6% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$61.57 $10.65 Fair Value $3.35 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $10.65 – $61.57 · fair‑value band $2.16 – $4.12 · the $10.98 price screens above the $3.35 fair value. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding (TNXP) currently trades at $10.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.35, implying the stock looks roughly 69.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 18/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $17.6M. Revenue grew 183.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -72.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $206M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.16 (bear case) to $4.12 (bull case); at $10.98, the current price sits above that range. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -70%, TNXP screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $17.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) +183%
Return on equity -72.3%
Free cash flow −$103M FY2025
Operating margin -604%
EPS (TTM) $-14.66
More key figures
Net cash $206M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp., a fully integrated biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes therapies for central nervous system (CNS) disorders, immunology and immuno-oncology, infectious diseases, and rare diseases in the United States. The company offers TONMYA, a cyclobenzaprine HCl sublingual tablet for the treatment of fibromyalgia. It also markets Zembrace SymTouch and Tosymra for the treatment of acute migraine with or without aura in adults. In addition, the company develops TNX-102 SL, a cyclobenzaprine HCl sublingual tablet for the treatment of major depressive disorder and acute stress reaction/acute stress disorder; TNX-1300, a double-mutant cocaine esterase for the treatment of cocaine intoxication; TNX-1500, an Fc-modified humanized monoclonal antibody to prevent kidney transplant rejection, as well as to treat autoimmune conditions; TNX-4800, a humanized monoclonal antibody for the seasonal prevention of Lyme disease; and TNX-2900, an intranasal …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding reported revenue of $13.1M in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2021. Reported net income was −$124M in FY2025.

Revenue
FY21 $0
FY22 $9.0M
FY23 $7.8M
FY24 $10.1M
FY25 $13.1M
Net income
FY21 −$92.2M
FY22 −$115M
FY23 −$117M
FY24 −$130M
FY25 −$124M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TNXP

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding (TNXP) undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.35 versus a price of $10.98, about −70% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of TNXP?
Our model-based fair value for Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding is $3.35 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.98.
What is the quality score of TNXP?
Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding has a Quality Score of 18/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding (TNXP)?
Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $17.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TNXP?
The net profit margin of Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.