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Toho Zinc Co (TOHZF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $96.2M

TZ Toho Zinc Co logo Toho Zinc Co TOHZF · US
Price$6.99
Fair Value$17.04
Upside+143.8%
Quality54/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 3.8% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/10)
Moderate moat 49/100
Evidence: High Range $8.03 – $26.06 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $26.91 to $17.04 (−36.7%) since Jul 19, 2026.

A solid business, screening 144% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($8.03). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($8.03 to $26.06). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (23 months)

$7.09 $6.99 Fair Value $17.04 Aug 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

23‑month range $6.99 – $7.09 · fair‑value band $8.03 – $26.06 · the $6.99 price screens below the $17.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Toho Zinc Co (TOHZF) currently trades at $6.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.04, implying the stock looks roughly 143.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Toho Zinc Co generated revenue of $126B at a net margin of 3.8%. Revenue grew 22.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 40.3%. Net debt stands at $52.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $8.03 (bear case) to $26.06 (bull case); at $6.99, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -42% fair-value upside, at 144%, TOHZF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Rev-Margin DCF $2.78 $12.92 74
EV/EBITDA $9.04 $18.39 $27.73 54
EV/EBIT $8.03 $17.04 $26.05 53
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
5Y Revenue Exit $2.66 $14.84 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $4.95 $17.28 41
10Y Revenue Exit $0.1547 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $1.37 37
Multiples
EV/EBIT $8.03 $17.04 $26.05 53
EV/EBITDA $9.04 $18.39 $27.73 54
EV/Revenue $4.43 $14.47 $24.50 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.31 $3.09 $4.61 50
Growth DCF
Rev-Margin DCF $2.78 $12.92 74

Widest divergence: Multiples ($17.04) versus DCF Models ($2.66). Highest evidence: Rev-Margin DCF (74).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $126B
Revenue growth (YoY) +22.3%
Net margin 3.8%
Return on equity 40.3%
Free cash flow $1.3B FY2025
Operating margin 11.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.6300
Net debt $52.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 19
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Toho Zinc Co., Ltd. operates in the smelting and refining, mineral resources, electronic components, advanced materials, and environment and recycling businesses in Japan. The company offers electrolytic zinc, die-casting zinc alloys, zinc powder, cadmium oxide, sulfuric acid, electrolytic lead, lead alloys, and electrolytic silver and bismuth.

Full company description

Toho Zinc Co., Ltd. operates in the smelting and refining, mineral resources, electronic components, advanced materials, and environment and recycling businesses in Japan. The company offers electrolytic zinc, die-casting zinc alloys, zinc powder, cadmium oxide, sulfuric acid, electrolytic lead, lead alloys, and electrolytic silver and bismuth. It also operates zinc and lead mines; and produces iron, ferrite, amorphous powders, and Fe-Al-Si based powder core materials for use in automotive electronics, office automation equipment, and industrial equipment. In addition, the company provides MAIRON and ATOMIRON electrolytic irons, as well as produces recycled zinc oxide from electric furnace dust. Toho Zinc Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1937 and is headquartered in Minato, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Toho Zinc Co reported revenue of $126B in FY2025 versus $103B in FY2021, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.5B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$126B
Latest YoY
−3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.5%
Revenue +5.1%/yr
FY21 $103B
FY22 $124B
FY23 $146B
FY24 $131B
FY25 $126B
Net income
FY21 $5.5B
FY22 $7.9B
FY23 $794M
FY24 −$46.5B
FY25 −$1.5B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Toho Zinc Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TOHZF

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 480 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +144% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 40% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 22% · Above median
Debt / equity 6.20× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 25
PAST 100 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 21

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHPN 1,425 MXN 745.46 MXN -48%
Rio Tinto Group RIO A$179.43 A$81.76 -54%
Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB 222.38 MXN 172.99 MXN -22%
Vale S.A VALEN 250.00 MXN 139.41 MXN -44%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.05 SAR 33.87 SAR -42%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥19.00 ¥19.80 +4%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥70.43 ¥9.55 -86%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹584.60 ₹501.98 -14%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥41.02 ¥10.59 -74%
Boliden AB BOL kr 527.80 kr 461.48 -13%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Toho Zinc Co (TOHZF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.04 versus a price of $6.99, about +144% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TOHZF?
Our model-based fair value for Toho Zinc Co is $17.04 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $6.99.
What is the quality score of TOHZF?
Toho Zinc Co has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Toho Zinc Co (TOHZF)?
Toho Zinc Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $126B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TOHZF?
The net profit margin of Toho Zinc Co is about 3.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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