Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Total Bangun Persada Tbk IDR 1,641, price IDR 1,620, upside +1.3%, quality 74 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 152.71 IDR – 1,645 IDR · fair‑value band 1,228 IDR – 2,210 IDR · the 1,620 IDR price screens below the 1,641 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Total Bangun Persada Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides construction services primarily in Indonesia. The company operates through Construction, and Rental and Others segments.
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PT Total Bangun Persada Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, provides construction services primarily in Indonesia. The company operates through Construction, and Rental and Others segments. It undertakes construction of education, office and religious buildings, high rise residential buildings, hospitals, shopping centers, hotels, utilities, and industrial projects. The company also provides equipment and property rental services; management services; and formwork equipment installation services. In addition, it sells property units. The company was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Jakarta Barat, Indonesia. PT Total Bangun Persada Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Total Inti Persada.
Stock analysis
Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL) currently trades at 1,620 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1,641 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 1.3% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 2,261 IDR per share, and 17 of the 26 models we run sit above the 1,620 IDR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 261.75 IDR, and 9 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 1,228 IDR (bear) to 2,210 IDR (bull), the price of 1,620 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Total Bangun Persada Tbk reported revenue of 3.9T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.7T IDR in FY2021, a compound +22.3%/yr. Reported net income was 414B IDR in FY2025, compounding +42.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 5.5T IDR (≈ $309M) · P/E ratio 12.5 · P/S ratio 1.33 · EPS (TTM) 129.78 IDR · Dividend yield 7.1% · Net margin 10.6% · Return on equity 32.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 135% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 1%, TOTL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1,228 IDRFair Value 1,641 IDRBull 2,210 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (95.29 IDR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.94/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.6% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+44.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+37.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.31% vs 8%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 8%
2025 sits 140% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.2% a year for the price.
Compare Total Bangun Persada Tbk with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)33% · Top 25%
Return on assets5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)7.1% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
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Is Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1,641 IDR versus a price of 1,620 IDR, about +1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of TOTL?
Our model-based fair value for Total Bangun Persada Tbk is 1,641 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,620 IDR.
What is the quality score of TOTL?
Total Bangun Persada Tbk has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1,641 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1,228 IDR, optimistic scenario 2,210 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Total Bangun Persada Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1,641 IDR, about +1% upside versus a price of 1,620 IDR (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 1,228 IDR, optimistic scenario 2,210 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL)?
Total Bangun Persada Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.9T IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Total Bangun Persada Tbk pay a dividend?
Total Bangun Persada Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.14% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Total Bangun Persada Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +5.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TOTL use?
Our models discount Total Bangun Persada Tbk at 13.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.26, country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Total Bangun Persada Tbk that is +5.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Total Bangun Persada Tbk grew +11.2 % a year. The price currently implies +5.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Total Bangun Persada Tbk (+5.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.66 %: that much free cash flow Total Bangun Persada Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Total Bangun Persada Tbk it is 1,641 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1,620 IDR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Total Bangun Persada Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, TOTL trades below its calculated fair value: price 1,620 IDR, fair value 1,641 IDR, a gap of about +1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TOTL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,620 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1,641 IDR). For Total Bangun Persada Tbk the two are 20.74 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Total Bangun Persada Tbk worth?
The market values Total Bangun Persada Tbk at about 5.5T IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1,620 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 1,641 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TOTL?
Our models span a range for Total Bangun Persada Tbk: cautious scenario 1,228 IDR, base 1,641 IDR, optimistic 2,210 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1,620 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TOTL?
Total Bangun Persada Tbk trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1,641 IDR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.7, P/B 4.2, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 11.7.
What is the PEG ratio of TOTL?
The PEG ratio of Total Bangun Persada Tbk is 0.67 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Total Bangun Persada Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 32.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 74/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TOTL from its 52-week high?
Total Bangun Persada Tbk trades at 1,620 IDR, about 2% below its 52-week high of 1,645 IDR and 135% above the low of 689.45 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1,641 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Total Bangun Persada Tbk?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Total Bangun Persada Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1,620 IDR, calculated fair value 1,641 IDR (+1%), Quality Score 74/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TOTL calculated?
We run Total Bangun Persada Tbk through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1,641 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Total Bangun Persada Tbk currently trades 1 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 1,620 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 1,641 IDR, about +1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Total Bangun Persada Tbk right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL) come from?
Earnings per share at Total Bangun Persada Tbk grew +4.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.5 %, EBIT margin −2.1 %, tax rate +1.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Total Bangun Persada Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL)?
The market capitalisation of Total Bangun Persada Tbk is 5.5T IDR (≈ $309M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Total Bangun Persada Tbk is 1.33 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL)?
Earnings per share at Total Bangun Persada Tbk are 129.78 IDR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL)?
The dividend yield of Total Bangun Persada Tbk is 7.1% (payout 89.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL)?
The net margin of Total Bangun Persada Tbk is 10.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Total Bangun Persada Tbk is 32.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Total Bangun Persada Tbk is 5.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL)?
The operating margin of Total Bangun Persada Tbk is 6.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL)?
Revenue at Total Bangun Persada Tbk is growing −1.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL)?
Earnings per share at Total Bangun Persada Tbk are growing +37.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Total Bangun Persada Tbk (TOTL) hold?
Total Bangun Persada Tbk holds more cash than debt, 1.1T IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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